Reply #18: I'll reiterate my prediction...

[CoffeeCat]

Texas: Obama by 21
Ohio: Obama by 16
Vermont: Obama by 40
Rhode I: Obama by 13

Those Texas and Ohio numbers look high for Obama. However, I also predicted
Wisconsin and Hawaii. I predicted Wisconsin (Obama by 15) and Hawaii (Obama
by 35), and people scoffed.

I look at trends. In the past 11 states that Obama has won, there is a pattern:

--Hillary has a 15+ point lead a few weeks before the primary
--Obama closes to within 10, usually 4-6 days before the primary
--The race tightens within a day or two before the primary
--Obama wins by 5-40 points

What I've noticed is that these trends are happening faster, in each subsequent
state. Hillary's leads are eroding faster now.

For example, Hillary had a 15+ point lead in TX, and that is gone. Usually, by this time,
he's behind by 10 or so. However, now, Obama is ahead in Texas. He'll take that
state handily.

Ohio is following the trend, but just a bit faster than usual--Obama within 10
a week before the Ohio primary.

The same trend followed in Wisconsin. She was ahead by 7-8--five days before the primary--and
Obama took the state by an impressive majority.

I just want to get this done. It's over. We just need to jump through the hoops in TX and OH.