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Three General Election Maps(SurveryUSA): Giuliani vs. Top Dems ...Hillary only dem to top Guiliani [View All]

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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-01-07 02:03 PM
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Three General Election Maps(SurveryUSA): Giuliani vs. Top Dems ...Hillary only dem to top Guiliani
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Three General Election Maps: Giuliani vs. Top Dems
by: Chris Bowers
Mon Oct 01, 2007 at 13:48:33 PM EDT

With the latest wave of Survey USA state general election polls, it is now possible to produce nearly comprehensive general election maps for all of the top Democrats against all of the top Republicans. Using information from Polling Report, Survey USA, and Rasmussen, here are general election maps for the top three Democrats against Giuliani, using only the latest polls from each state. In states where no polls were conducted this year, 2004 results were used.


Giuliani 327 - 211 Edwards


States Within Three Points: California, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington, Wisconsin
New Republican States: New Jersey, New Hampshire, New York, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
New Democratic States: Iowa, Missouri, New Mexico, Virginia, plus four congressional districts in North Carolina

Giuliani 297-229 Obama

States Within Three Points: Connecticut, Nevada, Oregon, Michigan, Missouri, New Mexico, Virginia, Wisconsin
New Republican States: Connecticut, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey
New Democratic States: Iowa, Missouri, Virginia, plus four congressional districts in North Carolina
Tied States: Oregon, New Mexico

Clinton 261-235 Giuliani

States within three points: Florida, Missouri, New Jersey, Ohio, Oregon, New Hampshire, Tennessee, Washington
New Republican States: Connecticut, New Jersey
New Democratic States: Arkansas, Iowa, New Mexico, Tennessee, Virginia, plus four congressional districts in North Carolina
Tied States: Florida, New Hampshire, Washington


I will have more of these maps throughout the day, comparing the top three Democrats against other top Republicans. It will take time for me to compile all of the maps. I should note that polling on Clinton vs. Republicans is far more comprehensive, as Rasmussen has done a substantial amount of surveying in states without including Obama and Edwards. Even so, I think this complicates the most frequent electability arguments we see online, at least in so far in the event of a Giuliani nomination.


http://openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1667
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