Reply #13: Being POSSIBLE doesn't make it Likely

[liberalpragmatist]

Also, a NH + Nevada + Colorado strategy could work.

Also if we could pull an upset in a Bush-leaning state that's supposedly out of play - Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia - that'd definitely help us.

Even so, we have to be realistic - it'll be very tough for us to lose 2 out of the 3 and still be in the game. Earlier if you'd asked me we had the advantage here, but I don't think that's so true anymore. Bush is far closer than comfortable in Wisconsin and Iowa. It's possible for him to lose Ohio (but win florida) and if he picks off Wisconsin and Iowa (I think some other state too) he can do it.

It'll be close to impossible for either candidate to win without Ohio or Florida. Even closer to impossible for us, I'm afraid.