Reply #99: Some points I think you're overlooking.

[Merlin]

First, it must be noted clearly that Kerry is probably toast already, and will surely be toast if (when) Dean beats him in New Hampshire. So I'm not counting him out, exactly, but he's become a long shot. (Kerry's disintegration is the biggest unnoticed political story of the year, imo.)

Second, true Clark will dominate the headlines for a while. However, given the press's prediliction for covering conflict where it exists, and creating it where it doesn't, there will still be enormous attention on the "horserace" between Dean and Clark. The daily question will be which is currently the front runner, which has momentum, etc, ad nauseum.

Third, as someone has already pointed out, it's up to Howard Dean to just deal with it. If he's the kind of man I think he is, he'll beat Clark by the force of his arguments and personality. If not, then so be it.

Fourth, it's true Clark has very strong military and perceived foreign policy credentials. Media focus on his background will be very helpful to him--and to our party. However, once that plays itself out in a month or so, the media will find he's very short on the other suits, and unfortunately for him, this isn't bridge. I do not believe the Democratic party will nominate for President a man who has no elective background and who is brand new to the political scene. I think many liberals will not fully trust him. Nothing against Clark. It's just that he'll be the new guy on the block, with no record by which to validate his actions vs. his promises.

Fifth, do not underestimate the significance in this coming election of health care. It will be perhaps the second major issue, next to the economy. People are seriously pissed. Dean's credentials in this area are impeccable.

Finally imo, take it to the bank: the ticket will be, either Dean-Clark or Clark-Dean. And either way, that the ticket is going to win.

I honestly do not feel completely confident about beating the fascists with either Dean alone, or with Clark alone. But I do with them together. Together, they're a dream ticket!