Reply #17: means not a thing

[montana500]

This poll means nothing. Zogby's just came up and the number are excellent. This is the pollster to watch. His battleground polls should be out tomorrow as well.


"Pollster John Zogby: "The close race got even closer. There is some evidence that Kerry’s debate performance and increased clarity on the war has helped him consolidate at least some of the support that he has lost. But undecideds are up to 8 percent and there is still a month to go. There is also no doubt that Ralph Nader is hurting Kerry. The post convention bounce for Bush is over and his biggest hurdle is among undecided voters who give him a 31 percent positive job performance rating and a 69 percent negative rating. Only 13 percent of undecided voters feel that the president deserves re-election (his lowest yet) while 37 percent feel it is time for someone new.

Undecideds at 8 percent are high because we don’t push them until later. Five points of these are hard undecideds, two-points use to be with Kerry, and one point with Bush. How will they break in the end? Will they even vote?"


Great news. It's a tie race with 8% undecided. Of that 8%, 69% give bush a negative rating, and only 13% feel he deserves re-election.

Any tie is a Kerry victory nationally. The big question is the BG states.