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Reply #122: Understand depletion of oil resources [View All]

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4dsc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-09-06 06:34 PM
Response to Reply #5
122. Understand depletion of oil resources
It doesn't matter how many major(whatever that means) oil and gas project they bring on line because it will not make up for the depletion rates of current oil fields..

Andrew Gould, CEO of the giant oil services firm Schlumberger, for instance, recently explained the global decline rate may be far higher than what Cheney predicted seven years ago:

An accurate average decline rate is hard to estimate, but an overall figure of 8% is not an unreasonable assumption.

An 8% yearly decline would cut global oil production by a whopping 50% in under nine years. If a 5% cut in production caused prices to triple in the 1970s, what do you think a 50% cut is going to do?
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