2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Tue Dec 1, 2015, 05:01 PM Dec 2015

Brand Spanking New Ipsos Reuters Likely Democratic Voter Poll-HRC 77% SBS 17% MOM 3% [View all]

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150808-20160125/type/smallest

Among registered Democratic voters

HRC 57% SBS 29% MOM 5%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150808-20160125/type/smallest

140 replies

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Brand Spanking New Ipsos Reuters Likely Democratic Voter Poll-HRC 77% SBS 17% MOM 3% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 OP

Bernie is collapsing. nt Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #1

... DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #3

OOf! NurseJackie Dec 2015 #8

BOOM! workinclasszero Dec 2015 #57

It's interesting how much difference those filters make. PotatoChip Dec 2015 #106

Look at the date cutoff, it's different. Reuters didn't poll some of the days on the weekend. anti partisan Dec 2015 #137

Low sample size and cherry picking. Can also put Bernie ahead w/cherry pick (see below posts) anti partisan Dec 2015 #138

This message was self-deleted by its author jkbRN Dec 2015 #2

I like it! ... I like it! ... I like it! NurseJackie Dec 2015 #4

Whoomp there it is DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #6

wow hill2016 Dec 2015 #5

Ain't No Stopping Us Now DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #11

Wow that's crazy, lol msrizzo Dec 2015 #7

Spanking lol GusBob Dec 2015 #9

Gonna Fly Now DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #12

Bernie's message is wearing thin and he's fading taught_me_patience Dec 2015 #10

Not Fade Away DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #15

That clip brings back memories comradebillyboy Dec 2015 #31

Came of age in the 70s and 80s... DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #33

Yes, I think the ANGER has a lot to do with it. It never seemed like a very desirable quality to me. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #16

If MOM passes Bernie in IA it isn't going to upaloopa Dec 2015 #22

No, it won't be pretty Blue_Adept Dec 2015 #37

+1000. Great post. R B Garr Dec 2015 #60

Not nearly as fun with the filters cleared, is it. bunnies Dec 2015 #13

Happy DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #14

Holiday outliers brooklynite Dec 2015 #17

Not trying to be partisan or snarky, but... HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #42

Watch him surge! Duval Dec 2015 #92

"Active Filters: Likely Democratic Primary Voter" NurseJackie Dec 2015 #19

Yes. Lets exclude all first time voters. bunnies Dec 2015 #20

Don't Worry Be Happy DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #23

Im not worried DSB! bunnies Dec 2015 #24

ah, NH---where Clinton is also ahead....+4.3 RCP averages riversedge Dec 2015 #69

Your landline polls dont scare me. bunnies Dec 2015 #70

Okay. I'll trust that professional polling organizations know what they're doing. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #25

Fantastic. So Hillary will get more than 70% in every primary? bunnies Dec 2015 #28

I'm not a pollster. You'll need to ask them. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #34

As I told DSB... bunnies Dec 2015 #44

Okayyyy NurseJackie Dec 2015 #48

Indeed. bunnies Dec 2015 #49

I've never underestimated that, NurseJackie Dec 2015 #52

Time will tell. bunnies Dec 2015 #53

I have nothing against hope or optimism. I encourage it. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #56

Then it appears we've found common ground. bunnies Dec 2015 #59

Make Me Smile DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #29

You're right. Hillary is up by somewhere between 28 and 40 points. Renew Deal Dec 2015 #35

Not in my state. bunnies Dec 2015 #45

Many polls of states outside of IA and NH have shown large Hillary leads. LonePirate Dec 2015 #51

Or you know... HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #18

Yea yea ... but I saw this word cloud ... JoePhilly Dec 2015 #21

LOL Alfresco Dec 2015 #74

LOL SunSeeker Dec 2015 #75

... mcar Dec 2015 #132

Makes me nervous since I don't necessarily think Hillary can win the general. Vinca Dec 2015 #26

I'm Still Standing DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #32

60 points ahead. Holy Sh*t Alfresco Dec 2015 #27

I wonder if that's the shock poll Scabs and Goddard are referring to Renew Deal Dec 2015 #30

I really figured that one would be a GOP based one Blue_Adept Dec 2015 #39

I agree Renew Deal Dec 2015 #46

I was expecting something like this eventually. DCBob Dec 2015 #36

Bernie seems to have a hard 30% ceiling nationally Renew Deal Dec 2015 #38

If that's true, then they're stupid. Fawke Em Dec 2015 #121

Careful.. your bias is showing. DCBob Dec 2015 #127

That seems overly optimistic MaggieD Dec 2015 #40

As a Clinton supporter, I'm setting this poll aside as presented... brooklynite Dec 2015 #41

Those filters are directly from Reuters... DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #43

When you apply the likely Democratic primary voter filter you remove virtually all young people Bjorn Against Dec 2015 #47

not a lot of young people vote saturnsring Dec 2015 #86

The numbers presented in the OP show less that 1% of the sample was 18-29 years old Bjorn Against Dec 2015 #90

Wow! Bernies 30% bubble done blowed up... workinclasszero Dec 2015 #50

PUFFFFFFFFFFFFF riversedge Dec 2015 #125

Interesting. Agnosticsherbet Dec 2015 #54

Me gusta, me gusta, me gusta! lunamagica Dec 2015 #55

"registered dem voters" restorefreedom Dec 2015 #58

"... celebrate if you like, but i wouldn't take this to the bank." DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #61

always love seeing the great one.. restorefreedom Dec 2015 #63

That is one of his more iconic photos as is this one DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #64

very cool! nt restorefreedom Dec 2015 #66

And this one: DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #67

68 ....feels like a hundred years ago. restorefreedom Dec 2015 #68

His daughter was a conventional boxer, albeit a female one... DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #71

yeah, the traditional stuff is better imo restorefreedom Dec 2015 #76

Boxing is violent enough for me. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #77

yup. i take it in small doses, and take long breaks too. someday will stop completely. nt restorefreedom Dec 2015 #80

Small does for me as well... DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #91

yikes. as much as i remind myself that people do it willingly, restorefreedom Dec 2015 #122

The filter I saw was "Likely Democratic Primary Voters" NurseJackie Dec 2015 #62

i generally don't put a lot of stock in polls restorefreedom Dec 2015 #65

Bernie supporters are right about one thing . . . Gamecock Lefty Dec 2015 #72

LOL!!! NurseJackie Dec 2015 #73

It was the OP that first presented us with filtered numbers Bjorn Against Dec 2015 #83

Stay classy Hillpeople. Ed Suspicious Dec 2015 #85

WOW. JaneyVee Dec 2015 #78

Looks like he's all berned out! tritsofme Dec 2015 #79

K & R SunSeeker Dec 2015 #81

Quit trolling, the registered Democratic numbers are the real numbers jfern Dec 2015 #82

WHY SO SERIOUS DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #95

Word out is staggering new polls out in the morning from Quinnipiac.... Historic NY Dec 2015 #84

Anticipation Alfresco Dec 2015 #88

That song always reminds me of the ketchup commercial... NurseJackie Dec 2015 #96

LOL Alfresco Dec 2015 #140

Tease!! NurseJackie Dec 2015 #89

Even more great news on the way for Hillary? workinclasszero Dec 2015 #97

K&R The needless antagonizing of the AA community by some here has me K&R more pro-Hillary Number23 Dec 2015 #87

With just white likely Democratic primary voters it's 68% -22% DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #104

Nope. Wayyyyyy easier to just keep kicking Negroes, women and gays Number23 Dec 2015 #107

With any luck all this unpleasantness will be over sooner than later. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #108

"all important recs"? Nailed it... SidDithers Dec 2015 #113

See, there again is what I was talking about up-thread. (Post #106) PotatoChip Dec 2015 #112

+ FN 1 n/t MeNMyVolt Dec 2015 #116

I agree with Bernie's plan. Fearless Dec 2015 #93

Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #94

Feeling the "BURN"? calguy Dec 2015 #98

Bern baby bern... DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #99

I just wanted the 100th post to be a K&R. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #100

Thank you for the latest on Hillary's status with American voters, DSB. Cha Dec 2015 #101

You are welcome DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #103

supporters enid602 Dec 2015 #102

It's easy to come to that conclusion based on what goes on inside the walls of this fortress. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #105

I think Paris hurt Bernie workinclasszero Dec 2015 #110

agreed enid602 Dec 2015 #114

He'll always have Paris. workinclasszero Dec 2015 #119

Great news for Team Hillary! leftofcool Dec 2015 #109

Love it! ismnotwasm Dec 2015 #111

Bernie should concede now. moobu2 Dec 2015 #115

I'm sure his money will dry up now workinclasszero Dec 2015 #117

Nate Silver suggests Nationwide polling is pretty much worthless right now Quixote1818 Dec 2015 #118

Nate Silver of 538.com DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #120

Thats his opinion on outcome based on an educated guess but the polling is still meaningless Quixote1818 Dec 2015 #123

Trump is at 35% in aggregate nat'l polling, Hillary is at 57% in aggregate nat'l polling DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #124

polling is meaningless moobu2 Dec 2015 #129

Nationwide polling for the general may be upaloopa Dec 2015 #130

National polling tells you nothing about how the State races will turn out... brooklynite Dec 2015 #133

love Hillary she's my Captain America!"............. riversedge Dec 2015 #126

Hundreds of people are signing up! workinclasszero Dec 2015 #134

On Du, that means Bernie is clearly the frontrunner. n/t Lil Missy Dec 2015 #128

K&R mcar Dec 2015 #131

K&R workinclasszero Dec 2015 #135

If you go down towards the bottom of the page and hit clear all filters Samantha Dec 2015 #136

interesting how Bernie and MOM voters treestar Dec 2015 #139