2016 Postmortem

LonePirate

(13,446 posts)

17. Then what about the 90%+ chance of losing faced by any other Dem candidate?

Tue Oct 20, 2015, 10:21 AM

Oct 2015

I'm not suggesting you should support Hillary. Rather, you should apply the reasoning equally to all candidates if you're going to use these numbers to advocate for or against a candidate.

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The math is clear: Hillary Clinton has better odds of becoming president than anybody else — by far [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 OP

Go Clinton! And, I can't beleive Trump is at 6% Evergreen Emerald Oct 2015 #1

Trump will crash and burn. He's got the same fan base sufrommich Oct 2015 #2

Here is a link to peer reviewed research DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #3

This was the post I was asking about in #47 Gore1FL Oct 2015 #54

My argument DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #55

I'm not asking you to spam your argument. I am asking you to support it. n/t Gore1FL Oct 2015 #56

I cited the peer reviewed research that buttresses my assertions. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #57

And I asked what page supported your argument Gore1FL Oct 2015 #58

You and anybody else can see I cited the quotes verbatim with the page they are on DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #59

It says they are better than a single poll. Gore1FL Oct 2015 #60

What part of DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #61

I understood all of it Gore1FL Oct 2015 #62

What don't I understand ? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #63

Yes you did. Gore1FL Oct 2015 #64

There is nothing dishonest about my thread and I regret you felt the need to disrespect me. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #66

GOPers always have voted against their best interest and have the nerve Iliyah Oct 2015 #28

The Republican Party proper also is on the hook. SusanaMontana41 Oct 2015 #52

Damn! I just put down a sawbuck on Rick Santorum. nt onehandle Oct 2015 #4

LOL !!! - Stop The Presses !!! WillyT Oct 2015 #5

If that means... DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #6

You crack me up. Evergreen Emerald Oct 2015 #8

I don't think we're at acceptance yet. Many more angry, divisive threads to come, I think. randome Oct 2015 #9

It's not acceptance... SidDithers Oct 2015 #22

Well then, time to abandon my principles and vote for the corporatist most likely to win. leftupnorth Oct 2015 #7

Depnds on who the GOP runs Armstead Oct 2015 #10

To what extent do "people who participate in online betting markets" represent "likely voters"? phantom power Oct 2015 #11

Please see Post #3 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #16

Wrong, it says 53% odds say someone will beat her in the general election Reter Oct 2015 #12

We welcome Prez Trump...Carson...Bush III...or even worse... Hepburn Oct 2015 #13

In a field of over twenty five people. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #15

Then what about the 90%+ chance of losing faced by any other Dem candidate? LonePirate Oct 2015 #17

He is ignoring a step in the process, a step the model takes into account DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #18

Oh FFS... SidDithers Oct 2015 #23

There is only one way fredamae Oct 2015 #14

You got me angrychair Oct 2015 #19

Online gambling is gambling against random outcomes brooklynite Oct 2015 #29

Should. angrychair Oct 2015 #44

Betting odds are math? redgreenandblue Oct 2015 #20

Please see Post #3 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #21

Not according to the latest poll berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #24

That poll is nearly a month old DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #27

The trend says otherwise via RCP berni_mccoy Oct 2015 #42

Again, the peer reviwed research suggests the best way to find out who will win is to actually... DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #43

So now you turn to online gambling for solace? AgingAmerican Oct 2015 #25

Please See Post #3 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #26

K & R Iliyah Oct 2015 #30

I like predictwise but miss the old Intrade market Gothmog Oct 2015 #31

Well, y'all have fun with that. [nt] Jester Messiah Oct 2015 #32

This message was self-deleted by its author Ed Suspicious Oct 2015 #33

Math is clear, but the electability odds variable is worthless. Here's the math that counts: DrBulldog Oct 2015 #34

Mantra, mantra, mantra... SoapBox Oct 2015 #35

Love the math! Big k&r! nt sufrommich Oct 2015 #36

K & R SunSeeker Oct 2015 #37

The true winners will be American Citizens. Thinkingabout Oct 2015 #38

I guess Jamie Dimon & the bankers will continue the parties at the White House! dmosh42 Oct 2015 #39

I WISH I had saved... BrainDrain Oct 2015 #40

The odds of course aren't static... DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #46

An online betting market sounds very scientific. n/t Gore1FL Oct 2015 #41

Please see Post #3 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #45

Which of those 26 pages supports your argument? n/t Gore1FL Oct 2015 #47

Here DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #48

You repeated the first post. That is not useful. Gore1FL Oct 2015 #53

Hillary will be a great President! workinclasszero Oct 2015 #49

Nope. pinebox Oct 2015 #50

well vadermike Oct 2015 #51

Biden saw the handwriting on the wall and would most likely agree. oasis Oct 2015 #65

Intrade has Clinton at 94% Gothmog Nov 2015 #67