2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: What exactly will not voting for the nominee accomplish? [View all]jeff47
(26,549 posts)If Clinton is the nominee, she can't win my state (NC).
It's a rural-urban divide swing state. To overcome the rural voters who always vote, you need a large urban turnout. Obama got that in 2008, and failed in 2012.
Clinton has no chance of doing that. The Republicans are so excited to vote against Clinton that I expect we'll need mops to clean up the polling booths.
So the only "say" I get is in the primary. If Clinton is the nominee, I get no choice in the general - my state will be giving its electoral votes to the Republican.
(Sanders or O'Malley would still have a hard time in NC, but not impossible. And since there are easier states to win in order to get to 270, they're unlikely to campaign here to change that)
I'd prefer Clinton to an insane Republican. I don't see much space between her and a moderate Republican. Both are going to seek out a "warm purple space" to placate the insane members of the Republican party.
And given Clinton's track record, and support for the bad parts of her husband's administration, I'm going to be the bargaining chip thrown to the wolves.