2016 Postmortem

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts) Tue Aug 4, 2015, 06:57 PM Aug 2015

Clinton/Sanders in statistical dead heat in New Hamphire. [View all]

The New Hampshire University and WMUR poll, released today, shows HRC at 42 percent and Sanders at 36 with the margin of error at 3.6 percent, but the kicker is the favorability ratings.

http://cola.unh.edu/survey-center/sanders-keeping-pace-clinton-new-hampshire-8415

And, before I hear how "awful" this poll is - it's not.

http://www.fosters.com/article/20121111/GJNEWS_01/121119896

On edit: I like posting state polls more than national polls. We elect presidents state by state, not nationally.

97 replies

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Highlight:

Clinton/Sanders in statistical dead heat in New Hamphire. [View all] Fawke Em Aug 2015 OP

I won't deny he has a chance to take one state. onehandle Aug 2015 #1

I won't deny that Hillary has a chance John Poet Aug 2015 #5

Why do you assume it's only one state? Ken Burch Aug 2015 #41

My feeling is Clinton has an outside chance of losing New Hampshire, will win both.... George II Aug 2015 #69

Meanwhile @ Clinton HQ... ram2008 Aug 2015 #2

Instead of state-owned media, HRC has corporate-owned media. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #3

Yeah. Strange that. +++ erronis Aug 2015 #44

lol. nt restorefreedom Aug 2015 #20

Yes, I lol'ed but this is offensive chknltl Aug 2015 #28

One could argue that given Sanders has thus far not shown an ability to win minority voters mythology Aug 2015 #46

True, but I live in the South. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #56

This here ^^^. malokvale77 Aug 2015 #78

Or... that the media has not covered this, I mean the corporate media nadinbrzezinski Aug 2015 #73

"Gloating is never pretty, but it's especially ugly when you haven't actually won anything yet." Scootaloo Aug 2015 #76

Hi again, Fawke!!! elleng Aug 2015 #4

Hi my friend! Fawke Em Aug 2015 #16

I like this OP much better! artislife Aug 2015 #6

True, but this one uses landlines and cell phones. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #15

I didn't catch that...happier still!! nt artislife Aug 2015 #24

Oh, wow... You mean it only polls people that want to get spam calls? erronis Aug 2015 #45

Unless it's a poll favorable to clinton, of course... Purveyor Aug 2015 #52

Pssst... Fawke Em Aug 2015 #55

Yes we do. malokvale77 Aug 2015 #80

I have this silly idea.` Fawke Em Aug 2015 #83

Most good polls do these days. nt Adrahil Aug 2015 #94

Solid poll, diverse methodology canuck eh Aug 2015 #23

Just saw that, yippee!! nt artislife Aug 2015 #25

Thank you. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #58

How did Chafee end up with negative numbers? He's such a nonentity. n/t winter is coming Aug 2015 #7

My guess is his numbers were never that positive anyway: Betty Karlson Aug 2015 #87

Even Nate Silver said Hillary had nothing to fear as long as her favorabilty stayed high rocktivity Aug 2015 #8

I agree as long as it is a fair fight sadoldgirl Aug 2015 #9

She wins because she lost before? Report1212 Aug 2015 #18

I have a feeling- ruffburr Aug 2015 #10

New Hampshire's alright if you like fighting... zappaman Aug 2015 #11

Wait... Wut? Fawke Em Aug 2015 #60

Wonder how this will look when Biden announces whether or not he's running. progressoid Aug 2015 #12

That was my first thought, too. I think Biden draws from Hillary Clinton than from Bernie Sanders. marble falls Aug 2015 #13

At this point, I'm not so sure. fbc Aug 2015 #21

Biden draws from a few different pools kenfrequed Aug 2015 #89

This claim of Bernie getting only one state sadoldgirl Aug 2015 #14

I've been around this rodeo before, so, let me tell you Fawke Em Aug 2015 #17

Clark was just barely a candidate. SheilaT Aug 2015 #29

You're correct - Clark was barely a candidate. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #59

I'm sorry if you believed in Clark ibegurpard Aug 2015 #33

No, I did not believe in Clark. SheilaT Aug 2015 #43

I WORKED for his campaign, so what you've just said is wrong. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #64

I posted this to another person but this is releveant as well nadinbrzezinski Aug 2015 #68

Hang on a sec... Fawke Em Aug 2015 #70

Rachel had the section where HRC said Black Lives Matter nadinbrzezinski Aug 2015 #72

Thanks... Fawke Em Aug 2015 #75

Wow, thanks nadin... malokvale77 Aug 2015 #81

Oh you welcome... listening to the President nadinbrzezinski Aug 2015 #88

Don't count Hillary out in NH because I remember this happening bigdarryl Aug 2015 #19

I think Hillary is going to be just fine... Headlines don't lie. tomm2thumbs Aug 2015 #22

Thank you for this artislife Aug 2015 #27

people have short memories tomm2thumbs Aug 2015 #36

Great point. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #61

You're right... her lead is 41% in the latest CBS poll.... Adrahil Aug 2015 #95

The rest of the story... yallerdawg Aug 2015 #26

The voters there are still where DU was several months ago, SheilaT Aug 2015 #31

Digging deeper in the poll... yallerdawg Aug 2015 #35

Of course! Fawke Em Aug 2015 #67

long way to go ibegurpard Aug 2015 #30

Without Hillary the repubs win the Presidency OhWiseOne Aug 2015 #32

LWNJ? vt_native Aug 2015 #34

LWNJ? beltanefauve Aug 2015 #39

Unfortunately, left wing bashing is perfecty acceptable and condoned here LondonReign2 Aug 2015 #62

Hmmm. Really, now. libdem4life Aug 2015 #42

this OhWiseOne Aug 2015 #49

Ya missed the point, OWO, LWNJ??? Really? Hmmm. libdem4life Aug 2015 #53

LWNJ's? Here's an acronym for you: GFY. arcane1 Aug 2015 #54

I like your acronym. nt malokvale77 Aug 2015 #82

Gentle Furry Yaks? beam me up scottie Aug 2015 #85

LOL! Hatchling Aug 2015 #91

almost as good as SMD. OhWiseOne Aug 2015 #93

So, you're a nut job if you think Social Security Fawke Em Aug 2015 #65

Lovely thoughts... kenfrequed Aug 2015 #90

It's also a statistical rout, too... George II Aug 2015 #37

Yes it can ibegurpard Aug 2015 #38

In his neighboring state with virtually identical demographics as his adopted home state. George II Aug 2015 #40

more than six months away ibegurpard Aug 2015 #51

And a state that's been significantly more conservative than the state he has lived in for 38 years Luminous Animal Aug 2015 #66

More conservative among the D's there? Adrahil Aug 2015 #96

the MOE on the info you posted is 5.6 dsc Aug 2015 #47

It's 3.6, but OK Fawke Em Aug 2015 #74

No it isn't on the stuff you wrote about dsc Aug 2015 #97

Wow just think if Joe Biden was actually running!!!! LynneSin Aug 2015 #48

I have always loved your cowbell Fawke Em Aug 2015 #71

Much longer than that LynneSin Aug 2015 #84

Aren't "over time" stats important? Spitfire of ATJ Aug 2015 #50

I give him a 40% chance of winning NH... brooklynite Aug 2015 #57

I actually think NH is a tougher state for Sanders LondonReign2 Aug 2015 #63

Several of my arch-conservative friends have some respect for Sanders BlueStreak Aug 2015 #77

well lets see if they're really willing to nominate an avowed socialist ericson00 Aug 2015 #79

This is mixed news for Bernie. The good news is that he's close in NH. DanTex Aug 2015 #86

HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT Aug 2015 #92