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2016 Postmortem

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

6. Well...he leads Romney 49-42, which is almost identical to his 2008 margin over McCain...

Reply to SmellyFeet (Reply #5)

Thu Mar 22, 2012, 03:01 PM

Mar 2012

In '08, he won the male vote by only one point (loses it by two in this poll) & the female vote by 13 - so, 4 more points over where he won it in '08. So, all things considered, the margin seems about right. Add the MOE and it's possible he would win a hypothetical election by 10 or so points using the demographics of this poll.

That sounds about right, IMO.

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Highlight:

New Poll finds Obama leading Romney among women by 17-points [View all] WI_DEM Mar 2012 OP

If Romney gets the nomination that gap will widen. Kalidurga Mar 2012 #1

To put that into perspective: In 2008, Obama won the women vote 56-43 Drunken Irishman Mar 2012 #2

I saw that stat the other day from 2008 (56-43) w/women voters Hawaii Hiker Mar 2012 #9

I'm guessing Romney sharp_stick Mar 2012 #3

I can't think of a worst choice than Kay. She's as exciting as a dish rag. Her voice Laura PourMeADrink Mar 2012 #13

What is wrong with "men"?? DCBob Mar 2012 #4

These polls on demographic make me wonder about the national Obama vs. Romney polls. SmellyFeet Mar 2012 #5

Well...he leads Romney 49-42, which is almost identical to his 2008 margin over McCain... Drunken Irishman Mar 2012 #6

The media fudges the polls. Stan Smith Mar 2012 #11

I still think that's too small. Should be a wider margin. Too many people thing that Obama Liberal_Stalwart71 Mar 2012 #7

Just wait - it'll keep going up NICO9000 Mar 2012 #8

I can't understand how any woman would be for Romney. Stan Smith Mar 2012 #10

A 19 point gender gap? Whoa LetTimmySmoke Mar 2012 #12