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2016 Postmortem

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krawhitham

(4,647 posts)
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:35 PM Oct 2012

47 - 47 Michigan - Baydoun/Foster (D) [View all]

http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/story/19905504/michigan-poll-obama-and-romney-in-dead-heat

Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automated polling random survey of Michigan registered and most likely November 2012 General election voters for Fox 2 News Detroit to determine their voting and issue preferences for the presidential election.

An initial qualifying statement was read to respondents asking them to participate only if they were very likely to vote in the November General Election.

Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey. The margin of error for this total polling sample is 2.93% with a confidence level of 95%.

The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you most likely to vote for in the election?

President Barack Obama 46.92%
Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.56%
another candidate 2.30%
Undecided 4.23%


Blast me if you want I do not think this poll is worth a shit either, but what caught my eye was the fact they called 35,000 people and only 1,122 people responded

Is 3.2% respondents normal?
34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I'd love for Romney to start pumping money into Michigan alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #1
no cell phones CreekDog Oct 2012 #31
If Michigan were as close as this poll indicates Romney and Obama would be campaigning WI_DEM Oct 2012 #2
This has been the weirdest of all polling firms this year TroyD Oct 2012 #3
35,000 people called with 1,122 respondents means one thing. RomneyLies Oct 2012 #4
Same company had rMoney up 4 in August krawhitham Oct 2012 #5
Garbage pollster. Had Romney ProSense Oct 2012 #8
Not a chance FBaggins Oct 2012 #6
robocall -- no cell phones cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #7
This is bs-not one ad is being aired here. Nt Obamamama44 Oct 2012 #9
Even Rasmussen has Obama up 7. Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #10
They suck. RandySF Oct 2012 #11
Trust me. If Romney were competitive in Michigan, he would be there. aaaaaa5a Oct 2012 #12
Yeah, he'd be kind of stupid to give up on 16 EVs so easily if he still had a chance fujiyama Oct 2012 #24
Nick Gourevitch at HuffPo looked at this pollster in October... flowomo Oct 2012 #13
Apparently only old people will answer their phone for these people krawhitham Oct 2012 #15
Hey!... I'm old (64 today) ... but I don't answer my phone world wide wally Oct 2012 #30
Post removed Post removed Oct 2012 #29
In August, this pollster had Romney ahead by 15% in FL Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 #14
Yep gotta call BS. ncav53 Oct 2012 #16
Social scientists call this "self selection." Basically makes the poll meaningless. yellowcanine Oct 2012 #17
I'm Confused DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #22
Yes. Anyone could have been answering the questions. It really is not much better than an yellowcanine Oct 2012 #25
Eric Foster of Foster McCollum White & Associates response to your post about our Michigan poll efoster40 Oct 2012 #28
The 7-11 Poll is more credible than this crap. Tutonic Oct 2012 #18
To weigh down the average Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #19
Eric Foster of Foster McCollum White & Associates response to your post about our Michigan poll efoster40 Oct 2012 #27
They're weighing down the average folks Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #20
At this point before the election, who in their right mind is going to answer the phone?... OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #21
Trust me, Baydoun/Foster has the rep of being one of the worst pollsters out there. Jennicut Oct 2012 #23
Eric Foster of Foster McCollum White & Associates response to your post efoster40 Oct 2012 #26
Well outsideworld Oct 2012 #32
Um, ProSense Oct 2012 #33
This is a known Romney strategy brindis_desala Oct 2012 #34
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