2016 Postmortem

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

7. But the "margin" is - as we know from consistent polling - all in one direction

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:11 AM

Oct 2012

Romney isn't going to get 22% or 30% or 45% of the African American vote in Ohio. Some polls have him receiving 0% of the African American vote! Most have him at 1%-8%, with 8% being a high-range figure. I'm excluding, of course, out-and-out con artists like Gravis. So we know with as much demographic certainty as one could probably have that Obama will receive between 90% and 95% of the African American vote.

So, junior high school math problem: What would the numbers for this poll be if Obama received 95% of the African American vote rather than 70%? You purport to be a numbers cruncher and poll junky. You do the math.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Survey USA - Ohio - Obama +3 [View all] BraKez2 Oct 2012 OP

With Romney pulling 22% of the black vote alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #1

I noticed that too...there is no way BraKez2 Oct 2012 #2

And it's not as if there are a lot of African Americans in the state of Ohio alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #5

Only 67 African Americans were interviewed Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 #4

But the "margin" is - as we know from consistent polling - all in one direction alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #7

You'd think with 22% of the Black Vote one would see at least 1 Black at his Rallies in OH boingboinh Oct 2012 #3

26% already voted TexasCPA Oct 2012 #6

Rasmussen has OHIO at a TIE this morning (48-48) TroyD Oct 2012 #8

Survey USA did not change, it was the same as their last poll. Jennicut Oct 2012 #9

It will be interesting to see whether CNN comes out with a new Ohio poll TroyD Oct 2012 #10

polling companies are irresponsible politicman Oct 2012 #11