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Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
17. While others are smart to point out that this isn't scientific at all...
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 03:55 PM
Oct 2012

It does give you a basic indication of where people are leaning. It makes sense. Who would grab the cup of the candidate they don't support? Most take pride in their candidate ... or at least, not voting for a certain candidate (I liked Kerry, but was never too keen on his campaign, still ... I took pride in showing everyone in red Utah that I wasn't supporting Bush) ... so, they'll grab the cup of the guy they support. Sure, some might feel pressured to pick a certain candidate they don't support, but in the end, I bet the number is statistically minimal.

Is Obama leading the real popular vote 59-41? No. Factor in the red states and that number declines ... but it does show you he's doing good in swing states and, with them never being wrong in the past, you can't definitively say it's not a good predictor until, you know, its predictions prove wrong.

It's kind of hard to take that map seriously. surrealAmerican Oct 2012 #1
This is very awesome DemKittyNC Oct 2012 #2
They got it right in 2000, 2004, 2008... NYC_SKP Oct 2012 #4
Did all 50 states participate then? LiberalElite Oct 2012 #6
Exactly. And most of the missing states are red. n/t pnwmom Oct 2012 #12
It's a crap predictor. It seems, for example, only one 7-11 is being used to represent Idaho. NYC_SKP Oct 2012 #15
Unlike all the other polls which are all over the place right? lunatica Oct 2012 #20
Don't brew, VOTE! :D DemKittyNC Oct 2012 #7
They'll get it right in 2012 too johnlucas Nov 2012 #21
They have been extremely, eerily accurate for the past two elections lunamagica Oct 2012 #9
Wow that is close DemKittyNC Oct 2012 #11
That's freaky. LisaL Oct 2012 #13
I wish they'd give the total # of cups sold for each State for each Candidate boingboinh Oct 2012 #3
Obama would win TX if only people under 40 voted. LisaL Oct 2012 #5
TRu! ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #8
It is true. According to the recent poll, while Romney is way ahead in TX, if only people LisaL Oct 2012 #10
Mormons don't drink coffee or tea. Frank Cannon Oct 2012 #14
Even though I'm not a coffee drinker, I think I'll buy a couple of cups anywah! courseofhistory Oct 2012 #16
While others are smart to point out that this isn't scientific at all... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #17
Didn't I tell you in my thread, Drunken Irishman? johnlucas Oct 2012 #19
Ah, right in line with my 15-20% margin of Obama's LANDSLIDE johnlucas Oct 2012 #18
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