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2016 Postmortem

Beacool

(30,253 posts)

31. I think that Hillary would still be ahead on delegates (pledged).

Reply to pat_k (Reply #25)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 08:59 PM

Mar 2016

But, time will tell.

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Close Primary Elections Don't Affect Much [View all] MineralMan Mar 2016 OP

As long as we're counting DELEGATES (and not individual states) Hillary will be the nominee ... NurseJackie Mar 2016 #1

That seems highly likely, and MineralMan Mar 2016 #2

It does affect one thing. HassleCat Mar 2016 #3

The primary contests will continue. No question. MineralMan Mar 2016 #5

I did notice she didn't win 60-40% as some predicted. Punkingal Mar 2016 #4

Yup. I was wrong, just as were a lot of people. MineralMan Mar 2016 #7

Everything's going to be okay. Mufaddal Mar 2016 #6

Sanders was never supposed to break into double digits in the first place Fumesucker Mar 2016 #8

My primary event is over. MineralMan Mar 2016 #11

On the other hand, if Bernie keeps on SheilaT Mar 2016 #9

On the other hand, I have four fingers and a thumb. MineralMan Mar 2016 #12

She struggles outside the deep south AgingAmerican Mar 2016 #18

The close primaries are a shot across the bow of the center-right leadership of the Dem party apnu Mar 2016 #10

The close primaries are just that: close primaries. MineralMan Mar 2016 #13

Its not opinion, its reality. apnu Mar 2016 #16

Yes they do ibegurpard Mar 2016 #14

Momentum is hard to measure, really. MineralMan Mar 2016 #15

Yep. Analysis relative to targets is looking very good. pat_k Mar 2016 #20

She can't win outside the deep south AgingAmerican Mar 2016 #17

Massachusetts is in the deep south? Cali_Democrat Mar 2016 #24

So is Nevada. CorkySt.Clair Mar 2016 #27

Yup. Cali_Democrat Mar 2016 #30

She has won 1 state outside the deep south AgingAmerican Mar 2016 #32

Nevada is in the Deep South? Cali_Democrat Mar 2016 #33

Analysis relative to targets demonstrates good, very possibly winning, trajectory. pat_k Mar 2016 #19

Do you know if the targets are routinely updated? LonePirate Mar 2016 #21

I assume they adjust targets for remaining elections as polls come in. pat_k Mar 2016 #22

Yes, but Hillary is at 113% of her traget, while Sanders is at 86% Beacool Mar 2016 #23

It's the trajectory. Think about it this way: pat_k Mar 2016 #25

I think that Hillary would still be ahead on delegates (pledged). Beacool Mar 2016 #31

Yeah, it's a long shot. But, remember... pat_k Mar 2016 #34

I bet it took a toll on Nate Silver's xanax stash.... Bluenorthwest Mar 2016 #26

Mr. GOTV forgot to vote at his own caucus. SixString Mar 2016 #28

Why is that odd? MineralMan Mar 2016 #29

Oh! I had no idea! TY for pointing this out! ebayfool Mar 2016 #35

As you've implied, every primary/caucus being proportional... Garrett78 Mar 2016 #36

. enigmatic Mar 2016 #37