2016 Postmortem

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)

53. And Obama outperformed in caucus states, as was his plan.

Reply to Garrett78 (Reply #51)

Mon Mar 7, 2016, 03:39 AM

Mar 2016

Popular vote does not include those, so his strategy necessarily disadvantaged him.

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Hillary has done very well in the deep south. Let's see, how many more southern states are there? [View all] DLnyc Mar 2016 OP

which is exactly why they are trying to convince us to give up as of March 15. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #1

Yes, realistically the contest could go either way. DLnyc Mar 2016 #2

NC, FL & MS. Beacool Mar 2016 #3

I do not expect Hillary to get the kind of margins in NC and FL DLnyc Mar 2016 #5

She doesn't have to win them by as much. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #11

Hillary is way ahead in FL and NC.... Sancho Mar 2016 #31

This NC voter will be voting for her. cwydro Mar 2016 #34

It will be interesting to see how she does in MI, IL and OH DLnyc Mar 2016 #7

When you're already behind... Garrett78 Mar 2016 #12

California has 546 votes, and we do not vote until June 7. That's the big one. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #58

That would be quite the upset. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #60

I predict Bernnie wil crush Hillary in Michigan on Tues. putitinD Mar 2016 #52

So excited ... Optimism Mar 2016 #4

We've already voted madokie Mar 2016 #67

There's some major bombshell coming Hydra Mar 2016 #6

Well, you can't spin the delegates. longship Mar 2016 #9

I wonder if something is lurking underneath CoffeeCat Mar 2016 #13

always the possibility of FBI grasswire Mar 2016 #16

Ahhh . . . you're forgetting or ignoring Florida? brush Mar 2016 #8

Florida has not voted the same as the other states I mentioned, historically DLnyc Mar 2016 #10

We're talking the Democratic primary here, not the general election brush Mar 2016 #46

Hell yes, Even if Hillary does manage to win, it certainly won't be a Democratic mandate. Live and Learn Mar 2016 #14

I will not heel for Hillary. grasswire Mar 2016 #17

Ooh, I like that! Good idea. nt Live and Learn Mar 2016 #18

ignoring Florida? DrDan Mar 2016 #15

Shouldn't all good Democrats after the Bush fisaco? Live and Learn Mar 2016 #19

went to PBO twice - so probably not DrDan Mar 2016 #20

Not in the primary. Live and Learn Mar 2016 #21

my mistake - I thought your "bush fiasco" referred to the GE DrDan Mar 2016 #22

Yes, your mistake. We are not in the GE yet much as some like to pretend we are. nt Live and Learn Mar 2016 #23

yet you refer to a past GE - oh well - Florida PIRMARY looms . . . . DrDan Mar 2016 #24

And you are now pinning your hopes on Florida. Good luick with that. Live and Learn Mar 2016 #25

well - I can't compete with that - the death of a species DrDan Mar 2016 #26

Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #27

and chance for salvation lies with a career politician whose claim-to-fame is writing amendments DrDan Mar 2016 #28

Smear attempt noted and ignored. Bernie is the only one paying attention, he thinks it is the MOST Live and Learn Mar 2016 #29

Why did you use a religious term? Hillary is the only one attending a cult religious group. nt Live and Learn Mar 2016 #30

and thou accuse others of smears . . . DrDan Mar 2016 #32

Michigan, Illinois, Florida, Ohio, New York, Maryland, Pennsylvania... DCBob Mar 2016 #33

I predict Bernnie wil crush Hillary in Michigan on Tues. putitinD Mar 2016 #55

The question you SHOULD be asking BlueMTexpat Mar 2016 #35

I'm not sure where you got 60% DLnyc Mar 2016 #38

No problem. Glad to hear that you BlueMTexpat Mar 2016 #41

Okay, I see, but I don't think that is the relevant number. DLnyc Mar 2016 #42

Clinton won the popular vote in '08. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #51

And Obama outperformed in caucus states, as was his plan. JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #53

Other factors also disadvantaged him. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #59

Hillary will win Michigan, illinois, new York...and those beachbum bob Mar 2016 #36

And OH, NJ and PA... N/t Godhumor Mar 2016 #37

Well, there's Florida, too. MineralMan Mar 2016 #39

Yes, and there's California. And Washington, New York, New Jersey, Wisconsin, Arizona, Connecticut, DLnyc Mar 2016 #40

Clinton doesn't need the same kind of margin. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #43

I agree, she needs less. She needs to get 47.7%, and Bernie needs to get 53.3% DLnyc Mar 2016 #44

The states Sanders is most likely to win... Garrett78 Mar 2016 #47

Mostly so far. Except maybe Minnesota DLnyc Mar 2016 #49

Minnesota was a caucus and is about 86% white. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #50

Interesting DLnyc Mar 2016 #69

And that is no accident -- the DNC scheduled states they thought Hillary would carry FIRST Samantha Mar 2016 #56

They want us to give up before the north TBF Mar 2016 #45

Why does the DNC frontload all southern Dixie states first? aspirant Mar 2016 #48

Why don't we simply have a two or three tier primary in which all states vote at once? Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #62

I'm all for a series of national primaries. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #64

Agree 100% Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #66

I just made a post on this topic Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #54

3.75 vs. 18.9 Garrett78 Mar 2016 #57

Clinton should substantiay pad her lead before taking about 10-14 days of body blows from Sanders Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #61

With the exception of WA and WI... Garrett78 Mar 2016 #63

Agreed. Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #65

I don't think Sanders will win the West Coast. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #68

You are missing a lot of other states where Hillary is expected to win. Lil Missy Mar 2016 #70

Consider where Sanders started before you hand HRC the crown. mikehiggins Mar 2016 #71