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2016 Postmortem

MFM008

(19,808 posts)

4. a few weeks??

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 06:47 PM

Oct 2012

Silver had Obama up 321. electoral votes and 87.1 percent of the vote chance of winning. % 51.6 vs RMoneys 47.3 of the vote on Oct 4. The morning after the debate. Stupid fking polls.

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Highlight:

Silver's flawed assessment of this race. [View all] Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 OP

I think this is an excellent post Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #1

Silver sways and shifts day to freakin' day. Don't listen to all that daily chatter. Just noise. RBInMaine Oct 2012 #2

Background please. Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #3

More like 97% aletier_v Oct 2012 #11

Some people are confusing the NOW CAST TroyD Oct 2012 #12

a few weeks?? MFM008 Oct 2012 #4

I think a big part of the problem is that Nate is used to doing baseball statistics, gkhouston Oct 2012 #5

Thank you for all your hard work on this post. Excellent points! cheriemedium59 Oct 2012 #6

Just posted by Nate Silver: TroyD Oct 2012 #7

Is NS a political animal as well as a statistician? ailsagirl Oct 2012 #8

Even Nate has admitted I believe that Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #9

That's how I see it. Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #14

'the worst thing he can do is undersell Obama.' TroyD Oct 2012 #10

Are you really asking that? Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #13

I used to read 538 regularly in 2008 Denzil_DC Oct 2012 #15

Let us not let this guy panic us or for that matter comfort us treestar Oct 2012 #16