Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

Showing Original Post only (View all)
 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:01 PM Feb 2016

THE WORM HAS TURNED: Barring unforeseeable events, Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic nominee [View all]



http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/7/1481253/-THE-WORM-HAD-TURNED-Barring-unforeseeable-events-Bernie-Sanders-will-be-the-Democratic-nominee

The Clinton campaign is collapsing. Built for an outdated presidential race from the past two decades, it underestimated the changing times, a unique opponent, and increasingly savvy voters.

The campaign's first mistake was to take the traditional approach of sitting on a lead. Certainly, it would have seemed a safe bet. The party's elected politicians would rally to her as the presumptive nominee—and they did. Donors were lined up for a big haul—and they gave. The media would willingly marginalize Sanders—and they tried. And the voters could be quickly frightened with specters of Republicans into sticking with the establishment candidate—but they weren't.

Despite every institutional advantage and a made-to-order GOP horror show, voters could not be scared away from Sanders. The more intently the machine insisted upon Clinton, the more suspect Clinton became. And now her campaign is out of options.

There are no more endorsements left to get. She's squandered her financial advantage by outspending Sanders by many times in Iowa, only to tie. Her big donors must be maxing out in direct contributions, leaving Super PACs as the only vehicle through which she can make up the losses (less than ideal optics). And the media has already stooped so low in its dismissal of Sanders that there is no credible room left to expand that endeavor. At this point, Chris Matthews would literally have to beg viewers to vote Clinton in order to outdo his current advocacy.

On unfamiliar territory and feeling desperate, the inflexible campaign made the second mistake of doubling down on its voter containment strategy


146 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Do Unforseeable events include election fraud or error? NowSam Feb 2016 #1
Gotta come out in overwhelming numbers gyroscope Feb 2016 #9
100% eom NowSam Feb 2016 #10
I agree with everything you said farleftlib Feb 2016 #39
And Hillary campaign is resorting to push polling again passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #85
Do unforeseeable events SCantiGOP Feb 2016 #95
Correct Dem on Feb 2016 #111
I did not write the OP. passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #113
This should be an OP here John Poet Feb 2016 #100
Definitely. nt Live and Learn Feb 2016 #72
This should be an OP MissDeeds Feb 2016 #77
A very good suggestioin is to take pictures of the final tallies Stevepol Feb 2016 #82
Exactly gyroscope Feb 2016 #89
imagine if at precinct x, 300 bernie supporters show up to film the machine output questionseverything Feb 2016 #93
So, so true!!! chervilant Feb 2016 #103
In MD, I asked why vido cameras were not allowed in the polling places ... eppur_se_muova Feb 2016 #112
They said that? caraher Feb 2016 #115
Yep. Try getting the people in charge to see it that way. nt eppur_se_muova Feb 2016 #121
I don't think they'll even let you take photos. Confidentiality issues. kerry-is-my-prez Feb 2016 #125
Oh boy, here come the conspiracy theories. Watch out. Big brother's gonna get ya! RBInMaine Feb 2016 #132
Yep, exactly. Helen Borg Feb 2016 #22
when Rachel said she couldn't see how Bernie would make it to July PatrynXX Feb 2016 #84
I just hope that he can beat the Republican nominee... mark67 Feb 2016 #116
Your fears are unfounded... humbled_opinion Feb 2016 #117
Thats what I'm afraid of too. People won't vote for a "Socialist" - the term freaks people out. kerry-is-my-prez Feb 2016 #124
If they won't vote for a "socialist", they deserve everything that happens to them imo VulgarPoet Feb 2016 #140
... used to freak people out. No longer. Alas for the neoloberal looters, Joe Chi Minh Feb 2016 #142
I just want a strong veto pen against the whacked out congress full of righwing loonies mdbl Feb 2016 #136
Delusional... FarPoint Feb 2016 #2
One state has had a say and it's all over, according to Sanders supporters. Ridiculous. Metric System Feb 2016 #3
Ya it's insane isn't it? pinebox Feb 2016 #17
states enid602 Feb 2016 #46
hey it is what it is pinebox Feb 2016 #49
New PPP poll has her ahead 21 points. n/t OhZone Feb 2016 #67
Yes, and PPP is the ONLY scientific poll out there. RoccoR5955 Feb 2016 #73
PPP had Clinton winning Iowa 48-40 Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #131
PPP got their butt kicked by actual Iowa voters jfern Feb 2016 #135
Post removed Post removed Feb 2016 #18
I think I give Clinton more credit to drag it out than you do shawn703 Feb 2016 #20
In your dreams shenmue Feb 2016 #61
I agree she won't give up because Goldman-Sachs would ask for their $650,000 gift rhett o rick Feb 2016 #91
"right wing fueled Sanders supporters... malokvale77 Feb 2016 #59
Words born our of desperation lunatica Feb 2016 #83
I'm a Sanders supporter and I disagree with the opinion piece. JRLeft Feb 2016 #41
Clinton supporters were saying it's over months ago. That was even more ridiculous :) arcane1 Feb 2016 #78
Absolutely. Totally INSANE article. No sense at all of the process. RBInMaine Feb 2016 #133
Way too premature for that. Jarqui Feb 2016 #4
Hillary is solid.... FarPoint Feb 2016 #19
and then shaken to it's very core. nt Jarqui Feb 2016 #23
her foundation is not secure at all. She's sitting on an earthquake wordpix Feb 2016 #38
Are you joking? californiabernin Feb 2016 #79
Hillary is sold 406-Boz Feb 2016 #96
She is not a good post- Obama candidate loyalsister Feb 2016 #110
I wouldn't presume anything, work your area, work all areas you can. Jefferson23 Feb 2016 #5
^THIS^ lasttrip Feb 2016 #33
It ain't over til it's over GeoWilliam750 Feb 2016 #108
Yep - Hillary's campaign was designed to edge Bernie out early. Avalux Feb 2016 #6
No he will not! leftofcool Feb 2016 #7
Such a win wouldn't bother you? NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #11
The gatekeepers know what's best for its citizens. Plays right into the RW F. A. Hayek meme. TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #15
That's what.. cannabis_flower Feb 2016 #21
It is about delegates. leftofcool Feb 2016 #104
And then losing the general election. jeff47 Feb 2016 #114
delegates are apportioned in every state restorefreedom Feb 2016 #12
they are chasing super delegates. subverting the will of roguevalley Feb 2016 #34
yup. and if they try to use supers, which i think they will, restorefreedom Feb 2016 #44
That would cause illegitimacy, an institutional disruption to the Democratic party... ill advised. TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #13
It would make Chicago '68 look like a Sunday picnic. HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #24
I have been thinking that there might be a 68 rerun. LiberalArkie Feb 2016 #28
68 rerun, with talk safeinOhio Feb 2016 #47
That kind of schism has been seen at the convention before. HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #120
In which case Glamrock Feb 2016 #55
We'll see.. speaktruthtopower Feb 2016 #8
WTF greiner3 Feb 2016 #63
I guess I missed the updated delegate count . . . . what is it now? DrDan Feb 2016 #14
Don't worry about it FlatBaroque Feb 2016 #16
When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Feb 2016 #25
O...M...G! SoapBox Feb 2016 #26
They put far too much faith in the corporate media's ability to stop an insurgent Sanders NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #30
I am still laughing, and quote............ nolabels Feb 2016 #58
this is so true-- what else can they say about him now? Fast Walker 52 Feb 2016 #122
Oh my! That's incredibly amusing! NurseJackie Feb 2016 #27
Is this suppose to be a skit from SNL? Or something from the Comedy Channel? William769 Feb 2016 #45
No, it's what passes for intellectual political discourse...when one has nothing to offer. libdem4life Feb 2016 #69
No,I think this is Betty White laughing at the thought, wendylaroux Feb 2016 #101
Sanders will have to win enough states by large enough margins........... George II Feb 2016 #29
I think they're going by those "unskewed" internet polls again. These kids! They're wacky! Squinch Feb 2016 #31
If Hillary wins the nomination without popular support, then the GE is unwinnable. /nt JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #37
The term 'super delegate' is jargon, our Party calls them 'unpledged delegates' becasue that's what Bluenorthwest Feb 2016 #53
Don't jump the gun. 21st Century Poet Feb 2016 #32
"The American people are beginning to realize that they can elect someone they are not Dustlawyer Feb 2016 #35
+1 safeinOhio Feb 2016 #54
it may only be the spark that starts the real revolution. AlbertCat Feb 2016 #94
I agree. bvar22 Feb 2016 #99
Well threatening young women with hellfire and accusing them of being whores... JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #36
She didn't say that! Major Nikon Feb 2016 #43
Gloria did say that and is a supporter of Clinton... JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #48
Technically, she just said they were too horny and boy crazy to make a rational decision hueymahl Feb 2016 #70
So she called them sluts, not whores.... my mistake. /nt JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #71
Too bad he is alienating all the Hillary supporters for the GE. 33taw Feb 2016 #40
Supporters of the NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #42
That being the case, why did he not run as an indy? Of course he wants the establishment vote DrDan Feb 2016 #51
He's doing the Dems a favor... TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #65
where did Bernie promise to support Hillary? nt grasswire Feb 2016 #127
Google is your friend. NT Bohunk68 Feb 2016 #137
At the end of every debate he came out for the Dems in the general. bettyellen Feb 2016 #146
I agree, but we can't afford to stand down. Beware of a potential October Surprise. avaistheone1 Feb 2016 #50
I support Bernie, I think it could happen, but an endzone dance may be early. marble falls Feb 2016 #52
LOL! OhZone Feb 2016 #56
K&R! Duval Feb 2016 #57
Hillary will still likely win... TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #60
How is this going to happen? Stuckinthebush Feb 2016 #62
Well, according to "hootch", anyway...nt SidDithers Feb 2016 #64
Thank you Sid! According to Hootch indeed. catnhatnh Feb 2016 #87
Walking on dangerous ground Wibly Feb 2016 #66
I noticed this, too (from the linked blog post): tblue37 Feb 2016 #68
Unforeseeable events like losing? ucrdem Feb 2016 #74
NC has the cart before the horse 40RatRod Feb 2016 #75
These two paragraphs alone are worth a recommendation. Uncle Joe Feb 2016 #76
Awesome post! Fantastic article! KnR n/t 99th_Monkey Feb 2016 #80
Good find. Shared. Recommended! leftcoastmountains Feb 2016 #81
Wishful thinking treestar Feb 2016 #86
Just what I have said for weeks if not months: Clinton is stuck in the 20th century. Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #88
I certainly hope his momentum keeps building A Little Weird Feb 2016 #90
At this point, Chris Matthews would literally have to beg viewers to vote Clinton ... AlbertCat Feb 2016 #92
This message was self-deleted by its author stopbush Feb 2016 #97
You know what they say about assuming, don't you? Beacool Feb 2016 #98
You tie Iowa Lordquinton Feb 2016 #106
I thought that the throng of Sanders' Millenials were going to win it for him. Beacool Feb 2016 #107
I thought Sanders was going to drop out over the summer Lordquinton Feb 2016 #109
I guess we should just cancel all of the coming primaries then. NNadir Feb 2016 #102
Kicked and recommended! Enthusiast Feb 2016 #105
I'd say it's turning but not yet turned. nt thereismore Feb 2016 #118
LOL, I think that worm's going to roll over and die (eom) ThreeWayFanny Feb 2016 #119
I believe it's possible. LWolf Feb 2016 #123
Yes, the campaign that is leading 70-30 and more in most of the rest of the states... Tarc Feb 2016 #126
Yup, their campaign telling my nieces that they vote according to how slutty they are Bohunk68 Feb 2016 #138
"unfamiliar territory and feeling desperate" tazkcmo Feb 2016 #128
Good piece, NC, thanks. n/t bvf Feb 2016 #129
I like Bernie but he won't be nominated Sorry wss2001 Feb 2016 #130
Only time will tell who's right and who's wrong. NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #143
It's certainly possible, though the idea that it's a shoe-in is crazy talk Recursion Feb 2016 #134
bookmarking.... stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #139
Gonna bump this fantasy post after super tuesday....... workinclasszero Feb 2016 #141
What is this, a coronation?? randome Feb 2016 #144
Mistakes momentum for inevitability. Orsino Feb 2016 #145
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»THE WORM HAS TURNED: Barr...»Reply #0