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Omaha Steve

(99,632 posts)
Sat Nov 24, 2012, 10:30 AM Nov 2012

Is Gallup’s place atop poll world slipping? [View all]

Source: Omaha World Herald

By Matthew Hansen

On Oct. 21, Gallup released a national poll that dropped like a neutron bomb: Mitt Romney had a whopping 7-point lead over President Barack Obama, according to the much-respected polling company whose operational headquarters is in Omaha.

Sixteen days later — on Election Night — that presidential bombshell looked very much like a dud. Obama coasted to a second term and ended up winning by more than three percentage points.

Now Gallup is taking incoming fire from both independent experts and the Obama campaign for what they see as the company’s errant presidential polling. The criticism comes during a postelection reckoning inside Gallup, as its East Coast pollsters and Omaha statisticians grapple with a crucial question.

What, if anything, went wrong?

FULL story at link.


Read more: http://www.omaha.com/article/20121124/NEWS/711249922

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Well, what do the polls say thucythucy Nov 2012 #1
Unskewed polls? Andy Stanton Nov 2012 #2
Polling is as reliable as The Wizard Nov 2012 #3
don't know ask Nate Silver PatrynXX Nov 2012 #20
Gallup has had terrible results election after election for the last 10 years. Good to see the media Mass Nov 2012 #4
What other numbers are the fudging to sway public opinion then? R. Daneel Olivaw Nov 2012 #23
+1 nt ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #33
Gallup's representation is in the gutter and has been for a while. Third Doctor Nov 2012 #5
I hope Gallup loses credibility over this - and other pollsters will see if they play politics Chemisse Nov 2012 #6
slipping? heaven05 Nov 2012 #7
Gallop Poll... from now on reffered to as The Notoriously Unreliable Gallop Poll. Walk away Nov 2012 #8
Pew was no better Iliyah Nov 2012 #9
Exactly Dakota Flint Nov 2012 #10
Pew is a good name for them... movonne Nov 2012 #12
Polling by Gallup is not their main business, bringing a new product to the market? mrdmk Nov 2012 #13
If folks want an accurate account of what is going on... they should just come here. aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 #19
Pew's final poll for the election had Obama winning by 3 Downtown Hound Nov 2012 #28
+1000 nt ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #34
SNL Comment anokaflash Nov 2012 #11
The same thing that happened to Dennis Miller -- they sold out for a price melody Nov 2012 #14
To Gallup: I hope you fail BumRushDaShow Nov 2012 #15
Why is the media so late to the story. aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 #16
People were bashing Gallup as far back as 2004 Downtown Hound Nov 2012 #29
Their John2 Nov 2012 #31
+1 nt ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #35
I used to work in polling and market research Wolf Frankula Nov 2012 #17
It used to tell the story of how Gallup came into being... Blanks Nov 2012 #18
This might be why polls were off unc70 Nov 2012 #21
IMO, Gallup has been unreliable for quite a long time. closeupready Nov 2012 #22
They tried to be too cute by half with their LV model. I always discounted that Kahuna Nov 2012 #24
Nate Sliver made Gallup pointless. sarcasmo Nov 2012 #25
Landlines? SCVDem Nov 2012 #26
They have been knocked off their high horse years ago. hrmjustin Nov 2012 #27
WHO Said They Are at the Top of the Heap? Iggy Nov 2012 #30
Gallup already has fallen off its throne - it's still the most famous name in polling but they've Midwestern Democrat Nov 2012 #32
There's sampling error even if the model is perfect. David__77 Nov 2012 #36
When ideology overrules science you are drifting into delusion on point Nov 2012 #37
The greasy poll can't climb to the top. Ken Burch Nov 2012 #38
We need to watch carefully. defacto7 Nov 2012 #39
Well, let's see . . . tclambert Nov 2012 #40
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