General Discussion

BlindTiresias

(1,563 posts)

35. I'll try and find better data

Sat Oct 4, 2014, 01:46 AM

Oct 2014

My general point was that the numbers are being adjusted according to models being utilized by the CDC, however they are indeed using a conservative R0 in these models from what I can see. As the picture becomes clearer I think it is possible, maybe even likely, that the R0 for Ebola changes as we get a better understanding of how it behaves in established populations that are not isolated, rural villages.

I think we will also see whether the adjusted trendlines are conservative or not as well, or at least have a better idea.

Also as others have pointed out a R0 in the 2 area will still mess you up if efforts are not made to contain the spread of the disease, so I don't think the R0 alone should be too comforting for people, honestly.

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No, Seriously, How Contagious Is Ebola? [View all] morningfog Oct 2014 OP

I can't tell you how contagious is, but I can tell you how serious it is. lonestarnot Oct 2014 #1

Eh... BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #2

I know you want it to be more contagious, but morningfog Oct 2014 #3

I don't BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #4

Yes the article said all of that. You suggested the morningfog Oct 2014 #6

Sheesh. Over the top much? Old Crow Oct 2014 #12

Context BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #13

Understood. Old Crow Oct 2014 #16

Oh bullshit. Link to it or shut up. morningfog Oct 2014 #17

Drama. Feral Child Oct 2014 #39

Here is an interesting article "can you catch ebola from an infected blanket?" uppityperson Oct 2014 #5

Good info. morningfog Oct 2014 #7

Thank you. I found it in another thread. uppityperson Oct 2014 #8

THIS is the ANSWER. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ No more media hysteria, shall we? Fred Sanders Oct 2014 #41

And that is determined by a variety of factors. longship Oct 2014 #9

And really all the unhinged people need to do is look at morningfog Oct 2014 #11

I fully expect to see the same idiocy from the denialists/antivaxer/antiscience/ kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #32

I have a question gvstn Oct 2014 #10

Don't worry, Ebola is not contagious,. Zorra Oct 2014 #14

Furthermore BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #15

Thank you. 840high Oct 2014 #19

Link? Thank you. uppityperson Oct 2014 #21

Alright BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #23

You are misstating the information on the CDC website. Old Crow Oct 2014 #25

I don't mean to imply it was intentional or otherwise some shocking secret BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #27

How about an "Oh, you're right--I missed that"? Old Crow Oct 2014 #29

I mean BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #30

Are you asking if I believe the Corrected trend lines are inaccurate? Old Crow Oct 2014 #34

The curve for Uganda, Nigeria and Senegal has flatlined to 0.Ebola controlled. Why do you want to be Fred Sanders Oct 2014 #42

Are you addressing me? Or someone else? Old Crow Oct 2014 #43

Meant for blindtireass. Sorry. Fred Sanders Oct 2014 #44

That is a very interesting link, thank you. I do not see R0 numbers there though uppityperson Oct 2014 #28

I'll try and find better data BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #35

We do not commonly walk barefoot across sharp stones in a common latrine area alphafemale Oct 2014 #18

sigh BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #20

Have you gotten your flu vaccine yet? uppityperson Oct 2014 #22

This week, actually BlindTiresias Oct 2014 #24

That is good, so did I. uppityperson Oct 2014 #26

No case from sweat has yet been documented. Warpy Oct 2014 #33

Not likely. morningfog Oct 2014 #36

R0 is not the only factor. There is no way to quantify kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #31

MY question: EXACTLY HOW did those cured US victims contract it? We've never been told. WinkyDink Oct 2014 #37

They were working in the trenches, so to speak. morningfog Oct 2014 #40

"I guess the question is do they know how they were infected." And that is what scares: Do THEY WinkyDink Oct 2014 #46

The real question Feral Child Oct 2014 #38

"on average" does not take into consideration individual circumstances magical thyme Oct 2014 #45