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Showing Original Post only (View all)Charts: What if Obama spent like Reagan? [View all]
In 10 of the past 12 quarters, total government spending and investment has fallen, dragging down the Obama economy. Thats in large part because state and local cutbacks have been so severe, but its also because federal spending and investment has, on the whole, been falling since 2010.
That made me curious: How does government spending and investment during Obamas first term compare to Ronald Reagan and George W. Bushs first terms? ... Whereas total government spending dropped in 10 out of the 16 quarters that comprised Obamas first term, it rose in 13 out of Reagans first 16 quarters, and 13 out of Bushs first 16 quarters.
Or, to put it differently, over Obamas first term, falling government spending and investment snipped, on average, .11 percentage points of GDP off of (annualized) quarterly growth. During Reagans first term, it added .68 percentage points, and during Bushs first term, it added .52 percentage points.
...these graphs simply establish a basic fact about Obamas term: While deficits have indeed been high, government spending and investment has been falling since 2010. This is, in recent presidential administrations, a simply unprecedented response to a recession. Just for fun, I took Obamas GDP growth, netted out the effect of government spending and investment, and then added the total government spending and investment numbers which include state and local government from Reagans first term. The result is a significantly better economy, with growth since 2010 averaging 3.2 percent rather than 2.4 percent.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/01/31/charts-what-if-obama-spent-like-reagan/
None of which will stop republicans from constantly referring to 'big-spending Democrats'.
It is interesting to see how much better off the economy would be under a 'big-spending republican' like the much revered (in republican circles anyway) Reagan. GDP growth now would be about 3% rather than the most recent -0.1%.