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lapfog_1

(29,199 posts)
6. "Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc"
Wed Dec 26, 2012, 05:03 AM
Dec 2012

after, therefore, because of it.

But it's almost never true.

your "report" that must be refuted is linking two items and two items only as if nothing else matters.

From 1994 to 2007 the number of men, aged 25 to 50, decreased... and prison populations boomed, which very well might be a better linkage to the murder rate dropping than gun sales.

i.e. Baby boomers got old(er) and moved out of the range of people likely to commit murder...

In addition, what I've heard calls for here at DU and in the press are:

1) Close loopholes in gun shows and online ordering
2) ban certain weapons (Assault rifles, if we can define them)
3) ban large capacity clips

Only one of those items is likely to have any effect on the overall murder rate with firearms (number 1), and even that is speculative. OTOH, those three items together might (and only might) prevent 2 or 3 mass shootings a year.

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