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In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver ~ Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014 [View all]dsc
(52,169 posts)28. the problem is this was a high water mark
Barring something unprecedented we should do worse in 2014 than in 2012. We might be able to reverse the gerrymandering in a state or two, Ohio and NJ are our best shots since in both cases we need to win at large elections and not elections coming from the district map which currently exists. PA also had a commission draw its lege maps so we might have an outside shot there. If you add that to some narrow escapees this time we have a better shot at 2016.
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A year ago we were also told the Democrats would not win the Senate. Instead we have a 10 seat
still_one
Nov 2012
#1
even without akin a mourdock we still would have the majority in the Senate. As far as the house
still_one
Nov 2012
#20
we are moving the right direction. We just got another seat in Arizona today. Things are changing
still_one
Nov 2012
#22
State level elections, govenors races every ten years after cencus, helped them redistrict.
julian09
Nov 2012
#33
That is nothing but a snapshot in time making a prediction two years ahead of time. If we do nothing
Texas Lawyer
Nov 2012
#35