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Profile Information

Name: Peggy
Gender: Female
Hometown: Manhattan Beach, CA
Home country: USA
Current location: Right here!
Member since: Thu Feb 3, 2005, 01:41 PM
Number of posts: 121,367

Journal Archives

Ronald Brownstein on 6 keys to who will win in 2016:


Scroll down the page to read his column.

An excerpt:

1. Who wins the battle for con­trol of the Re­pub­lic­an Party?

Once again, the GOP is di­vid­ing between white-col­lar, cen­ter-right “ma­na­geri­al” voters and “pop­u­list” voters drawn from the over­lap­ping circles of work­ing-class whites and evan­gel­ic­al Chris­ti­ans. When those two blocs have di­verged be­fore, the man­agers’ pref­er­ence (think John Mc­Cain in 2008 and Mitt Rom­ney in 2012) has usu­ally pre­vailed. But this year, no can­did­ate has con­sol­id­ated the ma­na­geri­al wing, and the race’s two front-run­ners are anti­es­tab­lish­ment pop­u­lists re­ly­ing mostly on blue-col­lar (Don­ald Trump) or evan­gel­ic­al (Ted Cruz) voters. Many party strategists fear that neither can­did­ate could win the gen­er­al elec­tion. The primar­ies will de­term­ine if the GOP’s ma­na­geri­al main­stream can unite to seize the nom­in­a­tion, or if the party will leap in­to the un­known with Trump or Cruz.

2. Can Demo­crats re­as­semble the “co­ali­tion of the as­cend­ant?”

That’s the term I coined in 2008 for the groups that un­der­pin the mod­ern Demo­crat­ic elect­or­al co­ali­tion: mil­len­ni­als, people of col­or, and col­lege-edu­cated, single, and sec­u­lar whites, es­pe­cially wo­men. Those groups are grow­ing in the elect­or­ate, and if Demo­crats can turn them out and main­tain their re­cent ad­vant­ages among them, Re­pub­lic­ans could win the pres­id­ency only by amass­ing daunt­ingly high mar­gins among all oth­er whites. But it re­mains to be proven wheth­er Demo­crats can en­er­gize those groups as ef­fect­ively as they did with Pres­id­ent Obama on the bal­lot. Po­lar­iz­ing pro­pos­als from the GOP front-run­ners could help mo­tiv­ate them, but front-run­ner Hil­lary Clin­ton draws sur­pris­ingly tep­id rat­ings from some of these con­stitu­en­cies. One re­lated wild card is the con­tin­ued ten­sion between Afric­an-Amer­ic­ans and mostly Demo­crat­ic big-city may­ors over poli­cing prac­tices. This could de­press black turnout from its re­cord high when Obama ran.

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Fri Jan 8, 2016, 02:46 PM (4 replies)

After the rain...

Sometimes there is a rainbow...

And then there's the sunset, with these orange clouds:

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Tue Jan 5, 2016, 08:27 PM (10 replies)

The Man In The High Castle

We've just finished watching all ten episodes that make up the first season.

It was very good, but omigod, the various threads of the story are amazing and complex. Some parts are hard to watch. There is lots of violence and scary tension.

I'm curious to hear if anyone has also seen all the episodes. And of course, what you think of them. There's no indication that there will be more episodes, but I'm pretty sure there will be.

Your thoughts?

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Mon Dec 28, 2015, 12:04 AM (3 replies)

Manny Goldstein is alive and well and posting on Facebook.

He can be found there.

That is all.

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Sat Dec 19, 2015, 01:48 PM (187 replies)

It has been almost a month since I posted.


Are you hoping I will give up and stop expecting you to answer?

I'm not.

And I'm still angry and disgusted.

And I still expect an answer.

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Thu Dec 3, 2015, 03:22 PM (1 replies)

Thanksgiving Day garden photos:

We had dinner with our oldest daughter and her boyfriend and his family!

An old-style Camellia:


And one of their pooches!

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Sat Nov 28, 2015, 03:35 PM (6 replies)

Nearly Full...

I was having fun photographing the moon late this afternoon, when something else showed up...

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Tue Nov 24, 2015, 12:30 AM (6 replies)

A story about El Nino, from Daily Kos:


The weekly average equatorial Pacific ocean sea surface temperature in was 3 degrees or greater (5.4 degrees F) above normal in the key region from 170 degrees west to 120 degrees west for the first time on record.

Tropical Pacific water temperatures are shockingly hot. Last week equatorial Pacific water temperatures averaged 3 degrees Celsius above normal for the first time ever in the key Niño 3.4 region. The previous weekly high Niño 3.4 value of 2.8 degrees was tied last week with Nov. 28, 1997. The Niño 3.4 region, used to measure the strength of an El Niño ranges from 170W to 120W from 5 degrees north to 5 degrees south of the equator. If temperatures continue to rise, or plateau for a few more weeks, this will be the strongest El Niño in history.

All of it at the link, above.

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Tue Nov 17, 2015, 04:44 PM (1 replies)

Gate A-4 By Naomi Shihab Nye, on a Blog by David Kanigan.

Wandering around the Albuquerque Airport Terminal, after learning my flight had been delayed four hours, I heard an announcement: “If anyone in the vicinity of Gate A-4 understands any Arabic, please come to the gate immediately.” Well— one pauses these days. Gate A-4 was my own gate. I went there.

The whole story at the link:


Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Tue Nov 17, 2015, 01:13 AM (2 replies)

Great Toon on the roots of ISIS:

Posted by CaliforniaPeggy | Mon Nov 16, 2015, 01:42 PM (47 replies)
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