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Gothmog

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Member since: Mon Apr 5, 2004, 04:58 PM
Number of posts: 19,127

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HRC Room Post- We are starting a grassroots club to support Hillary in my county



The first meeting is this Saturday http://us7.campaign-archive1.com/?u=8e365e60b6cc4650c758fbebf&id=735d0d0a10&e=af9feac7e8

We are announcing an organizational meeting of all people in Fort Bend County interested in promoting and electing Hillary Clinton. This will be a purely grassroots effort to educate voters about Hillary Clinton, register voters, ensure a fair election, and proudly show our support for Hillary.

Date: Saturday, July 11th
Time: 2:00 pm
Location: University Branch Library, 14010 University Blvd., Sugar Land,
Room 2 downstairs

Why 2016 will be a Supreme Court election

One of the key issues that I am considering in the upcoming primary contest is the control of the SCOTUS. The recent 5 to 4 decisions that came down last week and the week before show how important the SCOTUS is ad the control of the SCOTUS will be determined by the 2016 election. http://theweek.com/articles/564891/why-2016-supreme-court-election

And in the next term, there are positive signs for the right. The justices have already agreed to hear a case that could put the final nail in affirmative action's coffin, as well as one that could cripple public sector unions. The justices are also likely to take one or more cases on restrictions at abortion clinics, and if they rule the way conservatives want, it could make abortions almost impossible to obtain in large swaths of the country.

All that is unlikely to banish the memory of the last couple of weeks from Republicans' minds, and you can bet that the GOP presidential candidates are going to have to promise primary voters that they'll deliver more Supreme Court justices like Alito, and fewer like Anthony Kennedy or even Roberts. If Democrats care about their own agenda, they ought to be no less motivated to vote by the prospect of changes in the court....

While it's possible that they all might decide to hold out until there's a president of their own party to replace them, infirmity or illness may make that impossible. And it's been an awfully long time since a president had the opportunity to change the court's course. The last time a Republican managed it was when George H.W. Bush appointed Clarence Thomas to replace the retiring Thurgood Marshall. And Democrats? Believe it or not, it's been over six decades since a Democratic president had the opportunity to replace a conservative justice; the last one to do it was John F. Kennedy, who appointed Byron White to a seat when Charles Evans Whittaker, who had been appointed by President Eisenhower, resigned in 1962.

If the next president gets that chance, no matter which party he or she comes from, it will profoundly affect the court's direction. If a Republican could appoint someone to replace Ginsburg or Breyer, it would mean a 6-3 conservative majority, which means that Kennedy would no longer be the swing vote and there would be a margin for error in every case. If a Democratic president were to replace Scalia or Kennedy, then the court would go from 5-4 in favor of the conservatives to 5-4 in favor of the liberals.

Those two outcomes would produce two radically different Supreme Courts, with implications that would shape American life for decades. If you think the court has been handling controversial and consequential cases lately, just you wait.

I remember when GHWBush replaced Thurgood Marshal with that idiot Clarence Thomas which started the shift of the court towards being far more conservative. If the GOP gets to pick the replacements for Breyer and RBG, then the court will tilted to the right for a very very long time. By the same measure, if a Democratic President gets to select Kennedy's or Scalia's replacment, then we will not have to worry about the gutting of the right to privacy or Roe v. Wade.

All but a couple of the abortion clinics in Texas were scheduled to be shut down on July 1 and these clinics are still open due to a 5 to 4 decision. Affirmative action, one man one vote and a host of important issues will be decided next year and I would hate to see the SCOTUS shift to being a 6 to 3 court in favor of the conservatives.

Texas Anti-Abortion ruling stayed by SCOTUS

Source: Supreme Court Website

https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.documentcloud.org/documents/2119688/14a1288-whole-womans-health-v-cole-zr.pdf

Read more: https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.documentcloud.org/documents/2119688/14a1288-whole-womans-health-v-cole-zr.pdf



This just came out. HB2 is stayed by the SCOTUS. The 5th Circuit case was to take effect on Wednesday July 1

Hillary Clinton Room Post-Two years ago today, the SCOTUS gutted the Voting Rights Act

Cross post from GD http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026900823

Two years ago today, the SCOTUS gutted the Voting Rights Act

Two years ago today, the SCOTUS gutted the Voting Rights Act in the Shelby County vs. Holder opinion. This is also a good time to remember the importance of the SCOTUS and the importance of the swing vote http://www.projectvote.org/blog/2015/06/shelby-county-and-the-power-of-the-scotus-swing-vote/
?resize=450%2C300

Two years ago today, the Supreme Court delivered a devastating blow to the Voting Rights Act in its Shelby County v. Holder decision. Shelby County invalidated the coverage formula of the VRA, effectively nullifying the section that required jurisdictions that had a history of discriminatory voting practices to get federal preclearance before any new voting practices could be implemented. In the years since Shelby County, the number of states that have proposed laws that restrict access to voting is staggering. The obvious and far-reaching effects of this 5-4 decision highlight the incredible influence and power a single Supreme Court justice possesses.

Shelby County is not unique in its 5-4 split. It is not unusual for the outcome of a case to depend on the decision of a single swing justice. Some of the most prominent cases since the turn of the century have been 5-4 decisions: Bush v. Gore, Citizens United v. FEC, NFIB v. Sebelius (Affordable Care Act). When the fate of such consequential cases can hinge on a single vote, the retirement and replacement of just one new justice could be huge.

The current SCOTUS bench is among the oldest since the New Deal. The average age of retirement for the past nine justices is 80.3 years old, and there are already several sitting justices who are approaching or past that age. It is the role of the president to appoint new Supreme Court justices, and because of the age of the current bench, he or she will almost surely be called upon to fulfill that duty. As 2016 approaches, the prospects of another general election that could includes another Clinton or Bush may leave many Americans feeling less excited about the election than they did it years past. With several aging Supreme Court justices, however, the significance of the 2016 election—irrespective of the eventual nominees—is astronomical.
Justice Age
2016 2020 2024
Ruth Bader Ginsburg 83 87 91
Antonin Scalia 80 84 88
Anthony Kennedy 80 84 88
Stephen Breyer 78 82 86

The table above shows the ages of the four oldest justices at the next three elections. The justices’ ages in 2024 are included because incumbent presidents who run for reelection win two-thirds of the time, meaning that whoever is elected in 2016 has a good chance of remaining in office until 2025 if he or she chooses to run again.

This election will be one of the most important election in recent history as to the direction of the SCOTUS. I live in Texas and I have seen the results of the gutting of the Voting Rights Act. Turnout in the 2014 race was depressed for Democratic candidates. In my county, it appears that we lost 9000 to 11000 votes. Statewide the GOP candidate for governor in the 2014 race got 10000 more votes than the GOP candidate in 2010 but the Democratic candidate was done almost 300,000 votes.

Elections have consequences we need to remember how important the SCOTUS is. Two years ago today, we saw the Voting Rights Act gutted.

HRC Room-Movement on voting rights following Hillary Clinton pitch

It has only been two weeks since Hillary Clinton's speech on voting rights and there have been some meaningful and significant movement in this area http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/movement-voting-rights-following-hillary-clinton-pitch?cid=eml_mra_20150616 Normally you do not see much movement in this area but HRC may have accelerated the consideration of changes to voting rights

Nate Silver-Don’t Pay Attention To That Wisconsin Straw Poll

This is an interesting article from Nate Silver http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/dont-pay-attention-to-that-wisconsin-straw-poll/

Texas pool party chaos: Police officer resigns

Source: CNN

The actions of Eric Casebolt, the police corporal shown in a video responding to reports of fighting at a pool party in McKinney, Texas, were "indefensible," the city's police chief said in a news conference Tuesday announcing the corporal's resignation. "Our policies, our training, our practice, do not support his actions," Police Chief Greg Conley said. "He came into the call out of control, and as the video shows, was out of control during the incident."

Read more: http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/09/us/mckinney-texas-pool-party-video/index.html



This officer had to go

It is not a good idea to locate a voting center in a police station or branch office

Excuse my frustration. My county is adopting countywide voting which means that on election day a voter can vote at any voting location in the county and not just at their local precinct. I have been an election judge a couple of times each cycle and it is painful to tell someone five minutes before polls close that they are at the wrong location. This plan eliminates that problem.

We had a meeting to discuss locations for polling center and two GOP mayors of small towns really wanted polling locations/voting centers in their local police stations. My county party chair and I went nuts on this suggestion and hurt their feelings. We also had an argument that if it was okay to have a polling location at a supermarket where white people shop, then it was also okay to have a voting center at an other supermarket where less well off people shopped.

It was a frustrating meeting

How Bernie Sanders running for president helps Hillary Clinton

I found this article to be interesting http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2015/04/bernie_sanders_running_for_president_helps_hillary_clinton_the_vermont_senator.html

If this continues to be the Vermont senator’s approach, Sanders will be more of a help to Clinton’s presidential chances than he will be to his own.

The first bonus that Sanders provides for Clinton, say her supporters, is that he becomes a foil. One of Clinton’s Democratic allies in Congress explained that with a country that prefers general election candidates closer to the middle, Sanders will always offer proof that Clinton is not really that far left. He does for Clinton what Howard Dean did for John Kerry in 2004.....

In 2012 Rep. Ron Paul and Mitt Romney had a symbiotic relationship in the Republican campaign. Paul elevated his own profile and gave his voters an outlet, but he never pointed out the yawning gaps between what he claimed to believe so deeply and the positions of the man who was on his way to being the party’s inevitable nominee. It’s way too early to see if Sanders will play the same role for Clinton, but it has started out that way.

Sanders is such a long shot that those who share his views might be OK with the consolation prize of imitation from Clinton. But if her move to the left is simply rhetorical, she can shed that rhetoric in the general election as candidates often do. This would be another reason for Sanders to press his case with more definition.

In 2014, Kerry did look very moderate compared to Howard Dean and Ron Paul did in effect work with Romney in 2012. I really think that having Sanders in the race will help HRC and get rid of the talking point that the primary process is a coronation. I remember the Ron Paul/Mitt Romney relationship in 2012 (Paul is from near my neck of the woods) and the two never directly attacked the other. Paul got increased exposure for his positions and Romney was made to look more reasonable.
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