New USAToday/Suffolk poll: Hillary 56%-BS 29%

[JaneyVee]

56%-29%: http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2015/12/08/poll-trump-cruz-rubio-clinton-sanders/76948760/

[workinclasszero]

1. Nice!

Go Hillary!

[leftynyc]

2. Excellent (n/t)

[Iliyah]

3. K & R

[NCTraveler]

4. Enjoyed recommending this so much....

that I hit "undo" so I could recommend it again.

[riversedge]

6. Chuckle.

[misterhighwasted]

32. ok I just had to try it, it is kind of fun

[riversedge]

5. Tis the season to be jolly, fa la la la

[MoonRiver]

7. Happy to rec bump this awesome poll news!

[lunamagica]

8. WTG, Hillary!!!

We're getting closer and closer to Feb and it keeps getting better and better for her!

[questionseverything]

9. can anyone find the internals? n/t

[brooklynite]

15. here...

This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between December 2 and December 6, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/- 5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 357 likely voters is +/- 5.2 percentage points.

http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10741.php

Clinton takes 70% of Blacks, 62% of Hispanics, 62% of women, 49% (plurality) of men.

http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/12_8_2015_partial_tables.pdf

[questionseverything]

22. no break down of the dems by age

thanx for link

[misterhighwasted]

33. Considering what she has always advocated for & represented

..these numbrs do not surprise me.
She has such a solid vast & loyal base.
And she has worked very hard to make this all happen.
This success didn't just come to her, she went out to get it.

HRC 2016

[MineralMan]

11. Holding at about 2:1 for Clinton still.

Since the second debate, really. I'm not seeing where the change will be coming from.

[MineralMan]

24. Florida is a crucial swing state, as we all know.

Thanks for the info.

[oasis]

12. Up, up........and away.

[RoccoR5955]

13. Not one word in the story

about the methodology behind the poll.
They also forgot to mention that about 25% of "likely" voters don't know enough about Sanders. (don't ask for a link, ask google.)

[brooklynite]

16. See #15

[RoccoR5955]

19. 363 Democratic voters?!?!?!

How can this be legitimate of the millions of Democratic voters that are out there?

[Walk away]

25. I know! Science and math can really suck sometimes!!!!!

[misterhighwasted]

30. Why didn't they poll bernies FB page? huh? huh???

Wtf kinda poll is this anyway.

They clearly omitted bernies fans. If they'd have wanted to include them then they should have posted it on bernies FB page. Because...well.

I smell a conspiracy!

Sarcasm off.

(How come its never fair when bernie loses?)

[RoccoR5955]

34. Wrong!

It's just that it's such a small sample size. How do they come up with the small margin of error when they have such a small sample size?
I dunno.

[Walk away]

35. I think when the results are like 99% of all the other polls the margin of error...

starts to narrow a little! But don't feel bad. Sanders won the Time Magazine Readers Poll!

[RoccoR5955]

36. You don't get it, do you?

It's not about Sanders or other polls, it's about the small sample size.
How can 300 odd people represent about 150 million?

[Walk away]

37. Here are a whole lot of polls with similar results. They are all scientific polls with...

different variables and they all arrive at about the same conclusions.

Now, they aren't click polls like the Time Magazine poll, and I know Sander's supporters feel that internet polls are the only ones that count, but when several polls using real math and science have similar results over time, the margin of error narrows.

[RoccoR5955]

38. How can you use real science

with such a small sample size? I was taught that the larger the sample size, the smaller the margin of error, not getting the same results as other polls.

[Walk away]

39. This is so boring...It's up to you , but if you check the other polls with the same or...

similar results, you will see that these polls use all different amounts of sample sizes. If you look at the aggregate results of these polls then the margin of error is reduced to an average of the polls' sample sizes. The fact that these polls are showing basically the same results make this even more likely.

Now, the click polls (like Time Magazine) that your fellow travelers are so fond of, use large groups of people but some may be voting 10 or 20 times.



if you can get Sander's voters to show up at the polls and vote two or three times, you might just have a formula for success!

[RoccoR5955]

41. You REALLY don't get my point

Do you. It is NOT about Sanders at all. It's about polling in general, and why it has become unreliable

The last presidential election's polls ALL say that Romney was going to win, and he didn't.

Keep ribbing me about Sanders. I am saying that NO polls are reliable, and we should ALL wait until the votes are cast.

[riversedge]

40. I count 8 cookies here that you can add to the total.

And if you use your imagination--you can imagine eating them and all will be better.



Hillary for NH Retweeted
Marlou Taenzer ?@MarlouTaenzer Dec 7

Because @HillaryforNH volunteers are the best! Lucky to work with such an amazing crew everyday #Hillary2016

[FiveGoodMen]

14. About a month old, but...

"Clinton trails Trump, Ben Carson, smell of burnt hair in Minnesota poll"

http://www.citypages.com/news/clinton-trails-trump-ben-carson-smell-of-burnt-hair-in-minnesota-poll-7822225

[brooklynite]

18. I guess bad news is hard to come by...

[Walk away]

27. He He!

[MaggieD]

17. Awesome!

[Cha]

20. So what's wrong with this poll?

[William769]

21. Kick & highly recommended!

[misterhighwasted]

26. Almost 30% bernie. Hang in there!

[Walk away]

29. Now I'm starting to pity the Bernie Campaign!

Maybe if he wasn't so shouty and Socialistic!

[misterhighwasted]

31. well on the positive side, he's still got ..

1 month, 21 days, 18 hours till the IOWA caucaus.

[MaggieD]

28. Rekick

Let's bury the "free speech for ISIS" thread!