2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama's Electoral College vote margin continues to grow.
The average of 22 online Electoral College opinion maps is currently:
Obama 255
Romney 196
Tossups 87
http://peanutgallerypolitical.blogspot.com/
greiner3
(5,214 posts)Of FiveThirtyEight fame gives Obama 301 EVs. He also gives Obama a 71.4% of winning the election.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Scuba
(53,475 posts)Piano Red
(1 post)270toWin is holding a contest to see who can correctly forecast the electoral map for 2012. If you get it right you could win some prize money.
http://www.270towin.com/americas-electoral-map-contest/
BUT... What's really interesting is they're using the entered maps to produce their own forecast for the election. The prize money is suppose to keep people honest, but I don't think it's working as it looks like people are purposely trying to skew the map. Here is the resulting map from over 1,800 entries.
Obama: 297
Romney: 241
http://www.270towin.com/americas-electoral-map/