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ABC/WaPo: Hillary 63, Bernie 14, Joe 12. (Original Post) DanTex Jul 2015 OP
Bernie is pretty much tied with Joe if you consider the margin of error? Cali_Democrat Jul 2015 #1
I really like O'Malley but if Biden enters that changes everything. KittyWampus Jul 2015 #2
The only poll that matters here is the DU poll RobertEarl Jul 2015 #3
I'm becoming increasingly convinced... Cali_Democrat Jul 2015 #4
There is certainly no basis in reality. MoonRiver Jul 2015 #5
I see RobertEarl Jul 2015 #6
Lol, DU is not a representative sample of the United States electorate! MoonRiver Jul 2015 #7
Doesn't matter RobertEarl Jul 2015 #8
You think DU is a representative of the iandhr Jul 2015 #10
I know it is RobertEarl Jul 2015 #12
Ok iandhr Jul 2015 #24
Why would I do that? I support Hillary, our next POTUS. MoonRiver Jul 2015 #17
Not yet! JDPriestly Jul 2015 #26
It doesn't sound like something to brag about Renew Deal Jul 2015 #15
Performance, certainly. okasha Jul 2015 #9
That's all yall got? RobertEarl Jul 2015 #14
Have some cabrito. okasha Jul 2015 #19
lol. JaneyVee Jul 2015 #20
... riversedge Jul 2015 #27
Performance art? DanTex is the hard numbers guy redstateblues Jul 2015 #16
I wasn't referring to DanTex Cali_Democrat Jul 2015 #21
It is like reading a Jack Chick pamphlet. The RAPTURE is COMING! FSogol Jul 2015 #44
You know that DU does not represent or reflect the party as a whole? Gothmog Jul 2015 #29
Yeah, not so much. At least not right now. nt Adrahil Jul 2015 #31
Wow.. big numbers for our future Madame President! DCBob Jul 2015 #11
i wonder what the numbers would be if Biden joined the race JI7 Jul 2015 #13
This message was self-deleted by its author MoonRiver Jul 2015 #18
He usually runs up to ten points ahead of Sanders. okasha Jul 2015 #22
And Hillary does better against the Republican moobu2 Jul 2015 #23
Was there info about how Bernie matches up against the Repugs? MoonRiver Jul 2015 #28
I agree. Adrahil Jul 2015 #30
They're going to have to do this at some point. MoonRiver Jul 2015 #32
Thanks Dan Tex Cha Jul 2015 #25
If Joe announced tomorrow he would slide into second place./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #33
Bernie's still stuck in the teens, I see LordGlenconner Jul 2015 #34
It looks to me as though Senator Sanders has MineralMan Jul 2015 #35
With him polling in the single digits among POC who make over 40% of Democratic primary voters... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #37
That is certainly a factor, at least in some places. MineralMan Jul 2015 #38
Democratic primary voters who identify as liberal should be in his wheelhouse and he trails 55-22 DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #39
Clinton has very high popularity numbers among self-identified MineralMan Jul 2015 #40
It's the Narcissism Of Small Differences DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #41
Yes, along with some who are simply stirring the cesspool. MineralMan Jul 2015 #42
There are dedicated ABCers of whom we will lose some in the general... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #43
see there? it's in the bag for HRC.. 2banon Jul 2015 #36
 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
1. Bernie is pretty much tied with Joe if you consider the margin of error?
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:57 PM
Jul 2015

Joe hasn't even entered the race yet!

I think he could get a lot of support if he joins.

More than Hillary? Probably not.

But if Hillary stumbles down the road, he would be in a great position to take the reins as the front runner.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
6. I see
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:22 PM
Jul 2015

Two Clinton supporters with angst.

90% of DUers want Bernie as president.!! That's reality.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
7. Lol, DU is not a representative sample of the United States electorate!
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:25 PM
Jul 2015

Have you seen the most recent national poll? Hillary is now 52 pts. ahead of Bernie. That is reality.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
8. Doesn't matter
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:28 PM
Jul 2015

The poll on DU matters. It is reality. You can deny it all you want, but DUers are the meat and potatoes of the activist core of the party and we shall overcome! Join us.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
12. I know it is
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:34 PM
Jul 2015

I find it rather weird anyone would laugh at such reality. And wonder why they would laugh.

iandhr

(6,852 posts)
24. Ok
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:41 PM
Jul 2015

Will start with this

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=1150716

We have people here supporting baring people from running for office in Venezuela.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141151226

Someone here says that because a right wing candidate won an election the CIA must be behind it.

And for good measure...

We have people who post John Birch Society conspiracy theories about water fluoridation.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017276757

Many people who post here are very far outside the mainstream of the party. Even many people who call themselves progressive would say WTH if they saw what people posted here.


JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
26. Not yet!
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 06:30 AM
Jul 2015

I'm mentioning Bernie every chance I get. Likely supporters have, in general, not heard of him. I simply tell him to Google him and listen to him. We shall see.

It's too early to predict.

It's a long way from now until the convention and the primary elections.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
14. That's all yall got?
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:36 PM
Jul 2015

Bwahahahaha

Especially from some who tell false stories... know what I mean, okasha?

Gothmog

(145,231 posts)
29. You know that DU does not represent or reflect the party as a whole?
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 07:54 AM
Jul 2015

Despite DU's best efforts, Dennis Kucinich never became the Democratic nominee.

Response to JI7 (Reply #13)

okasha

(11,573 posts)
22. He usually runs up to ten points ahead of Sanders.
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:08 PM
Jul 2015

When he's not included, his support generally goes to Hillary.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
28. Was there info about how Bernie matches up against the Repugs?
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 07:15 AM
Jul 2015

One pet peeve I have is how little polling data exists about this.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
30. I agree.
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 09:48 AM
Jul 2015

I know that every question cost the pollster money, and that it seems the pollsters don't yet consider worth their money to poll Bernie versus the Repugs.

I'd really like to see them poll Bernie. He is a serious candidate, even if he is really far behind.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
32. They're going to have to do this at some point.
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 09:52 AM
Jul 2015

Otherwise, people will start wondering about their agenda.

 

LordGlenconner

(1,348 posts)
34. Bernie's still stuck in the teens, I see
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 12:14 PM
Jul 2015

"But...but....he's surging."

"And he'll beat mean 'ol Hillary."

"Wait until voters get to know him."

It looks like the Bernistas are ratcheting up their anti Hillary push on GDP this week. They must be desperate. And scared.



MineralMan

(146,308 posts)
35. It looks to me as though Senator Sanders has
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:15 PM
Jul 2015

stalled in the mid-teens at this point. That's disappointing. There aren't any new poll numbers from Iowa since 6/29. I have no idea when we'll get fresh results, but I'm not seeing any momentum for Bernie in the national polls.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
37. With him polling in the single digits among POC who make over 40% of Democratic primary voters...
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:22 PM
Jul 2015

With him polling in the single digits among POC who make over 40% of Democratic primary voters is it logical to expect him to poll much higher?


MineralMan

(146,308 posts)
38. That is certainly a factor, at least in some places.
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:28 PM
Jul 2015

Nationally, I think that is holding him back. When you add Hispanic voters, the effect is even stronger in some states. If momentum flags, it's going to be more and more difficult, I think.

Elections are about many things. Grassroots efforts can only do so much. If Sanders' campaign stalls and loses momentum, it will be difficult for it to recover.

MineralMan

(146,308 posts)
40. Clinton has very high popularity numbers among self-identified
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:40 PM
Jul 2015

liberals. It's not going to be easy for Sanders to change that, I think. Here on DU, there is a lot of focus on relatively small differences between Clinton and Sanders, politically and on policy terms. Outside of DU, though, I'm not seeing it. Poll numbers in the low teens show a good base of support, but making inroads into Hillary's numbers is not going to be a walk in the park, by any means.

We get a distorted view of Democratic politics here on DU. It's very heavily weighted to the left end of the political spectrum. It's important to keep an eye on a broader perspective, I think.

I'm in Minnesota. There are a lot of Sanders fans here, myself among them. However, since I'm involved in precinct-level politics here, I'm not seeing it as strongly as I see it here. Lots of Democrats here like Clinton very much. We don't caucus until March 1, so the picture is not crystal clear here yet.

I'd guess that Sanders' numbers are in the 20% range here, just based on seat of the pants measurements. But, that's hardly scientific polling.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
41. It's the Narcissism Of Small Differences
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:45 PM
Jul 2015

Folks have to magnify small differences among themselves to maintain their sense of identity.

I suspect despite our support for different candidates there is a lot more we agree on than disagree on.


MineralMan

(146,308 posts)
42. Yes, along with some who are simply stirring the cesspool.
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:50 PM
Jul 2015

It's impossible to say who is which, though. Given the low impact of DU discussions on real politics, such activities really make no sense.

I'll be supporting whoever becomes the nominee, of course. I can gladly campaign for any of the top three Democratic candidates. I don't agree 100% with any of them, of course. I never do. But, in the end, I am a Democratic activist, so I'll be out there, regardless of what name is on the ballot next November.

Those who won't don't really count for much in the real world of elections. I really have zero time for any group that declares that they won't vote for the Democratic nominee unless it's the one they prefer. That's simply ridiculous.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
43. There are dedicated ABCers of whom we will lose some in the general...
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:57 PM
Jul 2015

There are dedicated ABCers of whom we will lose some in the general but I doubt losing them will be determinative in the general.
The GOP has their ABBers , their ABRers, and so on and so forth.

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
36. see there? it's in the bag for HRC..
Tue Jul 21, 2015, 02:18 PM
Jul 2015

she doesn't even need votes from Bernie supporters it's so sewn up!

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