2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIOWA Senate Race TIED 47-47
Posted November 3, 2014
U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley closes the gap with Republican State Sen. Joni Ernst, leaving the Iowa U.S. Senate race a 47 - 47 percent dead heat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Four percent remain undecided.
This compares to results of an October 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, showing Sen. Ernst at 49 percent and Rep. Braley at 45 percent.
Today's results show independent voters divided 44 - 44 percent. Republicans back Ernst 95 - 2 percent. Democrats back Braley 94 - 5 percent.
Men and women still are locked in a reverse gender gap as women back the Democratic man 51 - 42 percent, while men back the Republican woman 52 - 44 percent.
Braley leads 56 - 36 percent among those who already have voted.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2110
Schema Thing
(10,283 posts)caber09
(666 posts)Love the last line but if he's up 20 pts with over a third voting already and we have gotv and R's are cannibalizing their Election Day vote how is it possible that Braley would lose?
rurallib
(62,413 posts)If you only count election day they usually kick our ass.
Qutzupalotl
(14,311 posts)Republicans tend to favor voting on election day. Early voting usually skews in favor of Democrats.
I believe this poll is saying they expect it to be nearly tied once all the votes are tallied.
GOTV is everything.
caber09
(666 posts)And Ds are supposedly bringing out those who sat out 2010 and newly registered voters so how does that add up to a loss new voters plus 2010 skipping voters plus base that pitted against same voters unless the gotv effort is being exaggerated? I hope it's true and we hold on to most of theses seats!
vadermike
(1,415 posts)Dems can still pull out IA and CO. GOTV !! And we take AK as well and KS goes I , could be possibly looking at Biden bring tie breaker. I would laugh my butt off at the rethugs !!!
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)Then they should start election caucuses somewhere else. Iowa isn't serious anymore.
world wide wally
(21,742 posts)candidates for President are?
Only in America... Land of the joke