2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHere is a list of potential Democratic presidential candidates for 2016:
Hillary Clinton
Elizabeth Warren
Kirsten Gillibrand
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Do I detect a pattern?
On edit: another triumph for McGovern's 1972 reforms. It's taken a while to bear fruit, but he made us the party that wasn't solely about white men!
http://articles.chicagotribune.com/1991-03-11/news/9101220573_1_democratic-party-democratic-national-chairman-nomination
NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)He jokingly referred to how he loved the people of Iowa & New Hampshire and that he was going to have free time on his hands once his term is up.
marlakay
(11,465 posts)Making friends for the next 3 years....i am sure he watched how Obama won Iowa by having a great ground game and visiting all the towns over and over.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)hedgehog
(36,286 posts)RomneyLies
(3,333 posts)boingboinh
(290 posts)In a perfect world Elizabeth Warren would run and win. Schultz and Clinton have both shown hints of a liking to big money.
hedgehog
(36,286 posts)her campaign in 2008. I'm sure every one of them is in a binder somewhere.
JustAnotherGen
(31,823 posts)The media is really doing a good job of getting people to ignore the man being sworn in this January. It's like they think it's a horrible nightmare so just want America and progressive America to sit our ass and be victims for the next four years.
madinmaryland
(64,933 posts)Candidates Likely to run in 2016:
Martin O'Malley - Yes
Hillary Clinton - Yes
Joe Biden - Maybe
Andrew Cuomo - Maybe
Elizabeth Warren - Maybe, but not likely
Kirsten Gillibrand- No
Debbie Wasserman Schultz - No
I am sure there are a few more not on the list yet
Bake
(21,977 posts)Warren's hasn't even served a day in the Senate yet. Gillibrand, nobody outside of NY has heard of except DUers, and Wasserman-Schultz is an idiot that **I** wouldn't vote for.
HRC and Smokin' Joe are the standouts on that list.
Bake
hedgehog
(36,286 posts)I just thought it interesting that so many women have been named as possible contenders.
KamaAina
(78,249 posts)He makes Obama lok like Bernie Sanders.
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)madinmaryland
(64,933 posts)"go fuck yourself".
Otherwise I will have to bring back the G. Gordon Liddy picture.
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)but Cuomo sucks.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)He's proven he can be elected in a critical swing state against massive opposition spending
madinmaryland
(64,933 posts)dsc
(52,161 posts)If he can win there he can win anywhere. The fact is Brown has been elected state wide in Ohio 3 times the last time having been outspent by tens of millions of dollars. He would make a great President.
forestpath
(3,102 posts)DavidDvorkin
(19,477 posts)once the primary season gets underway.
hedgehog
(36,286 posts)DavidDvorkin
(19,477 posts)davidpdx
(22,000 posts)You really should have stated women candidates because that's who you are focusing on.
Even then there maybe a few candidates who run that we don't expect. Very few people would have guessed Obama would have won in 2008 (Bushisalier was one of the few users who did, props to him). His name recognition was low even though he was the keynote speaker at the 2004 DNC and a senator. It is possible that we have another person who runs that is a surprise. You just never can tell.
brooklynite
(94,544 posts)...omitting Martin O'Malley, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Brian Schweitzer, Deval Patrick...
...and quite frankly being WAY too early to be informative.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)The presidency is a popularity contest. Sorry if the diehards on either team think otherwise. Biden is a gaffe machine second to none, Cuomo has no charisma and is too NY, Schweitzer needs to lose a few pounds and then some, Patrick will be compared to Obama because he's black and frankly I think the country will veer hard to the whitest person in the room, because that's the pendulum nature of the country.
I am indifferent to Hillary but you better believe that a woman is likely to take the WH in 2016 - all demographic signals point to it. And you'd better believe she will have the O campaign machinery behind her. She ain't stupid. And he will support her. My money is on her and if not her, Gillibrand. I kind of hope it's Gillibrand because she's young, attractive, and blonde. Yeah I went there. Add that to her record and if she runs a strong primary campaign she could win the presidency. Let's not pretend like the presidency is about choosing the smartest, most capable person for the job. For the vast majority it's about likability, period. Clinton faces the hurdle of likability.
The biggest hurdle Dems face in 2016 is if the GOP has a strong woman candidate. It will be all about women in 2016.
brooklynite
(94,544 posts)The OP asked about Presidential candidates, period.
Second, popularity is a component, but so is organizational skill and drive. When I was in Charlotte, Kirsten Gillibrand was NOT making the rounds of Iowa, New Hampshire, etc. As a New Yorker, I'm happy with her voting record, but I'm not seeing anything that says she's raising her profile for a Presidential run. And I certainly don't expect Elizabeth Warren to do so either, which would involve starting to run in the middle of her first Elected term (yes, Obama pulled this off, but AFTER he's been previously elected to the State Senate).
JI7
(89,249 posts)pnwest
(3,266 posts)his second term, before we start on the 2016 election campaign?
ye. wonderful~ nice to m u. i'm coming~
HeavenTim
(7 posts)u know, it hard, spend time for this, b i done it because of r.
graham4anything
(11,464 posts)Last edited Wed Dec 5, 2012, 05:52 AM - Edit history (1)
and those voters want her 100%
the core Obama voters like myself. There is no question, no waiver, no others.
It takes a Clinton to defeat a Bush
and Hillary will knock out Jeb in 2016 (to continue with the boxing analogy so perfectly worked by Barack Obama and Chicago in 2008 and 2012
There are just so many reasons and it will happen.
The other female candidates on the list don't have anywhere near the track record Hillary has.
The other male candidates besides Joe Biden remind me of the ones that ran in 1988 besides Jesse Jackson(who should have won that year, but it was just too soon.)
The other female candidates all won't run if Hillary does (and it boggles the mind to think they would have the chutzpah to even try, they are so out of the league.)
Look at our demographics, and well, 2016 there will not(and I say this just from the demographics and no negative reason at all) but there will not be a white male candidate for president. It won't happen. The party is not going to run from its destiny to continue to create history.
Look for the US Supreme Court standard. First came Thurgood Marshall, then came Sandra Dey O'Connor.
It will 100% guaranteed, as never in my life have I been so assured of it, Hillary45 as our 45th President.
She will run, there is no doubt. For her mother. For all those in the past. For her daughter.
For destiny. For all time.
and Hillary has the one singular thing no other candidate in the nation has- ALL her baggage, all the crap they threw at her, 100% of everything there is to know about her, all is already been vetted. There is no swiftboating possible.
Whereas Jeb, we hardly know ye. Most people know nothing about him
and any of the above candidates named, NONE of them have ever been vetted.
But the beauty of Hillary is, all is known and she fights to win.
And in 2016 has President Obama's core voters like myself on her side this time
(those that know me, know I was 100% against her in 2008. She EARNED my vote the old fashioned way- through hard work and loyalty and for not whining and leaving the arena like Bill Bradley and Russ Feingold (and even to some extent Al Gore did) disappeared after their loses.
She toughed it out and stayed in the public sector, SERVING THE PEOPLE of the nation, in a very JFK kind of way. Bill envoked JFK back then, though I never really saw it as anything more than namedropping. Hillary though actually envoked the JFK spirit doing for the country, instead of going into some high paying private sector job like so many others.
Hillary has earned my vote and loyalty. And she has earned the Presidency.
And nothing will change my mind about this
Right now I got them as LINCOLN-FDR=LBJ=OBAMA=CARTER as the five best.
Can we have in Hillary yet another best of all time in her?
I believe so, and btw, I believe Hillary will act as our President from the left, like the
great Saul Alinsky the republicans derided her about.
Because Hillary is another Team Chicago and Chicago is a great work, not a bad word,
and Chicago wins Presidential races (1960 1964 2008 2012 2016 2020)
It takes a Clinton to beat a Bush. Sometimes history repeating itself is a good thing.
It will again in 2016 when Hillary beats Bush and KO's him decisively
imho.
Splinter Cell
(703 posts)A lot of "core Obama voters" are not jumping on the Billary bandwagon. I won't vote for her. This party has got to move on. We're on the edge of a major democratic shift, and the Clintons are not the leaders for our party as we move further into the 21st century.
graham4anything
(11,464 posts)but then why anyone abandoned Jimmy Carter and LBJ I don't know either.
Especially with what came in after them.