538 Nowcast has Hillary at 95.4%, South Carolina 50.4% - HRC
And Missouri teetering. Hillary is still gaining nearly everywhere. Still early yes, but also hard to see how Trump significantly reverses these trends except in the reddest of states. Watch for Republicans to go all in on saving the Senate and the House and conceding the election of HRC.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
= new reply since forum marked as read
... Trump's busy in states like Maine. 
Sorry. Had to do it. 
Turn out that Hispanic vote in Texas!
The Blue states are mostly med-to-dark blue. AZ is the only pale blue state under 70%. 
OTOH, many of the Red states are light-to-med pink. This is looking good. And hopefully, it'll show up in the down ticket races big time.
America is perhaps regaining some sanity. 
In 2012, President Barack Obama won re-election with the U.S. Popular Vote carrying for him, over losing Republican Mitt Romney, by +4.
Additional 2016 shift for the Democrats would yield the 2012 map plus, as a guide, pickups from the following:
+6: North Carolina
+8 or +9: Georgia, Arizona
+10 or +11: Indiana, Missouri, and Nebraska #02 (Omaha)
+12: South Carolina
+13: Montana
+15: Texas and Nebraska #01 (Lincoln); with Utah a question mark
What we are seeing, with the "Blue Firewall" states are their Democratic margins solidifying. A landslide election isn't going to produce an outcome where any of them are in question. (I'm referring to states like Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. They carry above the Democrats' national margins.)
The four most influential bellwether states are Colorado (the tipping point state in both 2008 and 2012), Florida, Ohio, and Virginia (which came closest to matching the popular-vote margin with both 2008 and 2012). They're looking on par with national margin indicated as to Clinton beating Trump. (Well, if she wins by +10 nationally, Ohio will carry for her probably by +8 and Florida by +7 as minimums.)
So, light a tug-of-rope of the electoral map, to win by +10, or even better, will now deal with states in Mitt Romney's 2012 Republican column. So, we know North Carolina (which has been 6 points or less, in margins spread, from Virginia since 1984) is the first to flip. Then Georgia and Arizona. Now, it's being South Carolina as an emerging state. Indiana and Missouri are needing even more polling; they need to be watched more carefully. And if this turns out to be a +15 landslide for Hillary Clinton, we will be seeing the equivalent of Texas for 2016 as Indiana for 2008. (Back then, it was, "Can John McCain hold onto Indiana?"
