Well, Nate screwed up big.

[HERVEPA]

Missed our getting the Senate seat in North Dakota.

[AleksS]

1. Yeah he tends to lean rightwards

Yeah, in 2008 he missed IN going to PBO. He tends to lean a little right.

[oldhippydude]

2. did we get Heidie?

[HERVEPA]

3. Yes

[LisaL]

4. Nobody is perfect.

[Robbins]

5. Nate

In 2010 he had Dems losing seats In nevada and colorado and winning In Illinois.

So this year he was wrong on 2 races MT and ND senate seats.

[mzteaze]

6. I thought this was because polls for Senate/House races are not consistent?

[RosedaleGuy]

7. Nate calculates PROBABILITIES

...meaning he may say someone has a 90% chance of winning but that doesn't mean they will win. What it does mean is if you take 10 races where he predicts 90% he will be right 9 out of 10 times.

[HERVEPA]

8. I know that, thank you. It was intended as humor.