Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
Very interesting Election Simulator Trends on 270-to win
[img]
[/img]
For larger verson, go to link
http://www.270towin.com/simulation/2012_daily_trends/
Battleground 270
Features like our election simulator and the Probability of 270 (below the electoral map) are primarily based on an average of recent polls for each state. We take those averages and turn them into a probability that each candidate will win the state and its electoral votes. From there it is just a mathematical calculation.
Battleground 270 lets you set and adjust the probabilities that Obama or Romney will win each state, letting you see how those changes impact the overall likelihood of each candidate winning the election.
We start with eleven battleground states: Obama starts with a 201-191 lead in electoral votes, with 146 electoral votes up for grabs. Any changes you make here do not affect other sections of the site.
Features like our election simulator and the Probability of 270 (below the electoral map) are primarily based on an average of recent polls for each state. We take those averages and turn them into a probability that each candidate will win the state and its electoral votes. From there it is just a mathematical calculation.
Battleground 270 lets you set and adjust the probabilities that Obama or Romney will win each state, letting you see how those changes impact the overall likelihood of each candidate winning the election.
We start with eleven battleground states: Obama starts with a 201-191 lead in electoral votes, with 146 electoral votes up for grabs. Any changes you make here do not affect other sections of the site.
http://www.270towin.com/battleground-270/
