Final WMUR NH POLL: Obama 51% (+4) Romney 48% (+1)

[WI_DEM]

Over the final weekend before the November 6 election, President Barack Obama has opened up a small advantage over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. In the final Granite State Poll before the election, 50% of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Barack Obama, 45% say they will vote for Romney, 1% will support another candidate, and 4% are undecided.

And when undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to vote for, the final prediction is 51% for Obama, 48% for Romney, and 1% for other candidates.

There is a pronounced gender gap -- Obama leads among women by 58% to 40% while Romney leads among men, 53% to 42%. There is also a religious divide -- among regular church goers, Romney holds a 60% to 38% lead while Obama leads by 60% to 35% among people who never attend church services.

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_election110412.pdf

[TroyD]

1. Is this the poll that was posted here early this morning?

The other WMUR poll said it was Obama +4

Obama - 50

Romney - 46


Why the change?

[WI_DEM]

4. per the link:

When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, 50% support Obama, 46% support Romney, 1% for some other candidate, and 3% remain undecided.
And when undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to vote for, the final prediction is 51% for Obama, 48% for Romney, and 1% for other candidates

[Mojo2]

2. Excellent

More good news, keep it coming!

[TexasCPA]

3. I find it hard to believe that undecideds will break 3 to 1 to Romney

Maybe they were using additional information, like favorability ratings, to determine that. I don't know.

[VirginiaTarheel]

5. cool

When asked who they think is more likely to win the 2012
presidential election, 51% think Obama will win reelection, 31% think Romney will win

[hrmjustin]

6. I see the two house seats look like they are going democratic.