If Gallup Comes Out With A Scary Number Tomorrow Keep Two Things In Mind

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1) It is literally one of hundreds of data points

And

2) They crapped the bed in 2008:

http://www.gazettenet.com/2012/09/15/a-look-at-polling-accuracy-in-2008

If it's a good number by all means enjoy it.

[geek tragedy]

1. Nothing Gallup produces could be scary.

It's only a matter of how much they discredit themselves.

[fearnobush]

2. I thnk they will want to skew their poll no matter what to the perceived winner.

It's either gonna be +1 or -1. A doubt we'll see a tie.

[a308garand]

3. With some polls being up, but still

within the margin of error, too much information conflicting...come on Tues.

[vilify]

4. I think a tie is exactly what we'll see

Gallup will Play it safe. I'd sure rather get the actual results of their poll than some made up junk.

[CreekDog]

5. their last poll included an electorate that's 78% white

it was 73% white in 2008, 74% white in 2004.

Gallup is better at characterizing the white vote than the overall vote.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. I Noticed The Pew Poll Had A 74% White Electorate And O Was Up 50-47 In That Poll

If the white share of the vote does increase it will be only the first or second time in recent history.

[windman]

7. They won't

Sure the won't come out with something out there. I predict it will either be a tie or 2-3 pt spread with Romney with a lead

[MyNameIsKhan]

8. Who cares!

Its Gallup vs PEW

lets see who wins!

I am sure its going to be PEW unless gallup decides to match them ( funny they cooked all data )

[Kalidurga]

9. Gallup meet Gish

Gallup is only slightly more accurate than Dick Morris and News Max.

[bluesoul]

10. 7,5.....and now 1

You know Mitt is finished when even his most optimistic pollster reduces his lead from 5 to 1 in a single week

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/gallup-national-poll-romney-49-obama-48

[Johnny2X2X]

11. 49-48

Yup, it's trending Obama big time, even on gallup.

RCP average will be Obama +0.8 when this is figured in.

Not sure if there are any other polls coming out today, but the RCP final poll average should be Obama up at least 0.8, maybe more if other polls come out.

State by state it's much better for Obama.

[VirginiaTarheel]

12. Wrong Number, but not scary, especially in light of the Gallup trend since last week

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. I'm Waiting For The Democracy Corps Poll

ABC/WAPO might have one more poll

FOX and CBS might jump in.

Pollsters are afraid they will be wrong.

[VirginiaTarheel]

14. and a last PPP tracking poll.