Election Forecast Summaries: 11/2 (afternoon)
I have volunteered with the Lawyer's Committee for Civil Rights Under Law to be a poll monitor on election day. Since it is unlikely I will be in my own precinct on that day, I went to City Hall today and, for the first time in my life, voted absentee.
Anyone know where I can find the "I Voted" avatar?
From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.
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Election Projection: O 290 (unch)
University of Illinois U-C: O 300. (+3.4); p(RE)=99.6% (+0.2%)
Electoral-vote.com: O 281, R 215, T 42 (unch)
Huffington Post: O 281, R 191, T 66 (O+22, R+0, T-22)
TPM/PollTracker: O 285, R 191, T 62 (unch)
FiveThirtyEight: O 303.4 (unch); p(RE)=80.9% (unch)
Princeton: O 319 (O+1); p(RE)=97%, 99.5% (+0, +0.2%)
DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=87.05% (unch)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,488!
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Click on 'My Profile' link at the top of the page
then scroll down to 'Avatar Image Edit' and click on that little 'edit' link
then click on the SLOGANS link
there are two different images there in the middle.
