Clinton’s Delegate Lead Would Triple Under GOP Rules
In an electoral process as indirect as the selection of presidential nominees, any choice made upstream in how to design the rules can have big and often unforeseen effects on the results. Thats what the GOP has learned this year: As Nate Silver found, Trump would be facing a much tougher road if Republicans were using the Democratic Partys delegate-allocation rules.
But how have the choices made by the Democratic Party affected their presidential race? In all states, Democrats allocate a given states pledged delegates through a system that requires conducting multiple proportional calculations at different jurisdictional levels; it also requires the states holding caucuses to hold multiple stages of voting. Are the partys delegate rules destiny? How much do they distort the share of the raw vote that the candidates have received, and what would Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanderss standing be if the Democratic National Committee had decided to allocate delegates differently, for instance through a simpler proportional calculation or through less proportional methods like the ones Republicans use?
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-delegate-lead-would-triple-under-gop-rules/