Why Bernie is Dreaming. Compare Obama V Clinton

[kennetha]

Compared to Obama vs Clinton, Hillary is actually cleaning Bernie's clock.

After Super Tuesday in 2008, Obama had a narrow delegate lead over Clinton of 11 delegates. Clinton never caught up. Obama pulled away only slightly. By the end of March, Obama was a whopping 140 delegates ahead. At the very end of the primaries. she had gained some ground, narrowing his lead to 93 delegates.

In the end, it was the Super Delegates -- who broke for Obama 478 - 246 -- that put him over the top. They could have gone either way, obviously, since the primaries had produced a near tie -- and this was with Michigan and Florida's delegate allocations halved -- and Clinton showed a surge of late momentum.

Fast forward to 2016. There is no way that Sanders is going to get near as close to Clinton as Clinton did to Obama. There is no way he is going to enjoy the surge of late momentum that she enjoyed. (He is going to be wiped out next week).

So why on earth would the super delegates break for Sanders?

His folks are just kidding themselves and their supporters if they think otherwise.

[karynnj]

1. Compared to Gore/Bradley, she has had to work to clinch the nomination

All of us expected 2016 to be more like 2000 than 2008 in the primaries. In fact, Kerry had a more commanding win in the 2004 primaries and that was a genuinely open election without a commanding frontrunner the year before.

[rbrnmw]

2. kicking for exposure