2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCivitas Poll of NC: Romney:48% Obama: 47%
(Note poll completed on Sunday--prior to final debate):
Oct. 26, 2012
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca or Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099
[email protected] or [email protected]
RALEIGH A new poll from the Civitas Institute found that in North Carolina the Republican slate of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and his running mate, Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, was running a percentage point ahead of the Democratic ticket of President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden.
The Civitas Poll of 600 likely North Carolina voters was taken Oct. 20-21 and had a margin of error of plus-minus 4 percent. Asked if the election were held today who they would vote for, 48 percent chose Romney/Ryan and 47 percent chose Obama/Biden. The results are of course within the margin of error.
http://www.nccivitas.org/2012/civitas-poll-romney-obama-close-to-the-end/
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)Anything pre-debate is an out-of-date poll.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)earthside
(6,960 posts)If Obama is only one point behind, it is pre-debate and the early voting is going as well as some are reporting, then one point is not enough for Rmoney.
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)Minus the fact that PPP polls everywhere. They know North Carolina like PPP does.
Edit: I take that back. They dont do their own polls. A NJ company does
woolldog
(8,791 posts)MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)TexasCPA
(527 posts)They are neocons. If a neocon poll shows Obama down 1, then he is really ahead by 2 or 3.
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)tarheelsunc
(2,117 posts)MadBadger
(24,089 posts)The Poll's results are fine
Justice4All1
(119 posts)I think Team Obama's let NC go, maybe they were premature but O hasn't led a NC poll for weeks now, just like rMoney hasn't let one NV, OH, WI, MI poll since last year. O's led most all VA, NH & IA polls & we'll win those too.
CO is very winnable based on O winning all RV's and most LV polls too
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)The sampling at this point in the game, oversamples certain types of people that they think are likely to vote, or ones that have home phones and haven't moved around.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)the statements from the campaign. Pays to be informed.
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)If they claim Obama is essentially tied in NC, something is happening big there.