Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:12 PM

courseofhistory (801 posts)

Nate Silver has Obama up

71% chance of winning 290.8 EV

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

8 replies, 651 views

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8 replies	Author	Time	Post
Nate Silver has Obama up (Original post)	courseofhistory	Oct 2012	OP
Nate Said The Closer To The Election Even Small Movements Become Important/nt	DemocratSinceBirth	Oct 2012	#1
Thank god	cilla4progress	Oct 2012	#2
i see that	MFM008	Oct 2012	#3
He as Virginia for Obama at 52.9%	BlueStreak	Oct 2012	#7
This is the highest he's been since his plunge after the first debate	budkin	Oct 2012	#4
Lovely to look at.	ProudProgressiveNow	Oct 2012	#5
Looks like a debate bounce has kicked in. We won 3 out of 4 of those things.	craigmatic	Oct 2012	#6
I think its more Rmoney's bounce disappearing	FreeState	Oct 2012	#8

Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:14 PM

DemocratSinceBirth (46,047 posts)

1. Nate Said The Closer To The Election Even Small Movements Become Important/nt

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:14 PM

cilla4progress (2,972 posts)

2. Thank god

I've been making myself sick over the election. I'm embarrassed to admit.

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:16 PM

MFM008 (893 posts)

3. i see that

he just did the numbers, looks like VA must have BO up, Come on VA, I was born in VA don't disappoint me.

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Response to MFM008 (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:42 PM

BlueStreak (3,818 posts)

7. He as Virginia for Obama at 52.9%

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:27 PM

budkin (3,086 posts)

4. This is the highest he's been since his plunge after the first debate

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:29 PM

ProudProgressiveNow (3,239 posts)

5. Lovely to look at.

Thanks for posting the update.

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:38 PM

craigmatic (3,226 posts)

6. Looks like a debate bounce has kicked in. We won 3 out of 4 of those things.

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Response to craigmatic (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:57 PM

FreeState (7,458 posts)

8. I think its more Rmoney's bounce disappearing

The reason for this, at least as I see it, is that in order for Romney to maintain the momentum from the bounce he absolutely had to do one thing. He had to prove to the independents that despite the turn around we are seeing in the economy and other areas, it would be worth risking that improvement on trying something new. I think he failed to do that. He has to many unknowns still.

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