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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:12 PM

Nate Silver has Obama up

71% chance of winning 290.8 EV

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

8 replies, 989 views

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Arrow 8 replies Author Time Post
Reply Nate Silver has Obama up (Original post)
courseofhistory Oct 2012 OP
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #1
cilla4progress Oct 2012 #2
MFM008 Oct 2012 #3
BlueStreak Oct 2012 #7
budkin Oct 2012 #4
ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #5
craigmatic Oct 2012 #6
FreeState Oct 2012 #8

Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:14 PM

1. Nate Said The Closer To The Election Even Small Movements Become Important/nt

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:14 PM

2. Thank god

I've been making myself sick over the election. I'm embarrassed to admit.

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:16 PM

3. i see that

he just did the numbers, looks like VA must have BO up, Come on VA, I was born in VA don't disappoint me.

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Response to MFM008 (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:42 PM

7. He as Virginia for Obama at 52.9%

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:27 PM

4. This is the highest he's been since his plunge after the first debate

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:29 PM

5. Lovely to look at.

Thanks for posting the update.

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Response to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:38 PM

6. Looks like a debate bounce has kicked in. We won 3 out of 4 of those things.

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Response to craigmatic (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:57 PM

8. I think its more Rmoney's bounce disappearing

The reason for this, at least as I see it, is that in order for Romney to maintain the momentum from the bounce he absolutely had to do one thing. He had to prove to the independents that despite the turn around we are seeing in the economy and other areas, it would be worth risking that improvement on trying something new. I think he failed to do that. He has to many unknowns still.

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