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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:20 PM

Republicans Need A Cold Shower, Barack Obama Is Still The Favorite

In recent days, the vibe emanating from Mitt Romney’s campaign has grown downright giddy. Despite a lack of any evident positive momentum over the last week — indeed, in the face of a slight decline from its post-Denver high — the Romney camp is suddenly bursting with talk that it will not only win but win handily. (“We’re going to win,” said one of the former Massachusetts governor’s closest advisers. “Seriously, 305 electoral votes.”)

This is a bluff. Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in the hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.

...


Karl Rove employed exactly this strategy in 2000. As we now know, the race was excruciatingly close, and Al Gore won the national vote by half a percentage point. But at the time, Bush projected a jaunty air of confidence. Rove publicly predicted Bush would win 320 electoral votes. Bush even spent the final days stumping in California, supposedly because he was so sure of victory he wanted an icing-on-the-cake win in a deep blue state. Campaign reporters generally fell for Bush’s spin, portraying him as riding the winds of momentum and likewise presenting Al Gore as desperate.

The current landscape is slightly different. The race is also very close, but Obama enjoys a clear electoral college lead. He is ahead by at least a couple points in enough states to make him president. Adding to his base of uncontested states, Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin would give Obama 271 electoral votes. According to the current polling averages compiled at fivethirtyeight.com, Obama leads Nevada by 3.5 percent, Ohio by 2.9 percent, and Wisconsin by 4 percent. Should any of those fail, Virginia and Colorado are nearly dead even. (Obama leads by 0.7 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively.) If you don’t want to rely on Nate Silver — and you should rely on him! — the polling averages at realclearpolitics, the conservative-leaning site, don’t differ much, either.

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/10/romney-says-hes-winning-its-a-bluff.html

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Reply Republicans Need A Cold Shower, Barack Obama Is Still The Favorite (Original post)
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP
Politicalboi Oct 2012 #1
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #2
Blaukraut Oct 2012 #3
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5
LiberalElite Oct 2012 #4
LiberalElite Oct 2012 #6
GetTheRightVote Oct 2012 #7
doc03 Oct 2012 #8
ffr Oct 2012 #9

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:26 PM

1. We need to remember that number 305

Because on the night of Nov 6th if that is Rmoney total, we will know it was rigged. And they will do it with that number, and not feel any guilt whatsoever. And dare anyone to prove fraud.

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Response to Politicalboi (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:28 PM

2. Maybe They Pulled The 305 Out Of Their Asses But It Is A Famous Area Code

Google "The 305".

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:36 PM

3. 305 is probably FL, NC, VA, OH, IA, WI, NV (301) plus the 2 each from NE and ME n/t

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Response to Blaukraut (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:41 PM

5. I Remember Like It Was Yesterday

KKK Rove going on CNN and saying out of the last twenty published national polls, seventeen show George Bush ahead. I didn't know who was going to win with any great degree of certainty but I knew it was going to be close.

Florida was a mess. What people forget that beside the mess in Palm Beach County there were thousands of spoiled ballots in heavily African Americans in Duval County.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #2)


Response to Politicalboi (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:41 PM

6. If they're broadcasting it now

wouldn't that be a start in proving fraud? Or will they claim coincidence and expect us to swallow it?

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:49 PM

7. Are they setting us up for the big steal?

This does not sound good to me when it point to O being way ahead at this time.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:54 PM

8. Boy I wish this was over, I am going to stop watching all

political shows. This morning I turn on Morning Joe and it is all over for Obama, he is desperate.
I turn on Rachel and she is talking about each getting 269 and us ending up with Romney as President and Joe Biden a VP and even some scenario where Boner is President. I turn to Jenifer Grandholm and some dude is on there taking about Obama being down -14 with men and Romney only being down -8 with women. So according to him Obama is doing way worse with men and worse with women than in 2008. Even Current is now pushing the horse race crap, neck to neck crap. I think I will watch old movies for the next 13 days.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:55 PM

9. No resting here until 11/06/12

until I've done everything I can to assure an Obama-Biden victory. Because if they win big, then there's a good chance their coattails will pull other Democrats in as well.

I'm almost to tears with how sick I am of Republican obstructionism.

Two weeks. Then we rest.

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