CNN Florida Poll: Romney 49% - Obama 48%

[tarheelsunc]

4-point margin of error. Not so bad, it's definitely still up for grabs.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/19/cnn-poll-close-contest-for-floridas-29-electoral-votes/

Oct 17-18 poll of likely voters

[VirginiaTarheel]

1. Not bad at all

[Dawson Leery]

2. 1 point lead + 4 point MOE = Tie.

Florida is still in play.

[Drunken Irishman]

3. 4 point MOE is pretty big for a reputable poll.

Generally, even for state polls, they're no more than 3.5.

[progressivebydesign]

4. Can you please post polls WITH the polling data????

All of these poll posts with no info, are overrunning DU.

Was it Likely Voters?? What was the sample? Do did the poll for CNN? What dates???

Sorry to be a nudge, but DU is filled with these posts lately, and they're useless without data. And not everyone wants to hunt down the info from the link. Please be specific on the polls.

And no.. I don't think Romney is leading in Florida.

[tarheelsunc]

5. It was released on air, I don't think it has been posted online yet.

It's a CNN/ORC poll. If I see it online, I'll update the post.

[limousineliberal]

6. National?

If they have R tied with O in FL, I'm guessing CNN should have Obama ahead nationally. And Obama should be up in Ohio. Right?

Obama has always performed better in Ohio than FL in the CNN polls.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Some Handy Math

In 08 Obama won the national popular vote by seven percent while winning the Florida popular vote by two percent. That's a five point lean for the Republican in Florida. Based on that Obama must be up nationally.

I would have, of course, preferred to be ahead but that's good news.

[riverwalker]

8. link here

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/19/cnn-poll-close-contest-for-floridas-29-electoral-votes/

[Floyd_Gondolli]

9. Any more polls from CNN today?

I need to know if they are going to try and shit on my weekend or not.

(This one is actually pretty good all things considered)

[WI_DEM]

10. I checked to see if there have been other CNN FL polls to compare to

and apparently this is their first FL poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. I Believe It's Their Third With The Lead Flipping Around By A Point Or Two

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/19/cnn-poll-close-contest-for-floridas-29-electoral-votes/


This doesn't make sense:

The president has a narrow 50%-47% edge among women voters, with Romney holding a 49%-46% edge among men.

More women than men vote. Therefore , shouldn't the president be leading.

[LisaL]

15. He is leading by 7 if they use RV instead of LV.

[tarheelsunc]

12. They have a "poll of polls" from post-1st debate with R$ ahead 49-46, whatever a poll of polls is

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Their Own Poll On 9/4 Showed It 48-48

The one point difference can be attributed to noise.

[hrmjustin]

13. not bad at all. I thought that they might be worse.