What we learned tonight.....Hillary can't win big outside of the confederacy.

[virtualobserver]

also, Hillary got 700,000 votes in Massachusetts in 2008.....only in the high 500,000's this time.

Why the huge dip in votes?

Can she get a big win outside of the confederacy?

[AzDar]

1. K & R

[FarPoint]

2. Hillary will be the Democratic Candidate for President.

So, your point is moot.

[virtualobserver]

6. she will need to actually prove that

[Hiraeth]

8. really?

[HooptieWagon]

17. If the only states she can score solid wins in...

...are states she'll lose badly in the GE, then the whole 'electability' thing is a pipe dream.

[grasswire]

29. that's true

SC was absolutely moot re: electability.

Other states, too. Good point.

[basselope]

53. And will lose in the general election.

[greymattermom]

83. Just look at total votes in states like Georgia

Hillary won the democratic primary, but Trump got a LOT more votes than Hillary, and he's in a 3 way race. Scary to me. I live in Georgia.

[FarPoint]

94. I feel Hillary can empower the Democratic Party to a landslide.

I'm with Hillary as will be most Democrats, Independents and bitter republicans who won't support Trump.

[pdsimdars]

95. well, not according to all the polls for months now

but then again the Hillary supporters don't seem to be interested in facts

People don't like her according to the polls and they also don't trust her. Of course Bernie's numbers in these areas are at the top.

But what does that matter when you don't pay attention to facts, right?

[FarPoint]

99. Oh..you have little faith.

I'm completely comfortable with realizing the Clinton charismatic leadership. ....as do others around the world.

[Press Virginia]

126. Hillary has no charisma

she hardly knows which emotions to display at the proper time

[FarPoint]

130. Hillary Clinton has been a dedicated, committed Democrat.

Hillary Clinton is beloved around the world equal to President Obama. So, yea, charisma has been a positive characteristic, one of a multitude for Hillary Clinton.

[Press Virginia]

132. Hahahahahahahahahahaha! Yeah, Ooookay

Bill has charisma. President Obama has charisma.

Hillary is like getting socks for Christmas. They're nice but they aren't what anyone really wants

[Gene Debs]

77. Well, since you asserted it, it's clearly true.

[basselope]

140. yep

[iAZZZo]

81. thank you for crystal ball premonition

[Buns_of_Fire]

106. Maddi, just give her the damn dollar, already!

#ImNotKiddingMaddi

[Le Taz Hot]

145. The rest of us would like to vote, please. Thank you.

[sabrina 1]

169. No she wont but keep dreaming. She CANNOT win outside of those states where

Conservative Dems were her only hope, and in a GE the Repub will win those states.

Bernie is on his way to the Convention.

I see Hillary is now pleading with Bernie supporters to 'come on over' to her campaign. Lol!

She doesn't get that a majority of his supporters are formerly Independents BECAUSE the will not vote for the Establishment, Greens, previously NON voters too disgusted until Bernie to even bother to voted

So good luck with first bashing Bernie Supporters with vile attacks including using the Race and Gender cards. then asking for their votes.

But she does know she can't win without them. Should have thought about that before she and her supporters decided that attacking VOTERS was the way to go.

[winter is coming]

3. There's a difference between "hasn't" and "can't".

I think it's too early in the primary process to assume "can't".

[VulgarPoet]

4. +1

[virtualobserver]

10. I'm not assuming...I'm just looking at the results. She has to prove that she can.

[redstateblues]

5. I thought Bernie was supposed to drive turnout to historic levels

Hillary winning a big predominantly liberal state like Mass has to really hurt. Especially since Bernie said he would win it. Ouch!

[virtualobserver]

13. it will take time....and he has time....by the time he visits all 50 states....he will achieve it.

Ask yourself why the people in Oklahoma, Minnesota, and Colorado didn't believe that this race is over.

[JDPriestly]

62. He won by respectable margins in Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and above all in the state

that knows him best: Vermont.

Bernie won by 72 percentage points in his home state, Vermont.

Hillary won by only 36 points in the home state in which she was for many years the wife of the governor.

Bernie did much better in his state than Hillary did in hers.

Bernie is building name recognition and voter loyalty. Hillary is a household name but she is losing voter loyalty.

Bernie is doing extremely well. He has a good chance to win.

[JDPriestly]

79. She only won Massachusetts by 1 point.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

Bernie won Colorado by 19 points, Minnesota by 20 points, Oklahoma by 10 points and Vermont by 72, yes, 72 points.

Hillary won the former confederate states, but winning there is irrelevant to November if the past is any prediction.

http://www.270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/

Bernie is the favorite of the Democrats in Democratic states -- at least thus far.

Hillary does well in Republican states.

Not surprising really. She is very Republican in many respects.

Bernie is the true Democrat in spite of the years he ran as an Independent.

[Svafa]

150. She only won Mass by one point...

...and who knows what would have happened if it weren't for some seriously sketchy shit going down.

[pdsimdars]

96. Ouch! 2%

That's the margin and with Bill ILLEGALLY interfering with the election. They have to cheat to win. What else is new?

[Dawgs]

183. No one has ever said that Bernie would drive turnout to historic levels.

That's an untruth at best.

[Agschmid]

7. Is the confederacy back!

Someone forgot to tell the rest of us...

[grasswire]

33. Hey, John Lewis used that term today on TV.

So it must be legit.

[virtualobserver]

67. It is back, actually in a real sense

In one way....the racist tone of the top Presidential candidates of the Republican party is essentially the tone of the Confederacy.


In another way, If you think of the Confederacy from an economic standpoint....Slavery is the ultimate aim
of capitalism.....it is the lowest possible wage with all profits going to the "CEO".


"

[pdsimdars]

98. Very good point

And isn't that the final goal of the TPP and other trade agreements?

[reformist2]

9. She's strongest in states that Dems have no chance of winning.

[spooky3]

11. 538 is predicting HC wins in MI, IL, OH, NC, & FL. And these are purple-to-blue states.

Virginia is hardly like places like Alabama. NoVA and Charlottesville (U of VA) are not "old south" at all and the other metro areas generally are blue--with non-Latino white voters as well as members of other groups.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/michigan-democratic/

[reformist2]

14. 528 is so overrated. Bernie needs to win Ohio - and he will.

[spooky3]

19. 538 was dead on in other recent predictions. I guess we'll soon see whether it is right

about these 5 states.

[w4rma]

56. 538 completely missed Oklahoma.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/oklahoma-democratic/

[spooky3]

65. No, it didn't. It gave her only a 51% chance of winning.

They were not predicting what percent of the vote each candidate would get (see the 538 website for details). They were calculating the odds of winning, and 51% is as close to not winning at it could possibly be. That is the nature of statistics.

[w4rma]

93. It wasn't 51% until Super Tuesday.

It was 78% for Clinton all the way up until the very last day or two.

And Sanders ended up, not squeaking out a win but, winning the state by more than 10%.

[pdsimdars]

100. nicely played . . . ..

[jeff47]

153. And his win was still outside their MoE.

Which is what makes it a miss.

[mythology]

131. So going 14 for 15 on the Democratic side

Means they have no clue.

[virtualobserver]

20. NC and FL are confederate states , although I give Bernie a shot at NC.

MI, IL, OH.....we will see how those states go.

[spooky3]

23. I would put my money on 538 for them.

Sanders so far has won only where the percentage of non-Latino white voters is very high - and Clinton is still winning considerable %s of these voters in most states.

[virtualobserver]

34. that can change

[spooky3]

66. Of course it can. But it's my money.

[Downwinder]

12. She can't win a GE in the confederacy.

[Jitter65]

163. She can if all of us vote for her. nt

[Barack_America]

15. She does have an issue with actual Blue states thus far...

...and why none of her supporters seem to think that is a problem is beyond me.

[spooky3]

25. Didn't she just win Massachusetts?

[Barack_America]

30. By 1.8% and dropping. Care to look at Bernie's margins in other Blue states?

Hint, about +20% over Hillary.

[NWCorona]

37. Facts

[spooky3]

48. All of the states he won had much larger non-Latino white populations than average.

538 is predicting wins for Clinton in MI, OH, IL, FL, and NC.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/michigan-democratic/

[nadinbrzezinski]

60. Like she did in 2008 but this one is close

2008 was not

[Tanuki]

104. American Samoa, too! Who knew it was part of the Confederacy?

The things you learn on DU these days!

[BlueMTexpat]

116. You know that a state only counts

when Hillary loses.

[consciouslocs]

129. In so many words, that's what she's saying.

And the votes of the POC in the Southern States do not matter either.

[Eko]

16. Before it was

she can only win in the south, now its she cant win big.

[virtualobserver]

26. Narrow victories won't clinch the nomination...this will drag out....

Hillary is already resorting to getting donations from NRA lobbyists.

She won't be able to compete without more donations from Billionaires to her SuperPAC.

It costs money to run a 50 state campaign, and her sources are drying up.

[onenote]

18. If I recall correctly, in 2008 Clinton had pretty big wins in New York and California, but Obama had

no difficulty winning those states in the General.

[virtualobserver]

21. Really? A Democrat had no problem winning CA and NY....what a shocker!

[onenote]

68. Exactly. So why do folks think that the results in the primaries foretell ]the result in the GE.

[virtualobserver]

71. they aren't saying that the results foretell the result, they are just saying that Democrats can't..

win southern states in the GE.

[Le Taz Hot]

147. California is Bernie's

Guaranteed.

[theboss]

22. Just like Obama in '08

We're doomed.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

24. Because

HRC is + 29 in Florida:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_democratic_presidential_primary-3556.html

HRC is +21 in New York:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ny/new_york_democratic_presidential_primary-4221.html

HRC is + 19 in Pennsylvania:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_presidential_primary-4249.html

HRCis + 21 in Ohio:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_democratic_presidential_primary-5313.html

HRC is + 19 in Illinois:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_democratic_presidential_primary-5313.html


HRC is + 19 in North Carolina:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-5175.html


HRC is +14 in California:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ca/california_democratic_presidential_primary-5321.html

HRC is +19 In Michigan:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_democratic_presidential_primary-5224.html

[spooky3]

27. but Benghazi! Emails!

thanks for the links.

[FarPoint]

135. Compared to Condi Rice and Colin Powell...

No difference.....

[virtualobserver]

31. Plenty of time to change that

[DemocratSinceBirth]

35. Yes, because he has so much momentum from his resounding Super Tuesday victory.

[virtualobserver]

39. He does....4 solid wins and a stalemate.

The future primaries and caucuses favor Bernie more and more and his momentum will grow.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

42. Not all states are the same...

The four states he won has less population than the state of Texas...

That's like saying four pennies is the same as four dollars, because.

[virtualobserver]

44. four is enough

[warrprayer]

28. K&R

[stevil]

32. You go!

Disenfranchise much? Keep it up. Please.

[virtualobserver]

36. I'm just pointing out the reality of the situation

The South is her firewall. I just don't think that she has much else.

[stevil]

59. Keep it up

At the peril of your wishful thinking. Southern Democrats are Democrats, best wishes.

[ismnotwasm]

38. Here have a gif

It's soothing

[virtualobserver]

45. I love it.

[ismnotwasm]

47. ...

[thereismore]

40. Is she running for the President of the CSA?

[virtualobserver]

43. She is almost ready to take the oath of office.

[SMC22307]

41. LOL, nice framing. (n/t)

[Codeine]

46. Every time a Sanders voter says "Confederacy"

an angel gets its wings.

[virtualobserver]

54. I used the word "Confederacy" because it is a coalition of conservative white voters....

and of black voters.

[onenote]

69. Wait? The confederacy was a coalition of African Americans and their oppressors?

I didn't know that.

[virtualobserver]

70. I'm speaking about a voting "confederacy" unique to the southern states

Hillary is getting more than just black votes, she is also getting conservative white votes

[Tanuki]

103. You are mistaken. The "conservative white votes" are going to Trump and Cruz. Clinton is

NOT a conservative, nor are her voters, white or black, in the South or anywhere else. Where do people get such an odd notion?

[virtualobserver]

108. I live in the south. I know Clinton voters. I got my "odd notion" by the experience of living here.

[Tanuki]

113. I live in Tennessee. I know the difference between a conservative and a liberal. I know

many Clinton voters, and not one of them is a conservative. The conservatives I encounter are Republicans or Libertarian, and they often have a visceral dislike for Clinton.

[virtualobserver]

115. I'm not talking about RW conservatives, I'm talking about conservative Democrats.

There is a difference.

[consciouslocs]

88. Whatever

I'm an African American Southerner and not seeing a coalition between conservative white people and AAs. Understand that it might appear that way, but that is not what I am getting from my relatives in SC or Georgia.

[virtualobserver]

139. It isn't an organized coalition

It is simply an effect based on the viewpoint of the two groups.

[Garrett78]

49. IL, MI, OH, NY, NJ, MD, PA, CA and Washington DC.

Those are all states (plus DC) where Clinton can win, whether by a large margin or not. Not to mention MO, LA, MS, etc. Basically any state with a sizeable percentage of POC.

[virtualobserver]

50. we will see

[Beacool]

63. She's ahead in the polls in each one of those states and predicted to win them by the 538.

[Garrett78]

84. Perhaps it's just wishful thinking run amok...

...but it seems quite a few folks on this site fail to understand basic math, demographics and how the nominating process works. I'm not a Clinton/neoliberal supporter, but reality is reality.

[Beacool]

178. Yeah, that was my point too.

[lunamagica]

51. What we learned tonight...Sanders can't get the minority vote.

Without it, it will be impossible for him to win the GE

[virtualobserver]

55. So you are saying that Bernie is so horrible that minority voters would rather have Trump?

[lunamagica]

57. What I'm saying is that minorities will give Hillary the win both in the primaries and the GE

[virtualobserver]

58. I guess we'll find out

[pdsimdars]

101. I just wonder

why all those head-to-head polls say just the opposite, that BERNIE is the most electable and beats ALL of the GOP candidates by large margins and Hillary does not.
I guess all those polls and all those people they have talked to for MONTHS now are all wrong and that you guys know better. Is that it?

[lunamagica]

112. Polls? Last night's "poll" proved that Sanders can't get the minitiy vote

Without it, he won't win neither the primary or the GE.

[Dawgs]

184. Are the minorities in South Carolian, Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama all going to move to Ohio?

Because that's where she will need them in the GE.

[onenote]

72. are you saying Hillary is so terrible that young white "progressive" voters would rather have Trump?

[virtualobserver]

74. No, I'm not....

I was simply responding to this.....

.Sanders can't get the minority vote. Without it, it will be impossible for him to win the GE

I have no idea how young white "progressive" voters feel, since I am neither young nor white.

[azurnoir]

73. so you're saying that if Bernie is the candidate minorities won't vote or will vote Republican?

news to me

[lunamagica]

111. No, what I'm saying is that minorities will take Hillary to victory both in the primaries and the GE

[azurnoir]

141. It takes a village

[1StrongBlackMan]

121. So you're saying that if HRC is the candidate progressives won't vote or will vote Republican?

Oh wait ... That question has already been answered!

[Le Taz Hot]

149. You do know that the "minority vote"

includes Latinos, right? You guys seem to forget that part.

[lunamagica]

164. How could I forget? She won 70% of the Latino vote last night

Quite impressive, right?

[Le Taz Hot]

170. 2008 is not 2016

I go with what I'm hearing/seeing on the ground and Latinos are NOT liking the Hills here in the San Joaquin Valley. It's a new day.

[lunamagica]

171. WHAT? She WON the Latino vote by 70% LAST NIGHT. March 1, 2016

[Le Taz Hot]

172. One more time.

I'm telling you what I am hearing/seeing on the ground here in the San Joaquin Valley. Don't count yer chickens is all I'm saying.

[lunamagica]

173. OK, so your friends wont vote for her. She has won the Latino vote in seven states. How is that

"counting yer chickens"? In any case, you are the one doing that, saying that the minuscule sample of what you see around you, has more weight than the actual results from several states, plus the nationwide Univision poll

[Le Taz Hot]

174. We'll see how she does out West.

[jeff47]

154. Because Southern blacks are exactly the same as every other minority group.

Last edited Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:10 PM - Edit history (1)

When 538 forgets to include the word "latino" in their article claiming Clinton's gonna win, you realize their analysis is a tad shallow.

[lunamagica]

165. She wo 70% of the Latino vote. Didn't you know that?

[jeff47]

167. And Sanders crushed her with the black vote in VT and NH

So clearly Sanders will win all blacks, right?

[lunamagica]

168. His home state and neighboring state? GMAB

[virtualobserver]

182. so the black people who actually know Bernie, like him.

What does that tell you?

[virtualobserver]

181. they always find a way to dismiss anything positive about Bernie

[Half-Century Man]

52. We stand in the presence of greatness.

I no longer thing DWS is an incompetent , backstabbing, third way lackey of the Establishment controlled by the Clinton Machine to sway the election to HRC at all costs.

She is the greatest sleeper agent/political suicide bomber/ Toxic adviser in the history of republican/ Carl Rovian tricks. She has bamboozled an organization, lead by someone twisted and vain enough to dodge FOIA requests with a private server and 2+ cloud backups as though there was no concern to web security (despite detailed knowledge of our own internet spying), to trust her with leadership.
DWS has cost us 900+ elected offices. You cannot be dumb enough to do that by accident and still remember to wear pants everyday. It had to be deliberate.

[Beacool]

64. What we learned tonight is that Hillary will be the nominee.

[pdsimdars]

102. You go girl, keep the dream alive

snap snap to rainbows and unicorns.

[Beacool]

176. Dream?

Nope, it's not the Hillary supporters who are dreaming. We are counting pledged delegates.

[virtualobserver]

109. Bernie won 4 states by double digits, 3 of them by 19 points...so we learned no such thing.

[hack89]

155. You miss the point completely

the only thing that matters is the delegate count. And Bernie got his ass handed him in that regard.

[virtualobserver]

157. and Bernie will get more delegates in future primaries

Hillary's coronation is still imaginary.

[hack89]

158. But not more that Hillary

he needs blow out wins to catch up. He doesn't have the support to pull that off.

[virtualobserver]

160. you imagine that he doesn't....

Why don't we let the voters decide?

[hack89]

161. I can read the polls. I can also see how different demographics are voting

the trend in both is not favorable to Bernie.

[virtualobserver]

162. then you should have nothing to worry about

[hack89]

166. That's true. Haven't been concerned since Nevada. Nt

[Beacool]

177. Well, then you missed the point of the lesson.

[virtualobserver]

180. I did not miss the point, I considered it invalid.

[fierywoman]

75. negatives

Hill's negatives are too high to win the general... as are Trump's. I'm merely a classical musician, so what do I know? but I think her negatives are already bringing down her numbers from previous elections she's run in.

[Spider Jerusalem]

76. You should probably look at African-American populations in the South vs other primary states so far

that's where a substantial amount of Clinton's support in the South has come from, and it's one of the key constituencies for a Democratic candidate in a general election; dismissing the results as "the Confederacy" is kind of ignorant of political and demographic realities.

[consciouslocs]

92. Yes

Notwithstanding the "Confederacy" discussion, whoever ultimately wins the nomination will look for high turnout among key, reliable constituencies in the swing States to win. I think with AA demographic shifts back South, these trends could offer insight into voting that will occur in other regions.

[virtualobserver]

137. I'm not convinced that results in the north will be the same

[jeff47]

156. Uh, no.

that's where a substantial amount of Clinton's support in the South has come from, and it's one of the key constituencies for a Democratic candidate in a general election

Uh, no.

The electoral college means Southern blacks can not win the general election for Clinton. Their votes will not result in Democratic electors.

Now, if you were trying to claim Southern blacks are the same as every other minority group, you should probably travel a bit more.

[Spider Jerusalem]

185. I'm addresssing the "Confederacy" idiocy

and African-American voters are a key constituency for a Democrat (nationally, not just in the South) who overwhelmingly support Clinton over Sanders. (I'm aware of how the Electoral College works and I am also aware most of the South will never go Democratic in a general election, thanks.)

[aspirant]

78. Hills is the second place nominee of Dixieland, the Repubs will squash her here

[SoapBox]

80. Agreed.

[Rincewind]

82. This is incredable news,

I never knew Iowa and Massachusetts were part of the Confederacy. By the way, Secretary Clinton is also leading in the polls of the deep Southern state of Illinois.

[DemonGoddess]

124. OOOOOO!

I'm a Southerner and never knew it!

Face it folks. Without minorities, Mr. Sanders is not going to get the nomination. Congratulations on the wins he did get, but you know what? My candidate did better.

To those of you who think because the states she won tend to be Red in GE they don't count? Get over it. Every vote counts. No matter WHERE it is cast.

[Starry Messenger]

159. Or Nevada! (Nt)

[Betty Karlson]

85. K&R: she will lose.

Best not nominate her, lest she loses the GE rather than the primaries.

[Buzz cook]

86. Turn out was lower than in 2008 nt

nt

[Onlooker]

87. You call her black support in the south "the confederacy"?

With comments like that you play right into the hands of those who see Sanders as a white candidate from a white state who apparently speaks only to white voters.

[consciouslocs]

90. Not Really the vibe I'm getting from SEN Sanders, but...

It has been eye-opening, this election cycle, to see how readily some are willing to write off or devalue the votes of a significant portion of the DEM base over the candidate they chose.

[virtualobserver]

136. no, I'm talking about her combination of black support along with conservative white support

within the former Confederate states.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

89. What I learned tonight from this thread

The south and the 538 blog joined many others that have been thrown under the Bernie bus.

[virtualobserver]

119. The south is not under the bus....it is simply Hillary's firewall....but there are 50 states.

[shenmue]

91. Haaaaaaa

Keep digging.

[pdsimdars]

97. Another point, Bernie keeps rising in the polls as Hillary slowly declines.

Just a matter of time . . . .

[virtualobserver]

110. there is truth in your words

[sufrommich]

105. What we learned last night:

Sanders can't win in states that aren't as white as the driven snow.

[virtualobserver]

138. oklahoma and colorado are whiter, but not white as the driven snow

[Adrahil]

107. Another attempt to minimize the value of the votes of POC. NT

[virtualobserver]

117. Not at all....Hillary would be toast without votes of POC.

Also, she is getting much more than just votes of POC in the south.

My point is that Hillary is strong ONLY in the south.

[Zorra]

114. Simply put, all things considered, we're toast if Clinton is nominated. nt

[virtualobserver]

118. I agree.....and the race with Trump would drive Hilary's negatives in the polls even higher

[Adrahil]

120. What will be the "lesson" when she wins Michigan, Illinois, New Jersey, New York? NT

[virtualobserver]

122. We will see how those states actually turn out

[Adrahil]

123. Yes we shall....

I look forward to your cogent analyses.

[Cobalt Violet]

125. yeah plus they cheated in MA

Shutting down polls is cheating. The lazy leisure class may not get it that working people are so busy that that might have been the only time those voters could vote. It's cheating.

[virtualobserver]

127. par for the course for Bill Clinton....no one knows more about cheatin' than that guy.

[bigtree]

128. one ome despicable attempt to marginalize what is essentially a base of black voters

...we hear you Sanders folks.

[virtualobserver]

134. not at all......I'm just showing the flip side of the equation

Hillary supporters have been chanting for months that Bernie can't win the votes of POC.
That is the despicable thing.

Whenever Bernie does, as he did in NH....it is discounted.

I was drawn to Bernie as much for his personal history as his policies. The policies that
Hillary has actively supported have damaged us all, but particularly the black community.

But I have accepted the fact that, Hillary, who used dog-whistle racism in 2008 against Barack Obama,
is the choice of black voters in the south. I had a real problem with it, and I have never forgiven her
for it. Some black people are still angry about it, but apparently
most black people in the south don't have a problem with it.

I am forced to accept that reality. I also accept the fact that southern white Democrats, who are more
conservative, also are far more likely to support Hillary. Hence, the power of the Southern firewall.

I don't believe that either element of Hillary's firewall exist outside of the south.

[AgadorSparticus]

133. I see that too. I think the race will pick up for Sanders here on out.

...our at least I am hoping it will. But I am not so sure now because of the Latino and Asian votes.

[brooklynite]

142. Which non-confederacy States will she lose in the next two weeks?

Michigan? Ohio? Illinois?

[virtualobserver]

144. perhaps none of them, perhaps all of them.

[brooklynite]

148. I find "anything can happen" a fairly lightweight answer...

We have her record of winning Ohio and Michigan from 2008 (IL was Obama's home State; Chicago demographics suggest she'll pick it up)

We have current polling that has her up 15-20 pts.

We have turnout data that shows the "millions of disaffected voters" aren't turning out for Sanders.

I feel comfortable making an prediction that Clinton will pick up all of the large Primary States in the next two weeks.

[virtualobserver]

151. Bernie has to make the case in those states

I am not omniscient, so I can't predict. Sometimes polls are right, and sometimes they are wrong.

The "millions of disaffected voters" reference has to do with the GE. Bernie has to go to all 50 states and spread his message. Then we will see if he has been able to do that.

[book_worm]

143. And Bernie still can't win minority votes only white voters like him

why is that?

We'll see in the next few weeks what her margins will be in Michigan, Illinois & Ohio.

[virtualobserver]

146. he has won minority votes in every state, just not as many as Hillary

we will see how it goes.

[Protalker]

152. platitudes

Chris Matthews interview with Bernie was very instructive. Matthews tried several times to give him names. In the House and Senate who would push his agenda. Bernie's response was a macro the people will see to it. Youth want macro and people who pay taxes and live on family budgets want names of people who will make it happen.

[AzDar]

175. K & R