2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver's Final Project 538 South Carolina Forecasts:
Chances of winning the South Carolina primary:
Clinton >99%
Sanders <1%
Polls Only Forecast:
Clinton 64.5%
Sanders 31.3%
Polls Plus Forecast:
Clinton 67.1%
Sanders 28.6%
onehandle
(51,122 posts)...heh.
George II
(67,782 posts)MaggieD
(7,393 posts)seaotter
(576 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)LexVegas
(6,125 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Number23
(24,544 posts)and has a strong minority population needs to be ignored.
NH, a tiny, majority white state with a fistful of delegates and a primary that anyone can vote in is somehow the one that represents the "real" primary and the "real" America.
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