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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 02:37 PM Feb 2016

The List Grows - Real Clear Politics poll results

Attorney in Texas' recent OP - "The list grows! Sanders leads Alaska, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, West Virginia, Vermont, and is..,." which reported a list of state polls. The results shown for some of those polls because they seemed to be different from those which I had scene. So I went to what I consider the the authoritative source for polls that which inspire a high level of confidence (RealClearPolitics.com).

I looked up the same polls reported by the Attorney on the RCP website and found some differences in the reported results. I have copied below the Attorneys reported poll results (in regular font followed by the RealClearPolitics reported polls in bold font (Where applicable the date of the reported poll(s) is provided.) Note there are differences:

Alaska - (Sanders 48%, Clinton 34%) RCP 1/12 Clinton 44 Sanders 41

Colorado - (Sanders 49%, Clinton 43%) RCP: No recent recognized polls

Maine - (Sanders 56%, Clinton 41%) RCP: No recent recognized polls

Massachusetts - (Sanders 47.5%, Clinton 44%) RCP: Same for two recent polls

Minnesota - (Sanders 59% chance, Clinton 41% chance) RCP: 1/20 Clinton 59 Sanders 25

Missouri - (Clinton 47%, Sanders 42%) RCP: No recent recognized polls

Oklahoma - (Clinton 46%, Sanders 44%) RCP: 2 polls 2/9, 2/16: Clinton 43.7 Sanders 29.3

Vermont - (Sanders 83%, Clinton 9%) RCP: 2/16 Sanders 86 Clinton 10

West Virginia - (Sanders 57%, Clinton 29%) RCP: Same for a recent poll

Wisconsin - (Clinton 45%, Sanders 43.5%) RCP: 1/24 Clinton 45 Sanders 43
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The List Grows - Real Clear Politics poll results (Original Post) CajunBlazer Feb 2016 OP
Thanks for the clarifications, CB! BlueMTexpat Feb 2016 #1
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #3
Post removed Post removed Feb 2016 #2
enjoy your short stay workinclasszero Feb 2016 #4
haha jcgoldie Feb 2016 #5
Must be a member of 90-percent Feb 2016 #6
I didn't know Cruz fans could read or write workinclasszero Feb 2016 #8
And the Corporate Networks are saying NV was INdemo Feb 2016 #7
Dream on! CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #10
1+ riversedge Feb 2016 #14
+2 BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #16
+3 ismnotwasm Feb 2016 #18
+4 Alfresco Feb 2016 #20
So according to this, at this moment in time, Bernie is winning in 7/10 states & jillan Feb 2016 #9
How about Bernie is winning in 7 states out of 50 CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #11
We could also talk about the number of delegates at stake firebrand80 Feb 2016 #12
Let's not, that might be depressing for some folks. CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #13
Don't! You'll make'em cry! eom BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #17
The Alaska poll was done by an Alaskan pollster Blue_In_AK Feb 2016 #15
Real Clear Politics isn't a pollster. They just accumulate poll results and aggregate them./nt DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2016 #22
It does seem that they are only reporting the Democratics-only poll result Blue_In_AK Feb 2016 #23
Everybody counts. Wasn't nice what was said to you./nt DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2016 #24
Thanks CajunBlazer. Alfresco Feb 2016 #19
LOL! Cali_Democrat Feb 2016 #21

Response to BlueMTexpat (Reply #1)

Response to CajunBlazer (Original post)

INdemo

(6,994 posts)
7. And the Corporate Networks are saying NV was
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 02:47 PM
Feb 2016

just a devastating loss for Sanders but his NH victory all we heard was about Hillary's Delegate Count.
Fact is Hillary is is not well organized in the Super Tuesday States and beyond because she/her campaign never expected a fight at this point ...







GO BERNIE !!!!

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
10. Dream on!
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 03:07 PM
Feb 2016

You're totally misinformed.

The Clinton campaign is active here in Alabama manning phone banks, ensuring votes can get to the polls, etc. The are also running a TV ad campaign. It is the Sanders campaign which is yet to be heard from in this state.

The effort here mimics the Clinton campaign effort in all the March 1st primary states. Sanders's campaign has virtually abandoned all of the Southern states to Clinton knowing there is no way he can win here and is concentrating their efforts in states where they think they might have a chance like Oklahoma and Minnesota.

jillan

(39,451 posts)
9. So according to this, at this moment in time, Bernie is winning in 7/10 states &
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 02:53 PM
Feb 2016

they tell us he needs to drop out right now?



Let's hope this trend continues all the way to super tuesday!!

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
12. We could also talk about the number of delegates at stake
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 03:11 PM
Feb 2016

In the States Hillary is ahead in vs. the ones Bernie is ahead in

Blue_In_AK

(46,436 posts)
15. The Alaska poll was done by an Alaskan pollster
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 04:16 PM
Feb 2016

whom I trust more than Real Clear Politics, not to mention the fact that I have many Democratic and independent friends here who support Bernie, only a couple I can think of who support Hillary. Anecdotal, I know, and I could be wrong, but Clintons have never been very popular here.

Looking at this closer, it seems that you've posted a "Democrats only" results here when the independents, who can vote in our caucus by simply changing their registration ON CAUCUS DAY to Democrat, overwhelmingly favor Sanders. When you include Democrats and "no registered party," Sanders wins by 14 points. I know many independents who are planning to caucus for Bernie.

Blue_In_AK

(46,436 posts)
23. It does seem that they are only reporting the Democratics-only poll result
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 06:04 PM
Feb 2016

in any event, which in Alaska's case is largely irrelevant for the reason I stated.

But as someone else just told me, Alaska has so few delegates we shouldn't be counted anyway, so I'll just shut up now.

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