2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumVox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely.
Hillary Clinton won the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday. She did so thanks largely to her strength in Clark County the home of Las Vegas, and the most heavily Latino part of the state.
That's important to note, because entrance polls showed Bernie Sanders winning among Latino voters by a shockingly wide margin.
An early wave of entrance polling showed Sanders beating Clinton by 11 points with Latinos. A later wave showed him winning by 8.
What really happened? We might not ever know for sure. But if you look at the possible scenarios and at the entrance and exit polls' record with Latinos the most plausible conclusion is that the entrance polls didn't correctly predict Nevada's Latino vote.
Clinton won the most heavily Latino parts of the state
Continued at link:
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079660/latinos-nevada-sanders
FrenchieCat
(68,867 posts)Metric System
(6,048 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)so small of samples. Given that Bernie won the white vote I can't see how Hillary won by 5-6 points without winning the latino vote.
LexVegas
(6,098 posts)In the 22 Latino-majority precincts in NV that have reported results so far, Hillary Clinton has won 60 percent of the delegates.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)There is no way Clinton could have won had she lost Hispanics by 11%.
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)She won most of the latino districts.
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)Funny how the PTB have decided that they are now "unreliable"....