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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Mon Oct 8, 2012, 12:19 PM Oct 2012

Rasmussen FL SEN poll contradicts WeAskAmerica - Nelson (D) 52%, Mack (R) 41%

We Ask America claimed over the weekend that Nelson & Mack were in a Tie.

Even Rasmussen is showing that isn't true.

Monday, October 08, 2012

Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson is pulling away in Florida’s U.S. Senate race, now crossing the 50% mark for the first time.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Nelson earning 52% of the vote, while Republican Connie Mack picks up 41% support. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

Nelson held a 47% to 40% advantage over Mack, a U.S. congressman, in August and September.

Because the gap between Nelson and Mack has widened, this race moves from Leans Democrat to Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power Rankings and further highlights the likelihood that Democrats will retain control of the Senate.

The presidential race in Florida, however, remains a Toss-Up, with Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama by just two points.

Ninety-three percent (93%) of likely Florida voters say they are certain to vote this election cycle. Among these voters, it's Nelson 51%, Mack 44%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/florida/election_2012_florida_senate

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Rasmussen FL SEN poll contradicts WeAskAmerica - Nelson (D) 52%, Mack (R) 41% (Original Post) TroyD Oct 2012 OP
That Makes Sense. I Expect Nelson To Win And Outperform The President DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #1
Obama was definitely ahead in Florida going into the debate last week TroyD Oct 2012 #2
We Ask America is a gop leaning poll. Their last poll before the recall had Walker up by 14%. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #3

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
1. That Makes Sense. I Expect Nelson To Win And Outperform The President
Mon Oct 8, 2012, 12:23 PM
Oct 2012

But I still expect the president to carry Florida.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
2. Obama was definitely ahead in Florida going into the debate last week
Mon Oct 8, 2012, 12:25 PM
Oct 2012

I think Nate Silver had Obama with a 65-70% chance of winning it.

Hopefully that will hold up.

Romney was in FL over the weekend.

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
3. We Ask America is a gop leaning poll. Their last poll before the recall had Walker up by 14%.
Mon Oct 8, 2012, 12:43 PM
Oct 2012

They do not weigh their polls correctly.

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