HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » Hide the Cutlery
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 05:59 PM

Hide the Cutlery




http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2012/9/23/174032/585


Hide the Cutlery

by BooMan
Sun Sep 23rd, 2012 at 05:40:32 PM EST


According to Nate Silver's model, if the election were held today, Obama would have a better than 95% chance of winning. That is something you would not know if you looked just at national polling outfits like Gallup and Rasmussen. And it shows you how important it is to have Nate Silver at the New York Times. It's true that I liked it better when he was working independently in the new media, but his influence can't be exaggerated. I do not believe that the Republicans would be stabbing each other with forks and knives if they thought the election was a dead-heat. But they don't think that because they know Nate is a smart man, and they know those national polls from Gallup and Rasmussen are better used as toilet paper than accurate reflections of that state of the race. Nate has taken one of the Republicans' strongest tools and he has blunted its effectiveness by applying cold, hard analysis to the problem. The Republicans don't just think they are going to lose. They know it. And Nate is the main reason why.

So, the demoralization is setting in. Michelle Malkin throws a knife at Bill Kristol. Peggy Noonan brings a fork down between Mitt's shoulder blades. Ann Romney chastises the Republican Establishment. Romney throws a tantrum.

And while they're all busy carving each other up, Team Obama is working the field with total focus and determination.

Good times.



Edit to add Nate's link here:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/22/sept-22-little-agreement-among-pollsters-on-enthusiasm-gap/

6 replies, 1048 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 6 replies Author Time Post
Reply Hide the Cutlery (Original post)
babylonsister Sep 2012 OP
Angry Dragon Sep 2012 #1
aquart Sep 2012 #2
Angry Dragon Sep 2012 #3
jimlup Sep 2012 #4
grantcart Sep 2012 #5
treestar Sep 2012 #6

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:04 PM

1. Give them all the knives they want

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Angry Dragon (Reply #1)

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:15 PM

2. Forks work. Spoons don't.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aquart (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:33 PM

3. Sporks ..........

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:38 PM

4. The problem is that they may not go to forks and knives...

They may instead resort to thievery

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:45 PM

5. So do the donors and that is why Romney is going to face a growing cash problem

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sun Sep 23, 2012, 07:06 PM

6. And the debates have not even happened yet

With both candidates right in front of them on the same screen - that's going to have its effects upon the Mittwit.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread