HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Topics » Sports » Sports (Group) » +++ NFL Picks / Week 14 +...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 09:02 AM

+++ NFL Picks / Week 14 +++

With the playoffs heating up I'd like to add one additional game this week -- Washington, Pittsburgh, Indy, Chicago, Cincy, Dallas, Giants and Green Bay all facing must-win games. Hope that's okay with everyone.

Weeks 14 and 15 are the last weeks available to take byes. I think the last two weeks -- 16 and 17 -- should be mandatory so no one can sit on a lead. BTW, for week 16 and 17 I think we'll stick with the regular schedule. Picks will be posted Thursday morning (Dec 20 and Dec 27) and due by Sunday kick-off. If you're going to be gone during the last two weeks let me know and we'll work something out.

Fun week. Good luck.

Favorite / Spread / Underdog (Home team in CAPS)

WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston

29 replies, 1707 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 29 replies Author Time Post
Reply +++ NFL Picks / Week 14 +++ (Original post)
Auggie Dec 2012 OP
PRETZEL Dec 2012 #1
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #2
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #3
Auggie Dec 2012 #6
Goblinmonger Dec 2012 #4
RockaFowler Dec 2012 #5
anakie Dec 2012 #7
mythology Dec 2012 #8
RagAss Dec 2012 #9
thelordofhell Dec 2012 #10
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #11
Auggie Dec 2012 #12
Condem Dec 2012 #13
flvegan Dec 2012 #14
many a good man Dec 2012 #15
Liberal_Dog Dec 2012 #16
InternalDialogue Dec 2012 #17
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #18
Auggie Dec 2012 #19
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #20
Auggie Dec 2012 #21
RockaFowler Dec 2012 #22
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #23
RockaFowler Dec 2012 #26
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #28
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #24
anakie Dec 2012 #25
RockaFowler Dec 2012 #27
Auggie Dec 2012 #29

Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 12:32 PM

1. mine,

Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Atlanta
Cincinnati
New orleans
Green Bay
Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 12:40 PM

2. Since it's a home game, I'd go with the Pats...

If it were at Houston, I'd go with the Texans...basically 3.5 spread is an admission they're ridiculously evenly matched.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 01:14 PM

3. Standings

RK Member (REC) PCT (WNP) LWR
1. Auggie (61-43) .587 - 1
2. mythology (57-47) .548 - 2
3. thelordofhell (49-46) .516 (1) 3
4. RagAss (44-43) .506 (1,10) 7
5. InternalDialogue (51-53) .490 - 4
6. flvegan (51-53) .490 - 5
7. Liberal_Dog (50-54) .481 - t5
8. many a good man (44-52) .458 (13) t9
9. JonLP24 (43-52) .453 (1) 11
10. Condem (47-57) .452 - 9
11. anakie (44-60) .415 - 13
12. RockaFowler (42-62) .404 - 12
13. PRETZEL (42-62) .404 - t13
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Second tier

RK Member (REC) (WNP)
1. Goblinmonger (39-41) (6,11,13)
2. trumad (8-17) (4-13)
3. getting old in mke (7-2) (2-13)
4. ahg (5-11) (2,4-13)
5. adairporter (3-5) (1,3-13)

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JonLP24 (Reply #3)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 03:47 PM

6. Thanks JonLP24

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 02:07 PM

4. Mine

Can't believe I spaced out last week and didn't get them in to bump me down to second tier. But just to see how I do:

WASHINGTON
San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
CINCINNATI
New Orleans
Detroit
NEW ENGLAND

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 03:12 PM

5. Here are mine

Baltimore
PITTSBURGH
INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago
CAROLINA
CINCINNATI
New Orleans
GREEN BAY
Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 05:59 PM

7. moving away from the Sparano

last week was my first 500+ week for a long time

this week

WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore - Ravens
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego - San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee - Indi
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA - Bears
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA - Atlanta
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas - Bengals
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans - Saints
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit - Packers
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston - Houston

Good luck all

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 6, 2012, 11:46 PM

8. My picks

Last edited Sun Dec 9, 2012, 12:48 PM - Edit history (1)

Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Chicago
Atlanta
Cincinnati
NY Giants
Detroit
Houston

I decided to switch to Baltimore over Washington.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 7, 2012, 09:16 AM

9. Me....

Baltimore
San Diego
Tennessee
Chicago
Atlanta
Dallas
NY GIANTS
GREEN BAY
NEW ENGLAND

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 7, 2012, 03:59 PM

10. Pick pick pock

WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore-----------Washington
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego-----------Pittsburgh
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee---------Indianapolis
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA----------------Chicago
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA----------------Atlanta
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas------------------Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans------------New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit------------------Green Bay
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston-----------Houston

I'm melting.........melllllllting.......what a worrrld

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 7, 2012, 04:05 PM

11. OK

Washington
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Carolina
Cincinnati
NY Giants
Detroit
Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 8, 2012, 12:39 PM

12. Picks

Washington
Pittsburgh
Tennessee
Minnesota
Atlanta
Cincinnati
New Orleans
Green Bay
Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 8, 2012, 02:37 PM

13. Picks

Washington
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Atlanta
Cincinnati
Gints
Green Bay
New England

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 8, 2012, 04:13 PM

14. Picks

Washington
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Chicago
Atlanta
Cincinnati
NY Giants
Green Bay
New England

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 8, 2012, 07:30 PM

15. +++»«+++

WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 8, 2012, 09:24 PM

16. Week 14 Picks

WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore-----Washington
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego-----Pittsburgh
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee-----Indianapolis
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA-----Minnesota
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA-----Atlanta
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas-----Cincinnati
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans-----New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit-----Green Bay
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston-----Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 8, 2012, 11:43 PM

17. Whew! Almost forgot about my picks.

WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH
INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago
Atlanta
Dallas
New Orleans
Detroit
NEW ENGLAND

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sun Dec 9, 2012, 03:54 PM

18. My strategy of selecting the Carolina/Atlanta game worked out perfectly

I foresaw that they would be a heavy favorite here --- http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/06/week-14-n-f-l-game-probabilities-the-sanchez-mistake/ and that most people here would pick Atlanta. Only me & Rocka picked Carolina.

The reason why they're favorites there is Brian Burke weighs most heavily net/ypa followed by defensive net/ypa. Both teams don't have an impressive pass D but Cam Newton is the league leader in ypa. It is funny listening to the announcers talk about the long odds against them when they, mathematically (rather than Vegas odds which can be affected by perception), they had a 62% chance of winning.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JonLP24 (Reply #18)

Sun Dec 9, 2012, 04:04 PM

19. I was just about to ask you about your strategy ...

well-played

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Reply #19)

Sun Dec 9, 2012, 06:54 PM

20. I nearly pick Arizona/Seattle

and then I asked myself, "Do I want a loss?".

The score is shocking mainly because Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league, but they also have the worst offense in the league going up against one of the best defenses. 4 interceptions, 4 fumbles lost

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Original post)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 11:18 AM

21. And the winner is ...

RagAss, with a record of 5-3



Four were tied at 4-4.

There was one tie, which we've been playing as neither a win or a loss.

Abysmal week for the group. But we'll get 'em next time. See you Thursday.

--------------------
Favorite--00 / Spread / Underdog--00 WINNER

WASHINGTON--31 / 2.5 / Baltimore--28 WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH--24 / 6.5 / San Diego--34 SAN DIEGO
INDIANAPOLIS--27 / 5.5 / Tennessee--23 TENNESSEE
Chicago--14 / 3 / MINNESOTA--21 MINNESOTA
Atlanta--20 / 3.5 / CAROLINA--30 CAROLINA
CINCINNATI--19 / 3 / Dallas--20 DALLAS
NY GIANTS--52 / 5 / New Orleans--27 NY GIANTS
GREEN BAY--27 / 7 / Detroit--20 TIED
NEW ENGLAND--42 / 3.5 / Houston--14 NEW ENGLAND

--------------------
RagAss: 5W / 3L

L—Baltimore
W—San Diego
W—Tennessee
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
W—Dallas
W—NY Giants
T—Green Bay
W—New England
--------------------
Condem: 4W / 4L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—Gints
T—Green Bay
W—New England
--------------------
Goblinmonger: 4W / 4L

W—Washington
W—San Diego
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Detroit
W—New England
--------------------
JonLP24: 4W / 4L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
W—Carolina
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Detroit
L—Houston
--------------------
InternalDialogue: 3W / 5L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
W—Dallas
L—New Orleans
T—Detroit
W—New England
--------------------
Auggie: 3W / 5L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
W—Tennessee
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
flvegan: 3W / 5L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Green Bay
W—New England
--------------------
Liberal_Dog: 2W / 6L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
mythology: 2W / 6L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Detroit
L—Houston
--------------------
thelordofhell: 2W / 6L

W—Washington
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
W—Dallas
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
many a good man: 2W / 6L

L—Baltimore
W—San Diego
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
W—NY Giants
T—Detroit
L—Houston
--------------------
RockaFowler: 1W / 7L

L—Baltimore
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
W—Carolina
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
anakie: 1W / 7L

L—Baltimore
W—San Diego
L—Indianapolis
L—Chicago
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinncati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston
--------------------
PRETZEL: 1W / 7L

L—Baltimore
L—Pittsburgh
L—Indianapolis
W—Minnesota
L—Atlanta
L—Cincinnati
L—New Orleans
T—Green Bay
L—Houston

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Reply #21)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 12:12 PM

22. Cool - 1 win

Oy!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to RockaFowler (Reply #22)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 12:32 PM

23. Hey, you could have gotten 2 right had you listened to me...

See my post #2!!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to joeybee12 (Reply #23)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:28 PM

26. I'll listen next time

I swear

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to RockaFowler (Reply #26)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:43 PM

28. Now the pressure's on me!!!!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Auggie (Reply #21)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 02:29 PM

24. We all made the same mistakes

Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Atlanta, and to some extent Houston.

RagAss correctly got the major ones San Diego, Tennessee, Dallas, and also New England.

Just to show tough of a week it was collectively, 3 got 1-7 records. The one week we have an extra game, we have a push. It would be interesting to see what that would have done w/ all the 4-4 members.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JonLP24 (Reply #24)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:14 PM

25. oddly enough

the 3 1-7's are the three of us vying for last place. Coincidence or proof we collectively don't know what we are doing?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to anakie (Reply #25)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:29 PM

27. A little of both

THough last year I was doing much better than this year.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JonLP24 (Reply #24)

Tue Dec 11, 2012, 05:46 PM

29. Good intentions: Cincinnati blew their lead and Detroit

kicked a meaningless field goal with 7 seconds left. That would have been two wins for me.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread