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Related: About this forum+++ NFL Picks / Week 14 +++
With the playoffs heating up I'd like to add one additional game this week -- Washington, Pittsburgh, Indy, Chicago, Cincy, Dallas, Giants and Green Bay all facing must-win games. Hope that's okay with everyone.
Weeks 14 and 15 are the last weeks available to take byes. I think the last two weeks -- 16 and 17 -- should be mandatory so no one can sit on a lead. BTW, for week 16 and 17 I think we'll stick with the regular schedule. Picks will be posted Thursday morning (Dec 20 and Dec 27) and due by Sunday kick-off. If you're going to be gone during the last two weeks let me know and we'll work something out.
Fun week. Good luck.
Favorite / Spread / Underdog (Home team in CAPS)
WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Atlanta
Cincinnati
New orleans
Green Bay
Houston
joeybee12
(56,177 posts)If it were at Houston, I'd go with the Texans...basically 3.5 spread is an admission they're ridiculously evenly matched.
JonLP24
(29,322 posts)RK Member (REC) PCT (WNP) LWR
1. Auggie (61-43) .587 - 1
2. mythology (57-47) .548 - 2
3. thelordofhell (49-46) .516 (1) 3
4. RagAss (44-43) .506 (1,10) 7
5. InternalDialogue (51-53) .490 - 4
6. flvegan (51-53) .490 - 5
7. Liberal_Dog (50-54) .481 - t5
8. many a good man (44-52) .458 (13) t9
9. JonLP24 (43-52) .453 (1) 11
10. Condem (47-57) .452 - 9
11. anakie (44-60) .415 - 13
12. RockaFowler (42-62) .404 - 12
13. PRETZEL (42-62) .404 - t13
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Second tier
RK Member (REC) (WNP)
1. Goblinmonger (39-41) (6,11,13)
2. trumad (8-17) (4-13)
3. getting old in mke (7-2) (2-13)
4. ahg (5-11) (2,4-13)
5. adairporter (3-5) (1,3-13)
Auggie
(31,186 posts)Goblinmonger
(22,340 posts)Can't believe I spaced out last week and didn't get them in to bump me down to second tier. But just to see how I do:
WASHINGTON
San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
CINCINNATI
New Orleans
Detroit
NEW ENGLAND
RockaFowler
(7,429 posts)Baltimore
PITTSBURGH
INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago
CAROLINA
CINCINNATI
New Orleans
GREEN BAY
Houston
anakie
(1,027 posts)last week was my first 500+ week for a long time
this week
WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore - Ravens
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego - San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee - Indi
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA - Bears
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA - Atlanta
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas - Bengals
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans - Saints
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit - Packers
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston - Houston
Good luck all
mythology
(9,527 posts)Last edited Sun Dec 9, 2012, 01:48 PM - Edit history (1)
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Chicago
Atlanta
Cincinnati
NY Giants
Detroit
Houston
I decided to switch to Baltimore over Washington.
Baltimore
San Diego
Tennessee
Chicago
Atlanta
Dallas
NY GIANTS
GREEN BAY
NEW ENGLAND
thelordofhell
(4,569 posts)WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore-----------Washington
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego-----------Pittsburgh
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee---------Indianapolis
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA----------------Chicago
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA----------------Atlanta
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas------------------Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans------------New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit------------------Green Bay
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston-----------Houston
I'm melting.........melllllllting.......what a worrrld
Washington
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Carolina
Cincinnati
NY Giants
Detroit
Houston
Washington
Pittsburgh
Tennessee
Minnesota
Atlanta
Cincinnati
New Orleans
Green Bay
Houston
Washington
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Minnesota
Atlanta
Cincinnati
Gints
Green Bay
New England
Washington
Pittsburgh
Indianapolis
Chicago
Atlanta
Cincinnati
NY Giants
Green Bay
New England
many a good man
(5,997 posts)WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston
Liberal_Dog
(11,075 posts)WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore-----Washington
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego-----Pittsburgh
INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee-----Indianapolis
Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA-----Minnesota
Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA-----Atlanta
CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas-----Cincinnati
NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans-----New Orleans
GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit-----Green Bay
NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston-----Houston
InternalDialogue
(3,829 posts)WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH
INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago
Atlanta
Dallas
New Orleans
Detroit
NEW ENGLAND
JonLP24
(29,322 posts)I foresaw that they would be a heavy favorite here --- http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/06/week-14-n-f-l-game-probabilities-the-sanchez-mistake/ and that most people here would pick Atlanta. Only me & Rocka picked Carolina.
The reason why they're favorites there is Brian Burke weighs most heavily net/ypa followed by defensive net/ypa. Both teams don't have an impressive pass D but Cam Newton is the league leader in ypa. It is funny listening to the announcers talk about the long odds against them when they, mathematically (rather than Vegas odds which can be affected by perception), they had a 62% chance of winning.
Auggie
(31,186 posts)well-played
JonLP24
(29,322 posts)and then I asked myself, "Do I want a loss?".
The score is shocking mainly because Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league, but they also have the worst offense in the league going up against one of the best defenses. 4 interceptions, 4 fumbles lost
Auggie
(31,186 posts)RagAss, with a record of 5-3
Four were tied at 4-4.
There was one tie, which we've been playing as neither a win or a loss.
Abysmal week for the group. But we'll get 'em next time. See you Thursday.
--------------------
Favorite--00 / Spread / Underdog--00 WINNER
WASHINGTON--31 / 2.5 / Baltimore--28 WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH--24 / 6.5 / San Diego--34 SAN DIEGO
INDIANAPOLIS--27 / 5.5 / Tennessee--23 TENNESSEE
Chicago--14 / 3 / MINNESOTA--21 MINNESOTA
Atlanta--20 / 3.5 / CAROLINA--30 CAROLINA
CINCINNATI--19 / 3 / Dallas--20 DALLAS
NY GIANTS--52 / 5 / New Orleans--27 NY GIANTS
GREEN BAY--27 / 7 / Detroit--20 TIED
NEW ENGLAND--42 / 3.5 / Houston--14 NEW ENGLAND
--------------------
RagAss: 5W / 3L
LBaltimore
WSan Diego
WTennessee
LChicago
LAtlanta
WDallas
WNY Giants
TGreen Bay
WNew England
--------------------
Condem: 4W / 4L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
WMinnesota
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
WGints
TGreen Bay
WNew England
--------------------
Goblinmonger: 4W / 4L
WWashington
WSan Diego
LIndianapolis
WMinnesota
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
LNew Orleans
TDetroit
WNew England
--------------------
JonLP24: 4W / 4L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
WMinnesota
WCarolina
LCincinnati
WNY Giants
TDetroit
LHouston
--------------------
InternalDialogue: 3W / 5L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
LChicago
LAtlanta
WDallas
LNew Orleans
TDetroit
WNew England
--------------------
Auggie: 3W / 5L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
WTennessee
WMinnesota
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
LNew Orleans
TGreen Bay
LHouston
--------------------
flvegan: 3W / 5L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
LChicago
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
WNY Giants
TGreen Bay
WNew England
--------------------
Liberal_Dog: 2W / 6L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
WMinnesota
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
LNew Orleans
TGreen Bay
LHouston
--------------------
mythology: 2W / 6L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
LChicago
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
WNY Giants
TDetroit
LHouston
--------------------
thelordofhell: 2W / 6L
WWashington
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
LChicago
LAtlanta
WDallas
LNew Orleans
TGreen Bay
LHouston
--------------------
many a good man: 2W / 6L
LBaltimore
WSan Diego
LIndianapolis
LChicago
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
WNY Giants
TDetroit
LHouston
--------------------
RockaFowler: 1W / 7L
LBaltimore
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
LChicago
WCarolina
LCincinnati
LNew Orleans
TGreen Bay
LHouston
--------------------
anakie: 1W / 7L
LBaltimore
WSan Diego
LIndianapolis
LChicago
LAtlanta
LCincinncati
LNew Orleans
TGreen Bay
LHouston
--------------------
PRETZEL: 1W / 7L
LBaltimore
LPittsburgh
LIndianapolis
WMinnesota
LAtlanta
LCincinnati
LNew Orleans
TGreen Bay
LHouston
RockaFowler
(7,429 posts)Oy!
joeybee12
(56,177 posts)See my post #2!!
RockaFowler
(7,429 posts)I swear
joeybee12
(56,177 posts)JonLP24
(29,322 posts)Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Atlanta, and to some extent Houston.
RagAss correctly got the major ones San Diego, Tennessee, Dallas, and also New England.
Just to show tough of a week it was collectively, 3 got 1-7 records. The one week we have an extra game, we have a push. It would be interesting to see what that would have done w/ all the 4-4 members.
anakie
(1,027 posts)the 3 1-7's are the three of us vying for last place. Coincidence or proof we collectively don't know what we are doing?
RockaFowler
(7,429 posts)THough last year I was doing much better than this year.
Auggie
(31,186 posts)kicked a meaningless field goal with 7 seconds left. That would have been two wins for me.