Thu Dec 6, 2012, 09:02 AM
Auggie (16,189 posts)
+++ NFL Picks / Week 14 +++
With the playoffs heating up I'd like to add one additional game this week -- Washington, Pittsburgh, Indy, Chicago, Cincy, Dallas, Giants and Green Bay all facing must-win games. Hope that's okay with everyone.
Weeks 14 and 15 are the last weeks available to take byes. I think the last two weeks -- 16 and 17 -- should be mandatory so no one can sit on a lead. BTW, for week 16 and 17 I think we'll stick with the regular schedule. Picks will be posted Thursday morning (Dec 20 and Dec 27) and due by Sunday kick-off. If you're going to be gone during the last two weeks let me know and we'll work something out. Fun week. Good luck. Favorite / Spread / Underdog (Home team in CAPS) WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston
|
29 replies, 894 views
| Author | Time | Post | |
| Auggie | Dec 2012 | OP | |
| PRETZEL | Dec 2012 | #1 | |
| joeybee12 | Dec 2012 | #2 | |
| JonLP24 | Dec 2012 | #3 | |
| Auggie | Dec 2012 | #6 | |
| Goblinmonger | Dec 2012 | #4 | |
| RockaFowler | Dec 2012 | #5 | |
| anakie | Dec 2012 | #7 | |
| mythology | Dec 2012 | #8 | |
| RagAss | Dec 2012 | #9 | |
| thelordofhell | Dec 2012 | #10 | |
| JonLP24 | Dec 2012 | #11 | |
| Auggie | Dec 2012 | #12 | |
| Condem | Dec 2012 | #13 | |
| flvegan | Dec 2012 | #14 | |
| many a good man | Dec 2012 | #15 | |
| Liberal_Dog | Dec 2012 | #16 | |
| InternalDialogue | Dec 2012 | #17 | |
| JonLP24 | Dec 2012 | #18 | |
| Auggie | Dec 2012 | #19 | |
| JonLP24 | Dec 2012 | #20 | |
| Auggie | Dec 2012 | #21 | |
| RockaFowler | Dec 2012 | #22 | |
| joeybee12 | Dec 2012 | #23 | |
| RockaFowler | Dec 2012 | #26 | |
| joeybee12 | Dec 2012 | #28 | |
| JonLP24 | Dec 2012 | #24 | |
| anakie | Dec 2012 | #25 | |
| RockaFowler | Dec 2012 | #27 | |
| Auggie | Dec 2012 | #29 |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 12:32 PM
PRETZEL (2,313 posts)
1. mine,
|
Baltimore
Pittsburgh Indianapolis Minnesota Atlanta Cincinnati New orleans Green Bay Houston |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 12:40 PM
joeybee12 (41,676 posts)
2. Since it's a home game, I'd go with the Pats...
|
If it were at Houston, I'd go with the Texans...basically 3.5 spread is an admission they're ridiculously evenly matched.
|
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 01:14 PM
JonLP24 (14,005 posts)
3. Standings
|
Last edited Thu Dec 6, 2012, 04:47 PM USA/ET - Edit history (3) RK Member (REC) PCT (WNP) LWR
1. Auggie (61-43) .587 - 1 2. mythology (57-47) .548 - 2 3. thelordofhell (49-46) .516 (1) 3 4. RagAss (44-43) .506 (1,10) 7 5. InternalDialogue (51-53) .490 - 4 6. flvegan (51-53) .490 - 5 7. Liberal_Dog (50-54) .481 - t5 8. many a good man (44-52) .458 (13) t9 9. JonLP24 (43-52) .453 (1) 11 10. Condem (47-57) .452 - 9 11. anakie (44-60) .415 - 13 12. RockaFowler (42-62) .404 - 12 13. PRETZEL (42-62) .404 - t13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Second tier RK Member (REC) (WNP) 1. Goblinmonger (39-41) (6,11,13) 2. trumad (8-17) (4-13) 3. getting old in mke (7-2) (2-13) 4. ahg (5-11) (2,4-13) 5. adairporter (3-5) (1,3-13) |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 02:07 PM
Goblinmonger (16,367 posts)
4. Mine
|
Can't believe I spaced out last week and didn't get them in to bump me down to second tier. But just to see how I do:
WASHINGTON San Diego INDIANAPOLIS MINNESOTA Atlanta CINCINNATI New Orleans Detroit NEW ENGLAND |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 03:12 PM
RockaFowler (4,858 posts)
5. Here are mine
|
Baltimore
PITTSBURGH INDIANAPOLIS Chicago CAROLINA CINCINNATI New Orleans GREEN BAY Houston |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 05:59 PM
anakie (999 posts)
7. moving away from the Sparano
|
last week was my first 500+ week for a long time
this week WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore - Ravens PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego - San Diego INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee - Indi Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA - Bears Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA - Atlanta CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas - Bengals NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans - Saints GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit - Packers NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston - Houston Good luck all |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Thu Dec 6, 2012, 11:46 PM
mythology (1,104 posts)
8. My picks
|
Last edited Sun Dec 9, 2012, 12:48 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1) Baltimore
Pittsburgh Indianapolis Chicago Atlanta Cincinnati NY Giants Detroit Houston I decided to switch to Baltimore over Washington. |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Fri Dec 7, 2012, 09:16 AM
RagAss (13,410 posts)
9. Me....
|
Baltimore
San Diego Tennessee Chicago Atlanta Dallas NY GIANTS GREEN BAY NEW ENGLAND |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Fri Dec 7, 2012, 03:59 PM
thelordofhell (3,809 posts)
10. Pick pick pock
|
WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore-----------Washington
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego-----------Pittsburgh INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee---------Indianapolis Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA----------------Chicago Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA----------------Atlanta CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas------------------Dallas NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans------------New Orleans GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit------------------Green Bay NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston-----------Houston I'm melting.........melllllllting.......what a worrrld |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Fri Dec 7, 2012, 04:05 PM
JonLP24 (14,005 posts)
11. OK
|
Washington
Pittsburgh Indianapolis Minnesota Carolina Cincinnati NY Giants Detroit Houston |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sat Dec 8, 2012, 12:39 PM
Auggie (16,189 posts)
12. Picks
|
Washington
Pittsburgh Tennessee Minnesota Atlanta Cincinnati New Orleans Green Bay Houston |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sat Dec 8, 2012, 02:37 PM
Condem (8,887 posts)
13. Picks
|
Washington
Pittsburgh Indianapolis Minnesota Atlanta Cincinnati Gints Green Bay New England |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sat Dec 8, 2012, 04:13 PM
flvegan (62,175 posts)
14. Picks
|
Washington
Pittsburgh Indianapolis Chicago Atlanta Cincinnati NY Giants Green Bay New England |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sat Dec 8, 2012, 07:30 PM
many a good man (5,674 posts)
15. +++»«+++
|
WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sat Dec 8, 2012, 09:24 PM
Liberal_Dog (8,014 posts)
16. Week 14 Picks
|
WASHINGTON / 2.5 / Baltimore-----Washington
PITTSBURGH / 6.5 / San Diego-----Pittsburgh INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / Tennessee-----Indianapolis Chicago / 3 / MINNESOTA-----Minnesota Atlanta / 3.5 / CAROLINA-----Atlanta CINCINNATI / 3 / Dallas-----Cincinnati NY GIANTS / 5 / New Orleans-----New Orleans GREEN BAY / 7 / Detroit-----Green Bay NEW ENGLAND / 3.5 / Houston-----Houston |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sat Dec 8, 2012, 11:43 PM
InternalDialogue (3,829 posts)
17. Whew! Almost forgot about my picks.
|
WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH INDIANAPOLIS Chicago Atlanta Dallas New Orleans Detroit NEW ENGLAND |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Sun Dec 9, 2012, 03:54 PM
JonLP24 (14,005 posts)
18. My strategy of selecting the Carolina/Atlanta game worked out perfectly
|
Last edited Sun Dec 9, 2012, 03:54 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1) I foresaw that they would be a heavy favorite here --- http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/06/week-14-n-f-l-game-probabilities-the-sanchez-mistake/ and that most people here would pick Atlanta. Only me & Rocka picked Carolina.
The reason why they're favorites there is Brian Burke weighs most heavily net/ypa followed by defensive net/ypa. Both teams don't have an impressive pass D but Cam Newton is the league leader in ypa. It is funny listening to the announcers talk about the long odds against them when they, mathematically (rather than Vegas odds which can be affected by perception), they had a 62% chance of winning. |
Response to JonLP24 (Reply #18)
Sun Dec 9, 2012, 04:04 PM
Auggie (16,189 posts)
19. I was just about to ask you about your strategy ...
|
well-played
|
Response to Auggie (Reply #19)
Sun Dec 9, 2012, 06:54 PM
JonLP24 (14,005 posts)
20. I nearly pick Arizona/Seattle
|
Last edited Sun Dec 9, 2012, 06:54 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1) and then I asked myself, "Do I want a loss?".
The score is shocking mainly because Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league, but they also have the worst offense in the league going up against one of the best defenses. 4 interceptions, 4 fumbles lost |
Response to Auggie (Original post)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 11:18 AM
Auggie (16,189 posts)
21. And the winner is ...
|
RagAss, with a record of 5-3
Four were tied at 4-4. There was one tie, which we've been playing as neither a win or a loss. Abysmal week for the group. But we'll get 'em next time. See you Thursday. -------------------- Favorite--00 / Spread / Underdog--00 WINNER WASHINGTON--31 / 2.5 / Baltimore--28 WASHINGTON PITTSBURGH--24 / 6.5 / San Diego--34 SAN DIEGO INDIANAPOLIS--27 / 5.5 / Tennessee--23 TENNESSEE Chicago--14 / 3 / MINNESOTA--21 MINNESOTA Atlanta--20 / 3.5 / CAROLINA--30 CAROLINA CINCINNATI--19 / 3 / Dallas--20 DALLAS NY GIANTS--52 / 5 / New Orleans--27 NY GIANTS GREEN BAY--27 / 7 / Detroit--20 TIED NEW ENGLAND--42 / 3.5 / Houston--14 NEW ENGLAND -------------------- RagAss: 5W / 3L L—Baltimore W—San Diego W—Tennessee L—Chicago L—Atlanta W—Dallas W—NY Giants T—Green Bay W—New England -------------------- Condem: 4W / 4L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis W—Minnesota L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati W—Gints T—Green Bay W—New England -------------------- Goblinmonger: 4W / 4L W—Washington W—San Diego L—Indianapolis W—Minnesota L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati L—New Orleans T—Detroit W—New England -------------------- JonLP24: 4W / 4L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis W—Minnesota W—Carolina L—Cincinnati W—NY Giants T—Detroit L—Houston -------------------- InternalDialogue: 3W / 5L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis L—Chicago L—Atlanta W—Dallas L—New Orleans T—Detroit W—New England -------------------- Auggie: 3W / 5L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh W—Tennessee W—Minnesota L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati L—New Orleans T—Green Bay L—Houston -------------------- flvegan: 3W / 5L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis L—Chicago L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati W—NY Giants T—Green Bay W—New England -------------------- Liberal_Dog: 2W / 6L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis W—Minnesota L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati L—New Orleans T—Green Bay L—Houston -------------------- mythology: 2W / 6L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis L—Chicago L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati W—NY Giants T—Detroit L—Houston -------------------- thelordofhell: 2W / 6L W—Washington L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis L—Chicago L—Atlanta W—Dallas L—New Orleans T—Green Bay L—Houston -------------------- many a good man: 2W / 6L L—Baltimore W—San Diego L—Indianapolis L—Chicago L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati W—NY Giants T—Detroit L—Houston -------------------- RockaFowler: 1W / 7L L—Baltimore L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis L—Chicago W—Carolina L—Cincinnati L—New Orleans T—Green Bay L—Houston -------------------- anakie: 1W / 7L L—Baltimore W—San Diego L—Indianapolis L—Chicago L—Atlanta L—Cincinncati L—New Orleans T—Green Bay L—Houston -------------------- PRETZEL: 1W / 7L L—Baltimore L—Pittsburgh L—Indianapolis W—Minnesota L—Atlanta L—Cincinnati L—New Orleans T—Green Bay L—Houston |
Response to Auggie (Reply #21)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 12:12 PM
RockaFowler (4,858 posts)
22. Cool - 1 win
|
Oy!
|
Response to RockaFowler (Reply #22)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 12:32 PM
joeybee12 (41,676 posts)
23. Hey, you could have gotten 2 right had you listened to me...
|
See my post #2!!
|
Response to joeybee12 (Reply #23)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:28 PM
RockaFowler (4,858 posts)
26. I'll listen next time
|
I swear
|
Response to RockaFowler (Reply #26)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:43 PM
joeybee12 (41,676 posts)
28. Now the pressure's on me!!!!
|
|
Response to Auggie (Reply #21)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 02:29 PM
JonLP24 (14,005 posts)
24. We all made the same mistakes
|
Last edited Tue Dec 11, 2012, 02:35 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1) Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Atlanta, and to some extent Houston.
RagAss correctly got the major ones San Diego, Tennessee, Dallas, and also New England. Just to show tough of a week it was collectively, 3 got 1-7 records. The one week we have an extra game, we have a push. It would be interesting to see what that would have done w/ all the 4-4 members. |
Response to JonLP24 (Reply #24)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:14 PM
anakie (999 posts)
25. oddly enough
|
the 3 1-7's are the three of us vying for last place. Coincidence or proof we collectively don't know what we are doing?
|
Response to anakie (Reply #25)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 04:29 PM
RockaFowler (4,858 posts)
27. A little of both
|
THough last year I was doing much better than this year.
|
Response to JonLP24 (Reply #24)
Tue Dec 11, 2012, 05:46 PM
Auggie (16,189 posts)
29. Good intentions: Cincinnati blew their lead and Detroit
|
kicked a meaningless field goal with 7 seconds left. That would have been two wins for me.
|

