Time for the ice predictions!

[XemaSab]

http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/arctic.sea.ice.interactive.html

3 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	The record will not be broken this year
	0 (0%)
	The record will be broken this year by a little
	2 (67%)
	The record will be broken this year by a lot
	1 (33%)
	Climate change is a scam and Al Gore lives in a big house!
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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[Systematic Chaos]

1. I chose "a lot," but that's pretty tough to define.

I'm thinking the old record will be beat by 10-20%. I guess in my mind "a little" would be beating it by 5% or less.

Time will tell.

[Speck Tater]

2. Hmmm. Let me think about it. I'll get back to you in 6 or 8 months. nt

[intaglio]

3. Said "a little" but ...

am unsure this as regards extent, it might be a little greater than 2007

Ice volume though - that will be a record low

[hatrack]

4. I'm all in for a new post-2007 record!

Feel free to bray with laughter in about two months when I'm wrong!

[phantom power]

5. I'm in for big new record, with a case of Ruination IPA

Because fuck my central nervous system.

[XemaSab]

6. Day 194--a retrospective

2012: 5.25006
2011: 5.72969
2010: 5.79917

2007: 5.68599

1982: 8.31863


Another interesting factor is what day it got this low in previous years.

2011: day 199
2010: day 202
2007: day 197
2006: day 209
2002: day 213

As recently as 1996 it didn't even get this low at all.

[Nihil]

7. As you said in a different thread ...

... it provides as interesting a perspective to view the advancing "point X" dateas it does
to view the final limit (well, until the date where it gets ice-free of course).

[joshcryer]

9. I'm glad we can change our votes...

[XemaSab]

8. Waiting for July to update